Pinza

DT Update
Mount Abora    2    3.00
Hamoody     WON    0.29

Todays
Excellent Puck       
Stand Guard       
Miako        
Unlimited       

Quiet day yesterday but could have fancied Mount Abora for a place but not to win.

I was already aware of todays DT's and was really interested in Excellent Puck.
I took the 2.8 last night after seeing forecast price of 5/4
It's gone as low as 1.91 and currently 2.4, so plenty of trading opportunities.

Double Top winners in maiden stakes are rarely above 7/4.
That leaves little room for error when seeking an overall profit on selections.
Excellent Pluck has the form to win and drops back slightly today but has a running style that should suit Southwell track.
March has proved the best month for maiden winners for Jamie Osborne.
The concern today is 5 days since last run - not normally a trait for this trainer - however was also entered up in a slightly better looking race this week.
The one that has been backed against it is Winter Music.
Looking At Andrew Baldings record in maiden at Southwell reveals two wins (2003-4), both 4yo's with placed form, but who never won again.

Miako was well supported when winning, and attempts to follow up CD win here 19 days ago. Has a chance and would at least expect it to go close.


RESULTS
Excellent Puck    2
Stand Guard    WON
Miako     3
Unlimited    0
Follow The Flag    0

Not a good day for DT's with just 1 winner at 2/11f
Excellent Puck found one to good (AGAIN) but ran well enough to trade as low as 1.06
I got out at 1.12 to make a profit on race.
Interesting to listen to Rob Havlin on winner (Burgoyne) say it's all over the place and wore blinkers FTO and hood today but shouldn't need either eventually. Also said that Hughie Morrisons gallops are heavy therefore this one was well suited to get through the sand at Southwell.