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Date Joined: 01 May 01
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FLAT RACING

Time For a Break

25 Jul 13 12:46
Too busy doing the daily routine of downloading Raceform Interactive and printing off 10 year stats.
Working out speed figures and jotting A to F as speed order on daily racecard. Then adding DT for Double Top select.

Putting in the "Spots" and working out how many points clear and inputting figures.
Then highlighting trainers that have two, or more, runners in the race

Having scanned the recent few weeks of Spot runners that are 6 points plus clear of next horse there doesn't seem to be that much merit.
In fact the higher the figures the less likely they are to win.
A spot figure that rates the horse 14 or more point clear seems more likely not to win?
16 races since start of July up to and including last Saturday  produced only 4 winners and eight of eleven favs were beaten (4 odds on)
Breaking that down further maiden races provided just one winner (Treaty of Paris 4/6) from eleven runners.

Recent examples - Mirror spot (figure first) and Express (both maidens)
Agustus Ada 31 and 20 clear won 4/6
Floating Ballerino 22 and 12 2nd 11/10

Today sees two examples.. (both maidens)
6.10 Donc Practising 22 and 41
6.20 Bright Chinese Jade 16 and 14
It's always risky laying though and I'm still attempting to reduce the risk.

Whilst still keeping records they will only be input into d/base over winter months.
The Summer months of July-August are always busy with amount of racing and time is needed to update more important things.
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