Pinza

Too busy clearing snow and preparing for flat lately.
When one has to sort out 137 excel "notes" into easy reference order it becomes quite a task - and that's just for ONE trainer.
Sorted into Track order, Race Type, Area, Flat/AW, Months and Grades.
I still ponder how to work out an easy reference to such data from 50 or so trainers.

Yesterdays racing was more of a tester rather than finding winners.
I wasn't prepared to lay them all but indications proved correct for Gladys Girl, Space Ship, Star Lahib,Cai Shen, Moortahan, Greeleys Love & Carry On Sydney (always risky when two in same race, especially when first and second favourite).

By my data (not every runner but all winners) Hannon never had a runner at Musselburgh and rarely has a runner in 3yo Hcp in Scotland, whilst Mark Johnston often runs three or four in class 2 3yo hcp in Scotland all his 5 past winners had a similarity which wasn't present in yesterdays race. 

Todays racing at Musselburgh-
Richard Fahey doesn't get many 3yo maiden winners over 7f and all his 5 winners since 2002 came July and later months so I would be against Brookes Bounty 3.20pm.

Todays "Criteria" with past results for 7f maiden(3yo's)
POSITION PRICE
2    0.91
4    0.62
8    1.50
3    1.75
2    1.25
2    2.75

His runner Mica Mika 3.50 appears to have a decent win chance.
An Excel comment made a year or two ago says
C Open Hcp
single fig SP (6-12)
5yo best (4-5)

Today the updated version reads 6-13 (just 5yo's) but take away the 9/1 shots and it's 6-8.
He has occasionally won with the second string though so beware of Cosmic Sun

The problem is that neither is currently in single figure S.P.but Mica Mika could well shorten from current 10/1 price. Also whilst trainer has had winners in Scotland the current score for Mussellburgh qualifiers is 0-4 - small bet only.


The Double Top update is below with todays and Mondays qualifiers.
(I don't like any of todays three).
They have been doing pretty well but around a level stake profit/loss on all 23 selections since last update.   


Annunciation    Won    6.00
Admirable Duque    Won    1.50
Edwyn Ralph    won    1.50
Docofthebay    2    7.00
Noverre To Go    won    0.67
Beat Route    won    4.00
Daniel Thomas    2    2.25
GabrialThe Duke    won    0.67
Lesley's Choice    6    6.00
Sian Gwalia    3    2.75
Lexington Bay    won    2.75
You Da One    Won    0.05
One Dark Night    4    100.00
Right Stuff    4    2.00
Tight Knit    3    3.50
Outback Lover    Won    2.50
Haywain            3    0.80
Alhaarth Beauty    2    2.25
La Sylphe    Won    1.38
Hedy            NR   
Micks Yer Man    Won    0.67
White Coppice    4    8.00
Activate    2    2.00
Move In Time    Won    2.25
Nanton       
Hayley       
Wicked Wilma       
Courageous       
Justineo       
Luggers Hall       
Gabrial The Master       
Transfer       
Irish Dream