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themightymac
01 Feb 16 22:01
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Date Joined: 05 Apr 02
| Topic/replies: 35,029 | Blogger: themightymac's blog
Too many markets and bookies can slip up now and again. Some may remember 4 years ago I put up a 100/1 winner and two years ago a few posters were on the 33/1 winner I put up and was gambled down to 4/1 at kick off. Was up before HT. Last year I was ill and couldn't go through all the bookies markets, so perhaps we missed something, we'll never know.

Can't promise I'll find anything but I'll try my best and post if I do once I get my own money on. It's not about finding a strong possibility as there are many at skimpy odds, but finding something that has a fair chance of happening but is wrongly priced.
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Report Roger De Bris February 2, 2016 12:52 PM GMT
Cheers mighty. Think i remember one of the bets was for a sack to happen?
Plenty of player prop markets to exploit as well.
Report themightymac February 2, 2016 4:37 PM GMT
Cheers Roger. One has to go through each individual bookie thoroughly and with a little luck, one can find something they have erred on by trying to be clever. It`s a laborious task, but can pay dividends hopefully. No point using odds checker or similar, as they normally have markets that all bookies are putting up. Found nothing yet. 15 firms still to check Crazy
Report Roger De Bris February 2, 2016 4:43 PM GMT
I prefer to go for the sure thing type of bet. Less odds but more likely to happen.
Shane Verren to rush for Over 11.5 yards was one I liked in the Seahawks SB.
Report themightymac February 3, 2016 3:35 PM GMT
Two years ago PP got a hammering with our winning Special - Interception Returned For A TD @ 33/1 gambled down by the forum to 4/1 at Kick-Off. Odds this year? 7/1. I think they learned from their mistake LaughLaughWink Still looking but found nothing yet.
Report themightymac February 3, 2016 3:37 PM GMT
Nothing wrong with that Roger, but if it goes tits up it can prove a nightmare. Just looking for a slip up at decent odds for the smaller punter, who normally doesn`t bet NFL, to have an interest in the game.
Report dlarssonf February 3, 2016 3:38 PM GMT
in fairness a tenner on Paddy Power will see markets collapse from 33/1 to 4/1 LaughLaugh
Report themightymac February 3, 2016 3:45 PM GMT
LaughLaugh

I got 33/1, 25/1, 20/1 using "runners" then the next day it was 12/1.
Report dlarssonf February 3, 2016 3:55 PM GMT
haha mightmac fair play to youLaughLaugh - bookies are really some shower of chancersLaugh
Report themightymac February 3, 2016 4:05 PM GMT
You are right in what you say dlf. We only got 30 quid on @ 33/1 by synchronising watches like something out of a James Bond movie LaughLaugh then price started to fall like a lead balloon Sad
Report themightymac February 3, 2016 4:10 PM GMT
Mind you, I was glad in a way when the price started shortening on the 3 day run up to SB, because I honestly thought that they had hit the 3 on the keyboard twice by mistake when they put up their prices and would try to pull the "palpable" error get out clause. 3/1 would have been skimpy but it was possible as I reckoned it was a genuine 5/1 shot. But no, they just made a huge blunder. Wink
Report themightymac February 3, 2016 4:11 PM GMT
Still looking. Surely there must be a mistake somewhere. Crazy
Report dlarssonf February 3, 2016 4:15 PM GMT
themightymac    03 Feb 16 16:05 
You are right in what you say dlf. We only got 30 quid on @ 33/1 by synchronising watches like something out of a James Bond movie LaughLaugh then price started to fall like a lead balloon Sad


