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FLAT RACING

AW Weds April 3rd

04 Apr 13 09:41
Going to stick with Kholaan today Linga 3.00
It's drifted like a barge from 5/1 to 10/1
That makes it a decent e/w bet at the price.

It's 2yo run indictated a trend to follow.
The 3yo run was all at sea when running freely and jockey struggling to hold it. As a result it was in last place turning into straight and jockey was quite easy on it (imo) but ran on well enough to finish 4th.

Stewards held an enquiry and Jockey said there wasn't much left in locker so he didn't ride it hard. Said it would probably be better dropping down a furlong on a straight track!

Runs again over 7f today but back at Lingfield, where it ran well enough as 2yo - but came on inside (the place not to be according to race reviewer).

DOUBLE TOP runners today
Apache Rising *
Mazovian
Rakticate *
Standpoint
Hurricane Spirit *
The ones to consider backing are marked *
I tend to ignore odds on runners though as it's not worth the effort profitwise.


RESULTS;
Stoute won the race with Theodore Gericault 6/4f

I had a little input on a forum thread on this race

Pinza • April 3, 2013 10:23 AM BST
I've looked at a few in this race
STOUTE lacks LB (long break) wins APRIL at Linga in Mdn Stakes
HORSE    POS    S.P
Flag Lieutentant    5    1.63
Velvet valley    6    3.50
Cabal            2    1.63
Commend            2    4.50

BOTTI hasn't got a good FTO strike rate in AW mdn stks at LINGA
Vettorenjoy (GB)    WON
Infortual    3
Eastern Amour    10
Raving Monsun    8
Golden Share    5

Kholaan - price drifting like a barge

A maiden at the lowest grade and the likes of Stoute never used to race many at this level - but had a couple of wins last year
Pistol    2
Diamond Dame    WON
Strident Force    3
Maria's Choice    WON
Revered Citizen    2

(data relates to 3yo's only)

My final decision on race was to back both Kohlaan and Arctic Admirable and lay off at low prices. The latter proved alright for Arctic Admirable (2nd beaten neck) but not for Kohlaan (4th).
Feel sure that Kohlaan will win a race but need to watch replay on this race this morning.

Double Top never ceases to surprise me. When downloading declarations around 7pm yesterday more runners appeared as qualifiers.
Yesterdays results
Apache Rising    WON    0.25
Mazovian    NR    NA
Rakticate    3    0.57
Standpoint    0   
Hurricane Spirit2    0.73
Copperwood    3    3.50
Khudoua            2    0.50
Actonetaketwo    3    5.50

Nothing to shoutabout with 3 odds on runners beaten


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