The Double Top Update
Marvelino 0
Incorporate 2
Jack Dawkins WON
Rainford Glory 0
Aryal WON
Bapak Bangsawan 2
Jonnie Skull 2
Misleading Promise 3
King George River WON
Hazard Warning [b]won
Story Writer 2
Docofthebay 0
Where's Reiley won
Rawaafed 3
Today I have run Hazard Warning through the trial data incorporating the trainer stats relating to combinations of Track-Grade-Month-Distance-Race type etc.
There are significant negatives (trainer data) in Track & Distance and Track & Grade. That may seem odd compared to the form of the horse which has had two wins over C&D.
I have a win lay bet at 2.4
The other DT runner, Story Writer is trained by william Knight.
He is on the "purple list" (50% plus success)with 4 wins from 7 runners.
UPDATE
Results input.
Clearly I have more work to do as Hazard Warning won (traded as high as 12)
Story Writer just got beat but still a loser. I'll keep the trainer in purple zone unless his next DT loses.