LaughLaugh deadly
Report Roger De Bris February 3, 2016 4:19 PM GMT
Well done mighty some great picks at huge prices. Sickening that when you find a value bet you can't get a decent few quid on it.
I had Russel Wilson last year to run for over 40.5yds and after 3 carries for 39 it was looking good with 6.44 left in the 3rd!
Astonished he never ran again with the field wide open many times...
Report grayhawk February 3, 2016 4:57 PM GMT
Jeez that's a bad way to lose your money Roger Sad
Report themightymac February 3, 2016 5:49 PM GMT
That was a kick in the balls Roger.
Report themightymac February 3, 2016 5:51 PM GMT
If you think the British bookies are bad, I have been checking out some in USA and came up with this unbelievable one, Spartan Sports, I quote,

"Horse Wagering Limits : Maximum Payout For $2 Win Bet Is $32 (16 to 1). For $2 Place Bet Is $14 (7 to 1) and For Show Bet Is $8 (4 to 1). Maximum Payout For A Quinella Is 50 to 1 and ALL Other Exotics Have A Maximum Payout of 100 to 1. Example, Winning Horse Pays $75 to Win, We ONLY Pay $32. Winning Horse Pays $25 To Place, We ONLY Pay $14 and Winning Horse Pays $15 To Show, We ONLY Pay $8".

Shocked
Report Roger De Bris February 3, 2016 8:32 PM GMT
Wouldn't fancy betting with US bookies!Laugh
That Wilson thing was a real kick in the cohones.
Was my first losing Super Bowl in 23 years....Laugh
Report mookybarkid February 4, 2016 7:22 AM GMT
Not sure how well it fits the criteria here but most bookies still include the draw at full time as an option in HT/FT bets despite a draw being impossible in a Super Bowl
Report therhino February 4, 2016 10:07 AM GMT

Feb 4, 2016 -- 7:22AM, mookybarkid wrote:


Not sure how well it fits the criteria here but most bookies still include the draw at full time as an option in HT/FT bets despite a draw being impossible in a Super Bowl


Pretty sure you will find those bets do not include overtime.

Report Lance in France February 4, 2016 10:28 AM GMT
Looking forward to it Mac. Last year was boring! Cheers Lance
Report Notsofastmyfriend February 4, 2016 4:52 PM GMT
8/1 both teams have a delay of game penalty.
Report themightymac February 4, 2016 5:44 PM GMT
Thanks Lance. Found nothing yet though. Still looking. Cry
Report KIMBLE February 4, 2016 11:10 PM GMT
is there a market for manning not to take denvers last snap?
Report themightymac February 4, 2016 11:42 PM GMT
There is a market for Manning to be benched during the game.
Report therhino February 5, 2016 8:14 AM GMT

Feb 4, 2016 -- 11:42PM, themightymac wrote:


There is a market for Manning to be benched during the game.


Does it have to be coaches decision?

Report themightymac February 5, 2016 6:01 PM GMT
No, it was a price on the back up O taking a snap.
Report themightymac February 5, 2016 6:02 PM GMT
O = Osw..whatever you call him
Report Mooono February 5, 2016 6:14 PM GMT
2point conversion attempt at 3/1 is a great bet! It doesn't even have to be a successful one to get paid out. Panthers went for the 2point conversion when up by 25 Laugh Warming up for more of the same in the Superbowl.
Report themightymac February 5, 2016 7:01 PM GMT
Sorry guys, I`ve been through them all and can`t find any major blunder at big big price on specials.

However, I have found one bet for any casual viewer of NFL looking for an interest for the whole game at a decent price, although having bet it myself I hope it comes up in the first quarter. Crazy

The bet is, EITHER TEAM TO SCORE A SAFETY @ 12/1 WITH HULLS.

That price is wrong and should only be half that at 6/1 imo and indeed the opinion of most bookies, with most going from 5/1 to 7/1. Hulls won`t be offering that price for long and anybody wanting it should bet it now.

Peyton Manning has never been the most mobile of QB and he`s even worse now. Carolina defense is very good and will be gunning for him. If they get pinned on their goal line, we have an excellent chance of this pulling. Panthers to score a Safety is probably our best hope, but, Denver have the best defense in NFL and are very very fast, so likewise, if Carolina get pinned on their goal line, it`s not beyond the realms of possibility that the Broncos can score a Safety!

