orioles

Eagles @ Cowboys

I'm going to take the Cowboys, but just for a small interest ATS.

These two are going to scrap it out down the stretch and if the Eagles can eliminate their mistakes, they can take a real run at it. The problem is that those mistakes are game-changers and Philadelphia are seemingly unable to stop handing the momentum to teams in tight games.

Dallas are vulnerable deep (Terence Newman, Mike Jenkins, Alan Ball and Gerald Sensabaugh aren't getting it done) and that's not good news against Vick and Jackson, particularly as the latter is clearly itching to put up some big numbers and wasn't shy about letting Vick know about it last week. A crucial game time decision will be whether the Eagles' right tackle Winston Justice goes; if he doesn't, DeMarcus Ware and the Cowboys can bring the sort of limiting pressure required to stifle Vick.

The Dallas offense has rediscovered its rhythm with Kitna at the helm and has even started running the ball effectively and if Jones and Choice can get going, it will open up the throw, which will be the key for the Dallas O. Losing Bryant is a huge blow, exacerbated by the possible return of Samuel at CB, but again, if it turns out Samuel can't go, Dallas look a stronger bet again. They still have the weapons deep and I like Witten a lot in this match up as the Eagles linebackers struggle in coverage and give up yardage to TEs.

As it is, take a small bet for this dog to get its own back on Vick.

Pick: Dallas +4 (2*)

Pick: 1st TD Miles Austin 8/1 (0.5pt)
Pick: Anytime TD Jason Witten 8/5 (1pt)
Pick: D Jackson/M Austin Rec Yards Buy @ 5 (1pt/tick)