Bit of a mess up today with Daily Express not available online until 30 minutes ago.
Double Tops Today
3.50 Bapak Bangsawan
4.20 The Lock Master
2.20 I'm against the fav Kabbaas
I monitor the gossip gallops (amongst other things) and Varian (ex Mick Jarvis) data in 3yo hcps is around 1 - 3 on AW.
That might sound good but odds-on is 1-3 also.
Mostly the stable winners come from those that didn't WLTO.
Kabaas won maiden latest and after withdrawals the field is left with four WLTO runners.
The 4 year stats for race say two WLTO AND C&D winners which may
indicate Makinsons Lane?
My lay bet was at 1.8 prior to latest withdrawal, which now leaves me with 1.65. It's a small field but reasonably happy to retain the bet at that price.
Will look at Double Top chances in meantime.
Update
Looking at the Double Top runners
3.50 David Barron has the edge with Long Break maiden runners at this time of year. (Antonio Gramsci)
Bapak Bangsawan has the double "spots" from newspapers and the combination has a very good strike rate in 3yo+ Mdns - however mostly the winners have the addition of the Mirror "SF" and Antonio Gramsci has that today.
I therefore prefer Barron (Course and also sprint specialist) but the odds on price is a put off.
4.20 Lock Master runs in D hcp and I posted the profit other day in this grade. The last time two DT's won on trot in this grade was last August. The trainer/jockey combination have a 71% strike rate at the track though.