Beverley
Tom Dascombe has two today in the auction mdn stks
Both have drifted (paper favs) and trainer only wins here with fills from this age group in mdns.
With 20 races (often 2 divisions) Richard Fahey stands out with his FTO filly runners with 4 wins to his credit in this race.
M.J is only the other trainer to get more than one win but his two winners were both colts.
If a runner has had a race then expect it to be fav if it is to win this.
Selected; Realtra 1.55
RESULT; Realtra 2nd 6/1 btn hd
Nmkt Free Hcp 3.30A small field this year.
I look for a runner at Ascot, Newbury & Nmkt.
Then look for a group race runner.
So dismissed are Aeolus and Mushir.
Shifting Power with just two runs (three such winners since 1982 and latest was 2000. However Hannon stable provided one of those three winners (Cape Town, who had a Gp 3 placing) and Shifting Power is nowhere near that form so also goes out.
Saayerr has an Ascot run but has won a Gp 2 race. Going back in the years to 1983 it seems only Cayman Kai 1996 has achieved success her with such a win. I'm going to bin this also.
That leaves only Parbold and Miracle Of Medina.
The former carries top weight and has ran in three Gp 2 races and came close in Coventry at Ascot.
The latter has a C&D win and has won at two of the key tracks (A & G3)
Miracle Of Medina is the value today and has it for me, with a saver on Parbold.
The problem is that neither completed a full season last year and ceased their racing in August & Sept.
Most past winners raced until October or later, but there have been seven winners with an early finish.
Going with the dates Mushir is the one to consider.