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FLAT RACING

AW Wednesday Feb 13th

13 Feb 13 14:51
Following Broughton Thermal Insulation owned horses with Willie Musson can be profitable.
In Jan-March months backing the” Broughton” name runners in hcps win rate is near 30% mark (since 1994)
Over a distance of 12f plus it’s near 50% and over 16f almost 60% (in my database)

Lingfield 2.30; BROUGHTONS BANDIT has been lightly raced for a 6yo, but had almost a year off as 4yo.
Won it’s maiden in a 16f hcp at Kempton after running pretty consistently January to March 2012 (form 4221) - Then seemed to go wrong in May and had been off track since, until running a close 2nd over a lesser trip 20 days ago.

J P Guillambert probably wouldn’t be first choice jockey based upon Trainer/Jockey stats, but he rode him on latest run and keeps the ride.

It's a low class race today and the selections form, and previous setbacks, is not convincing enough to take 7/4 current price. I would expect 9/4-5/2, at least, today.

Today, it also has the right "system" credentials for a bet.
It doesn't match all 12 rules so Medium Staking.

RESULT; Rollin N Tumblin won, Broughtons Bandit 2nd 7/4fav.
Concerns were justified it just wasn't quite good enough.
Often Musson runners drift in price half an hour before race.
That was the case today, trading low as 2.5 took a big drift near off. My set bets 3.5 & 3.75 where taken plus 4.9 in running. Got out at 2's (like a lot of others (7k traded). Loss on race £4.

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