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ClayDavis
15 Dec 13 15:04
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Date Joined: 07 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 8,456 | Blogger: ClayDavis's blog
EAGLES SET TO SOAR AGAINST MANGLED MINNESOTA - big bet on the Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 at 10-11 - plus big bet on Riley Cooper Anytime Touchdown Scorer at Evens

Eagles are on a roll against a Vikings side very likely to be missing Adrien Petersen. Shouldn't the Eagles be giving up 10+ on the spread instead of under a touchdown? I just love this bet. Forget all this nonsense about a trap game, the Eagles should win this and win it easy.
The Eagles come into this game at near full strength while the Vikings are missing AP plus starting CB Josh Robinson, also starting OG Brandon Fusco is doubtful, starting CB Chris Cook is questionable and CB Xavier Rhodes is doubtful. The Vikings secondary is sh!t at the best of times and a expect Nick Foles to find Jackson and Cooper with considerable ease. I'm a huge fan of Riley Cooper and he is fast becoming Foles' go to man and I expect Cooper to beast this secondary.
The Eagles D has been excellent recently, they have really stepped up to the plate.

TEXANS TO CURB THE COLTS IN TIGHT TUSSLE Big bet on the Houston Texans +5 at 10-11
Can Houston win this? yes! Will they win it? Not so sure. But there are reasons to think they can beat the spread. Houston are still a good team running the ball whereas the Colts D has been dreadful against the run. The Bengals carved them open last week. The Texans are better than their record and have got shot of their head coach - at long last. They can easily bounce back to form in this game and keep a check on a Colts side that have been struggling in recent weeks.

RAMS TO REEL IN THE TRAVEL SICK SAINTS Big Bet on the St Louis Rams +6.5 at 10-11.
New Orleans have just played San Francisco, Seattle, Carolina and have Carolina next week. That is one hellava schedule and I expect them to be tired today, and maybe even have one eye on next week.
Plus the Rams are no one's mugs. It wasn't long ago that the Seahawks really struggled in St Louis. I really like the Rams' front four and I expect them to get a lot of pressure on Brees today. I'm not saying the Rams will win but it wouldn't come as a huge shock. I expect this to be a tight game.

NELSON TO NAIL THE COWARDLY COWGIRLS Big bet on Jordy Nelson Anytime Touchdown Scorer at 5-4.
Just how bad is this Cowboys secondary? I couldn't believe what I was seeing on Monday Night against the Bears. Wide receivers wide open all night long despite getting no pass rush on the QB. Matt Flynn is not everyone's cup of tea and he makes mistakes but he will have plenty of time to find his receivers and Jordy Nelson could easily crucify this secondary. With the running threat of Eddie Lacy I think the Cowboys will load the box leaving man to man on Nelson. He will win that battle every day.

BEARS TO BOTTLE IT WITH CLUELESS CUTLER AT THE HELM Big bet on the Cleveland Browns (moneyline) at Evens.
Hooray for the return of the pathetic Jay Cutler. I can make nice money opposing the Bears again. Why they are not sticking with McGown I will never know. Anyway, Cutler is back and now is the time to back the Browns who won the moral victory in New England last week despite losing in the last seconds. A repeat of the performance will be good enough against a Bears side that are still a dreadful defensive unit. The Cowboys still moved the ball at will against them on MNF despite playing poorly.
Three cheers for Jay Cutler.

FINNS SET TO FAIL AGAINST THE BRILLIANT BRADY Big bet on the New England Patriots (moneyline) at 11/10
The Pats are odds against to beat the Finns? My my my. Ok the Gronk is out but he has been missing most of the season. Money has been pouring in all week on the Dolphins and I have been reading everywhere how this game is more important to them than New England. tripe. New England win out and they are number one seeds in the AFC. Huge incentive.
True it's win or bust for the Dolphins. Defeat today and they can pack up for the season. Brady still has Amendola and Vereen at his disposal and he will still rip the Finns apart.
The Pats own the Finns. Always have, always will. I still remember the 1985 AFC Championship game when the Wildcard Pats went to Miami and easily beat the Dan Marino-led Dolphins Cool

BIG BEN TO DUMP DALTON THE DUD Big bet on the Pittsburgh Steelers (moneyline) at 23-20
If only the Bengals didn't have Andy Dalton!!! How good would they be? Very is the answer. Anyway it's going to be fecking freezing in Pittsburgh tonight, might even snow. Cincinnati have all but guaranteed themselves the division. Pittsburgh need to win out to have any chance of a wildcard. Cincinnati are far better at home. Big Ben has been in good form recently. And Pittsburgh will be the far more motivated team

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Replies: 59
By:
tenpins
When: 15 Dec 13 15:14
Agree 100% about the patriots. 11/10 seems too good to be true Confused
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 15 Dec 13 16:59
Iggles especially stonking with AP and Gerhart out, I got 5.5.


