Pinza

After another day off yesterday went through more data analysis in readiness for Flat.
Comparing a trainers data by odd years v even years.
I've done just about everything else with this trainer...
Months, Distances, tracks, Race Types, grades,days since run, FTO, Long breaks, shorter breaks and form figures.

TODAYS RACING (Trying to keep a healthy bank balance intact).

Three Double Top runners
Edwyn Ralph 2.00 Ling WON 5/4
King George River 3.40 Ling WON 6/4
Secret Advice 7.00 Wolv

I have an excel note for Simcock applicable for todays race
"No fillies, No Long Breaks, No sprints.
Edwin Ralph passes the test as far as those negatives are concerned.
Simcock has a pretty fair record with DT's
The negative is neither a Mirror nor an Express spot horse.

Alan Bailey is on the cold list as far as Double Tops.
Yet another apprentice riding his fourth DT selection today.
This race has been won by a winner last time out (WLTO) in all five runnings so far.
It looks a pretty hot race for the time of year.


Keith Dalgleish is a "purple trainer" with Double Tops, but Secret Advice is a filly taking on the colts today
and their record is not good.

Just a small stake on Edwin Ralph today RESULT WON 5/4f (2.9 taken)

For a slightly bigger stake I'm laying Free Thinking in the bumper at Fakenham.
Henderson has a poor record with a single run bumper winners.
Generally you can rely on his Mares on their first run but not necessarily afterwards.
He has won this race with WLTO1 runner, but that was a 4yo
The weight carried today is higher than any past winner of the race.

Interestingly Paul Webber has had a few FTO Mares race winners in February (Siksika)
RESULT; THREE THINKING won 2/5f
Another loss of discipline laying a Henderson bumper.