I'm never keen on Bank Holiday racing so apart from one lay bet yesterday (Justineo)- I input trainer stats on a prominent tipsters selections on main forum.I was really looking for stats that would support the tips.
Most of the stats available (couple of trainers I don't follow) provided a Zero in the criteria (I try to avoid backing horses with any zero criteria).
Today a system "Banker Bet" is indicated with Roger Varians NAALATT 3.20 Southwell.
From the criteria I use there have been eleven winners from fifteen runners. That's 70% success rate (26 point profit).
There are downsides though.
The stable 3yo runners that won a Southwell maiden and then follow up with a hcp win are rare and, upto now, no Jaris/Varian horse has repeated the Southwell maiden win with a hcp win at same track.
Three of the four losers were in April month (5 wins from 8)
Also the odd figure years, like 2013, have produced only 50% win ratio compared to 88% in even figure years.
The upside is that fillies have won five of the six races, and the loser (Khe Sanh) was deemed unlucky. That was the only loser from four AW races.
DOUBLE TOP update
Hedy NR 30/03/2013
Micks Yer Man WON 0.67 30/03/2013
White Coppice 4 8.00 30/03/2013
Activate 2 2.00 30/03/2013
Move In Time WON 2.25 30/03/2013
Nanton 0 31/03/2013
Hayley 0 31/03/2013
Wicked Wilma 0 31/03/2013
Courageous 0 01/04/2013
Justineo 2 1.75 01/04/2013
Luggers Hall 2 1.38 01/04/2013
Gabrial The Master WON 8.00 01/04/2013
Transfer 3 25.00 01/04/2013
TODAYS
Irish Dream 02/04/2013
Mediterranean Dream 02/04/2013
UPDATE
Naalatt 2nd 2/1fav
A disappointing run considering it made all on last run here.
Will not be following it.
Double top runners both unplaced
fosters road won nicely, don't trust roger varians horses, hes
the bookies best friend. your bets are usually lays right?
amazing how buckland has kept on winning. goodluck