orioles

Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Jets

Meh, Bengals. They've hurt me all season with their horrible play. Teams that don't bother some weeks murder you ATS, because the spreads get out of whack and I keep getting the wrong side of it.

However, there's no getting away from it - the Bengals are crap. Simple. What NFL team with any self-respect lays down in front of the Bills? They gave up 35 points in the second half last week without managing a score and if that form carries over, the Jets will murder them.

The Bengals have no pass rush, are struggling to put out a D with healthy bodies on it as Mark Sanchez is beginning to really find his feet under centre. He profited against the Texans' shaky secondary, so goodness only knows what he'll do against a Cincinnati D who have Roy Williams, Antwan Odom, Chris Crocker, Tank Johnson, Frostee Rucker, Brandon Ghee, Johnathan Joseph and Rico Murray either out, or injured.

On the other side of the rock for the Bengals are TO and Ochocinco - the former called Revis "average" and the latter will have Cromartie sitting on him all game. The Jets stuff the run, so Benson will struggle mightily to get anything going on the ground and, to cap it all, Carson Palmer is going backwards and throwing too many picks. The Jets are going to come after him and it does not bode well.

This should be a pounding by the Jets, who have plenty of weapons wide out and LT in the backfield (Ryan may not trust Greene with a greasy ball) to mix it up to terrorise the battered, hapless Bengals' defense.

Ten points is a lot to give and, as I said, the Bengals have hurt me this season, so I'm going to take a small interest. Check the weather too, that might be the only thing restricting the Jets, but it's a valid factor at the Meadowlands.

Pick: NY Jets -10 (2pts)

Pick: Anytime TD Jets Defense 5/2 (1pt)