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themightymac
01 Feb 16 22:01
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Date Joined: 05 Apr 02
| Topic/replies: 35,029 | Blogger: themightymac's blog
Too many markets and bookies can slip up now and again. Some may remember 4 years ago I put up a 100/1 winner and two years ago a few posters were on the 33/1 winner I put up and was gambled down to 4/1 at kick off. Was up before HT. Last year I was ill and couldn't go through all the bookies markets, so perhaps we missed something, we'll never know.

Can't promise I'll find anything but I'll try my best and post if I do once I get my own money on. It's not about finding a strong possibility as there are many at skimpy odds, but finding something that has a fair chance of happening but is wrongly priced.

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Replies: 55
By:
Roger De Bris
When: 02 Feb 16 12:52
Cheers mighty. Think i remember one of the bets was for a sack to happen?
Plenty of player prop markets to exploit as well.
By:
themightymac
When: 02 Feb 16 16:37
Cheers Roger. One has to go through each individual bookie thoroughly and with a little luck, one can find something they have erred on by trying to be clever. It`s a laborious task, but can pay dividends hopefully. No point using odds checker or similar, as they normally have markets that all bookies are putting up. Found nothing yet. 15 firms still to check Crazy
By:
Roger De Bris
When: 02 Feb 16 16:43
I prefer to go for the sure thing type of bet. Less odds but more likely to happen.
Shane Verren to rush for Over 11.5 yards was one I liked in the Seahawks SB.
By:
themightymac
When: 03 Feb 16 15:35
Two years ago PP got a hammering with our winning Special - Interception Returned For A TD @ 33/1 gambled down by the forum to 4/1 at Kick-Off. Odds this year? 7/1. I think they learned from their mistake LaughLaughWink Still looking but found nothing yet.
By:
themightymac
When: 03 Feb 16 15:37
Nothing wrong with that Roger, but if it goes tits up it can prove a nightmare. Just looking for a slip up at decent odds for the smaller punter, who normally doesn`t bet NFL, to have an interest in the game.
By:
dlarssonf
When: 03 Feb 16 15:38
in fairness a tenner on Paddy Power will see markets collapse from 33/1 to 4/1 LaughLaugh
By:
themightymac
When: 03 Feb 16 15:45
LaughLaugh

I got 33/1, 25/1, 20/1 using "runners" then the next day it was 12/1.
By:
dlarssonf
When: 03 Feb 16 15:55
haha mightmac fair play to youLaughLaugh - bookies are really some shower of chancersLaugh
By:
themightymac
When: 03 Feb 16 16:05
You are right in what you say dlf. We only got 30 quid on @ 33/1 by synchronising watches like something out of a James Bond movie LaughLaugh then price started to fall like a lead balloon Sad
By:
themightymac
When: 03 Feb 16 16:10
Mind you, I was glad in a way when the price started shortening on the 3 day run up to SB, because I honestly thought that they had hit the 3 on the keyboard twice by mistake when they put up their prices and would try to pull the "palpable" error get out clause. 3/1 would have been skimpy but it was possible as I reckoned it was a genuine 5/1 shot. But no, they just made a huge blunder. Wink
By:
themightymac
When: 03 Feb 16 16:11
Still looking. Surely there must be a mistake somewhere. Crazy
By:
dlarssonf
When: 03 Feb 16 16:15
themightymac    03 Feb 16 16:05 
You are right in what you say dlf. We only got 30 quid on @ 33/1 by synchronising watches like something out of a James Bond movie LaughLaugh then price started to fall like a lead balloon Sad


LaughLaugh deadly
By:
Roger De Bris
When: 03 Feb 16 16:19
Well done mighty some great picks at huge prices. Sickening that when you find a value bet you can't get a decent few quid on it.
I had Russel Wilson last year to run for over 40.5yds and after 3 carries for 39 it was looking good with 6.44 left in the 3rd!
Astonished he never ran again with the field wide open many times...
By:
grayhawk
When: 03 Feb 16 16:57
Jeez that's a bad way to lose your money Roger Sad
By:
themightymac
When: 03 Feb 16 17:49
That was a kick in the balls Roger.
By:
themightymac
When: 03 Feb 16 17:51
If you think the British bookies are bad, I have been checking out some in USA and came up with this unbelievable one, Spartan Sports, I quote,

"Horse Wagering Limits : Maximum Payout For $2 Win Bet Is $32 (16 to 1). For $2 Place Bet Is $14 (7 to 1) and For Show Bet Is $8 (4 to 1). Maximum Payout For A Quinella Is 50 to 1 and ALL Other Exotics Have A Maximum Payout of 100 to 1. Example, Winning Horse Pays $75 to Win, We ONLY Pay $32. Winning Horse Pays $25 To Place, We ONLY Pay $14 and Winning Horse Pays $15 To Show, We ONLY Pay $8".