There will be opportunities for both teams during the match, of that I`m convinced, so let`s hope that the bet can prove beneficial.

If you have a small tinker, grab that 12/1 now, for it won`t last. Only other bookie going anywhere near that is 635 who go 10/1. The rest go between 5/1 and 7/1 which, as stated earlier, is more like the correct odds.

Good luck and enjoy the game.
Report themightymac February 5, 2016 7:02 PM GMT
Please list your own Special Bets below, regardless of the price.

There are some BANKERS but at short prices.
Report casemoney February 7, 2016 3:48 PM GMT
that don't look a bad bet moono Happy
Report Awetsail. February 7, 2016 9:48 PM GMT
Not a bad bet 2/1 for over 2.5 players to attempt a pass, those who think osweiler may play.
Also have the trick play option running for you or a possible fumbled snap at field goal attempt.

Bet is with l adbrokes.
Report elmasters February 7, 2016 11:17 PM GMT
ive had 2 bets.

orange gatorade to be thrown on the coach 6/4.  both trams threw orange end of champ gamr it will be the same again

kick off to be delayed by more than 15 mins aswell
Report Roger De Bris February 7, 2016 11:38 PM GMT
Over 8.5 punts. Grin
Report themightymac February 8, 2016 1:44 AM GMT
If one of the team's can punt inside the 10 yard line, I really fancy my chances of a Safety. Excited
Report Roger De Bris February 8, 2016 2:23 AM GMT
9 punts. Money.
Report STELLAR MANIPULATOR February 8, 2016 2:46 AM GMT
Backed Yellow with Bwin as the first song Coldplay would sing at halftime and they did two lines of it before breaking into Viva la Vida. I note that they have settled Viva la Vida as the winner . Any body else do this bet with other firms please let me know how they settle it as it far from free from doubt in the circumstances ?
Report themightymac February 8, 2016 3:03 AM GMT
Well done Roger
Report themightymac February 8, 2016 3:05 AM GMT
You should get paid stellar imo
Report themightymac February 8, 2016 3:07 AM GMT
Well done mooono
Report Lance in France February 8, 2016 3:08 AM GMT
Respect Mooono Grin
Report elmasters February 8, 2016 3:08 AM GMT
theres no way any firm pays on yellow first song imo
Report KIMBLE February 8, 2016 3:09 AM GMT
two points Grin
Report casemoney February 8, 2016 3:10 AM GMT
Call moono Happy
Report KIMBLE February 8, 2016 3:12 AM GMT
so close to saftey
Report Lance in France February 8, 2016 3:12 AM GMT
Thought that was going to be the safety thereExcitedSad
Report themightymac February 8, 2016 3:12 AM GMT
Ffs he had him for a Safety
Report themightymac February 8, 2016 3:13 AM GMT
Been tackling great all night and he let him away Cry
Report Roger De Bris February 8, 2016 3:15 AM GMT
WD Moonoo 2pt attempt was still value at 2/1.
Unlucky mighty.
Report themightymac February 8, 2016 3:18 AM GMT
Gutted Sad
Report elmasters February 8, 2016 3:24 AM GMT
that gatorade was the most beautiful shade of orangeExcitedCool
Report Roger De Bris February 8, 2016 3:25 AM GMT
WD el.
Report themightymac February 8, 2016 3:26 AM GMT
Well done elm
Report elmasters February 8, 2016 3:37 AM GMT
any ide when most tweeted brand is revealed?
Report elmasters February 8, 2016 3:50 AM GMT

Feb 8, 2016 -- 2:46AM, STELLAR MANIPULATOR wrote:


Backed Yellow with Bwin as the first song Coldplay would sing at halftime and they did two lines of it before breaking into Viva la Vida. I note that they have settled Viva la Vida as the winner . Any body else do this bet with other firms please let me know how they settle it as it far from free from doubt in the circumstances ?


betfair have paid on both according to there tweet.  ide kick up a stink

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