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FLAT RACING

AW Tuesday Feb 12th

12 Feb 13 19:58
After a very good day on Saturday left the racing alone.
Yesterday a glance at the card didn't suggest much enthusiasm.
My early morning questions where...
How many maidens actually win over 12f on only their second run (Full Swing) and
How come James Tate has had 9 Double Top runners and all had failed to win,including 2 odds on? (Naru)
Not having the enthusiam to switch on the computer and research I finally decided take my wife to see Les Miserables.

Having this morning checked out my thoughts from yesterday the answers were..
Roger Varian / Mick Jarvis hasn't had many 3yo+ maiden winner over 12f on AW and NEVER before APRIL.

James Tate now has 10 D/Top losers and, including 3 odds on this year.
Surely Raceform have got the ratings wrong about Tight Knit, which has been DT on four occasions and twice beaten odds on.

So far this year Double Top have had 31 wins from 115 selected.
Hcp races produced 10 winners from 65 selects - 4 out of 5 odds on beaten (3 of James Tate runners)but showing neither a level stake loss or profit.

TODAY
Kremlin House stable used to have some Class 2 & 3 Hcp winners on AW early in year but they where mainly down to prolific winners Millville and Philatelist. I have no fancy or support for their runner today - Shahzan. At 11's it is not a decent lay price. RESULT Traded as low as 6's UNPLACED

Ian Williams is usually in double figures with winners by this time of year but yet to get off the mark this year.
Fluctuation won twice in late January last year in higher grades than this and was noted travelling smoothly when behind Flying Pickets in claimer won by Caledonian Prince. Could turn the tables today on his favourite track.  RESULT 2nd to Flying Pickets

Phillip Hobbs got rid of ex French horse Goldmadchen when Keith Dalgleish claimed him from a seller last August.
It's shown reasonable form over 12f, and down a grade today after just touched off here latest.  Joe Fanning hasn't ridden this since winning over C&D in November. RESULT WON 7/4

It's only small stakes though today.
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