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FLAT RACING

AW Friday March 8th

14 Mar 13 09:53
The Double Top Update
Marvelino    0
Incorporate    2
Jack Dawkins    WON
Rainford Glory    0
Aryal    WON
Bapak Bangsawan    2
Jonnie Skull    2
Misleading Promise    3
King George River WON
Hazard Warning    [b]won
Story Writer    2
Docofthebay    0
Where's Reiley    won
Rawaafed    3

Today I have run Hazard Warning through the trial data incorporating the trainer stats relating to combinations of Track-Grade-Month-Distance-Race type etc.
There are significant negatives (trainer data) in Track & Distance and Track & Grade. That may seem odd compared to the form of the horse which has had two wins over C&D.

I have a win lay bet at 2.4

The other DT runner, Story Writer is trained by william Knight.
He is on the "purple list" (50% plus success)with 4 wins from 7 runners.

UPDATE
Results input.
Clearly I have more work to do as Hazard Warning won (traded as high as 12)
Story Writer just got beat but still a loser. I'll keep the trainer in purple zone unless his next DT loses.
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