Shocked
By:
Roger De Bris
When: 03 Feb 16 20:32
Wouldn't fancy betting with US bookies!Laugh
That Wilson thing was a real kick in the cohones.
Was my first losing Super Bowl in 23 years....Laugh
By:
mookybarkid
When: 04 Feb 16 07:22
Not sure how well it fits the criteria here but most bookies still include the draw at full time as an option in HT/FT bets despite a draw being impossible in a Super Bowl
By:
therhino
When: 04 Feb 16 10:07

Feb 4, 2016 -- 7:22AM, mookybarkid wrote:


Not sure how well it fits the criteria here but most bookies still include the draw at full time as an option in HT/FT bets despite a draw being impossible in a Super Bowl


Pretty sure you will find those bets do not include overtime.

By:
Lance in France
When: 04 Feb 16 10:28
Looking forward to it Mac. Last year was boring! Cheers Lance
By:
Notsofastmyfriend
When: 04 Feb 16 16:52
8/1 both teams have a delay of game penalty.
By:
themightymac
When: 04 Feb 16 17:44
Thanks Lance. Found nothing yet though. Still looking. Cry
By:
KIMBLE
When: 04 Feb 16 23:10
is there a market for manning not to take denvers last snap?
By:
themightymac
When: 04 Feb 16 23:42
There is a market for Manning to be benched during the game.
By:
therhino
When: 05 Feb 16 08:14

Feb 4, 2016 -- 11:42PM, themightymac wrote:


There is a market for Manning to be benched during the game.


Does it have to be coaches decision?

By:
themightymac
When: 05 Feb 16 18:01
No, it was a price on the back up O taking a snap.
By:
themightymac
When: 05 Feb 16 18:02
O = Osw..whatever you call him
By:
Mooono
When: 05 Feb 16 18:14
2point conversion attempt at 3/1 is a great bet! It doesn't even have to be a successful one to get paid out. Panthers went for the 2point conversion when up by 25 Laugh Warming up for more of the same in the Superbowl.
By:
themightymac
When: 05 Feb 16 19:01
Sorry guys, I`ve been through them all and can`t find any major blunder at big big price on specials.

However, I have found one bet for any casual viewer of NFL looking for an interest for the whole game at a decent price, although having bet it myself I hope it comes up in the first quarter. Crazy

The bet is, EITHER TEAM TO SCORE A SAFETY @ 12/1 WITH HULLS.

That price is wrong and should only be half that at 6/1 imo and indeed the opinion of most bookies, with most going from 5/1 to 7/1. Hulls won`t be offering that price for long and anybody wanting it should bet it now.

Peyton Manning has never been the most mobile of QB and he`s even worse now. Carolina defense is very good and will be gunning for him. If they get pinned on their goal line, we have an excellent chance of this pulling. Panthers to score a Safety is probably our best hope, but, Denver have the best defense in NFL and are very very fast, so likewise, if Carolina get pinned on their goal line, it`s not beyond the realms of possibility that the Broncos can score a Safety!

There will be opportunities for both teams during the match, of that I`m convinced, so let`s hope that the bet can prove beneficial.

If you have a small tinker, grab that 12/1 now, for it won`t last. Only other bookie going anywhere near that is 635 who go 10/1. The rest go between 5/1 and 7/1 which, as stated earlier, is more like the correct odds.

Good luck and enjoy the game.
By:
themightymac
When: 05 Feb 16 19:02
Please list your own Special Bets below, regardless of the price.

There are some BANKERS but at short prices.
By:
casemoney
When: 07 Feb 16 15:48
that don't look a bad bet moono Happy
By:
Awetsail.
When: 07 Feb 16 21:48
Not a bad bet 2/1 for over 2.5 players to attempt a pass, those who think osweiler may play.
Also have the trick play option running for you or a possible fumbled snap at field goal attempt.

Bet is with l adbrokes.
By:
elmasters
When: 07 Feb 16 23:17
ive had 2 bets.

orange gatorade to be thrown on the coach 6/4.  both trams threw orange end of champ gamr it will be the same again

kick off to be delayed by more than 15 mins aswell
By:
Roger De Bris
When: 07 Feb 16 23:38
Over 8.5 punts. Grin
By:
themightymac
When: 08 Feb 16 01:44
If one of the team's can punt inside the 10 yard line, I really fancy my chances of a Safety. Excited
By:
Roger De Bris
When: 08 Feb 16 02:23
9 punts. Money.
By:
STELLAR MANIPULATOR
When: 08 Feb 16 02:46
Backed Yellow with Bwin as the first song Coldplay would sing at halftime and they did two lines of it before breaking into Viva la Vida. I note that they have settled Viva la Vida as the winner . Any body else do this bet with other firms please let me know how they settle it as it far from free from doubt in the circumstances ?
By:
themightymac
When: 08 Feb 16 03:03
Well done Roger
By:
themightymac
When: 08 Feb 16 03:05
You should get paid stellar imo
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