Like NE pick, they can also always rely on a laughable PI call when they need one.
By:
Sudoku_Junior
When: 15 Dec 13 17:31
Have to have the pats at the price.
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 15 Dec 13 21:06
0/4 so far Clay, tough week.
By:
Beaniash
When: 15 Dec 13 21:09
NOT A GOOD DAY SO FAR OP
By:
themightymac
When: 16 Dec 13 00:50
Don`t pack in your day job.
By:
Beaniash
When: 16 Dec 13 00:59
WOULDA LOOKED LESS OF A DOUCHE IF HE JUST KEPT IT TO ONE PARAGRAPH INSTEAD OF GOING ALL PROFESSIONAL ON US.
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 16 Dec 13 01:00
He just bets against teams and people he hates and wonders why he keeps losing...
By:
Beaniash
When: 16 Dec 13 01:04
THATS 2/7 BY MY CALCULATIONS
By:
Wallflower
When: 16 Dec 13 01:08
3 / 8 for the week so far  (had Chargers on Thursday)......Steelers to beat Bengals to come.
By:
Still standing
When: 16 Dec 13 01:13
331 views.  I've finally figured out that all those views are just for the humour factor, certainly not for the riveting selections. And no rash man, nice to see your two, count em' two, rashes have cleared up Clay, I can't pick the point handicap any better.  Picking and betting the handicaps is a mugs game.  Pick 56 % and you're a multi millionaire.  I think there are 2 to 5 people who can do it, and Clay certainly isn't one of them.

I guess we can add Andy Daulton to Clay's list of most hated QBs.  The most hated is Cutler.  Clue in Clay, Tressman played Cutler today because he thinks he's better then what's his name.  Marc Tressman, the guy who's baby toe has more football knowledge then you will ever have thinks Cutler is better then McGowan.  Now shut TF up.

Look at the in depth reasoning on the late game.  Can't stand Daulton.  So what.  The guy can play.  Cold it Steel town tonight.  So what.  Is Cincy in the tropics ?  Cincy has all but guaranteed their playoff spot.  Really.  Can you read stats.  2 games above Baltimore.  Pitts need to win for the wildcard chance.  They need to win, because they've stunk it up this year.  Besides, they need to win, so effin what ?  Cincy far better at home.  They're 3 and 4 on the road.  What does far better at home matter, when they're in the top third as a road team.  Look it up ****.  Pittsburgh will be far more motivated.  Hell, I guess Cincy should just mail it in.  Newsflash to Clay.  Cincy hates Pittsburgh, and they have all the motivation any team will ever have to beat another. 
Pittsburgh may well win, that's not the point.  The point is that your reasoning for almost every pick is laughable.  God help the muppets who actually think you know what you're talking about.
By:
sofiakenny
When: 16 Dec 13 01:22
so who wins standing chap?
By:
sofiakenny
When: 16 Dec 13 01:25
my cash is on the bungals..reasoning?..i am a jammy sod and i like the orange and black sripes.
By:
Still standing
When: 16 Dec 13 01:29
I like cincy on the ML, but because  I figured out a long time ago that because this is a trading site,  it's best, for me anyway, to try and be neutral and bet in play.  Get in, get your profit, get out.  Playing the point spread is a mugs game.  The fact I like Cincy doesn't mean I'm betting them.  That would be gambling.
By:
kingmax
When: 16 Dec 13 01:30
trading is gambling ffs
By:
Still standing
When: 16 Dec 13 01:31
Liking orange and black stripes is just as strong as Clay's reasoning.
By:
Still standing
When: 16 Dec 13 01:31
If you say so King
By:
kingmax
When: 16 Dec 13 01:32
explain how its not then...
By:
sofiakenny
When: 16 Dec 13 01:35
i ageee with king
By:
Still standing
When: 16 Dec 13 01:39
Its not because there are many spots in an NFL game when the odds will drop or rise, without fail.  Get on the right side, trade in and out.  You're hardly gambling.  If you want to be technical and say that sometimes these times turn out wrong, therefor it's gambling, go ahead.  I don't agree.  Taking a position before the kickoff is gambling.  Muffed kick, after that fumble.  That's gambling.  I bet when I know that I have a way above average chance to win, usually taking prices that are grossly wrong.  Trade in, take a couple of percentage points, get out.
By:
Still standing
When: 16 Dec 13 01:41
many many times during an NFL game you have a chance for a winning trade, not just a couple of points, but several.  No, I'll not say what they are.
By:
kingmax
When: 16 Dec 13 01:45
so you come here, slated the original poster and then went on to make the stupidest comment on betfair..
By:
Still standing
When: 16 Dec 13 01:47
Says who ?  You.  Fukc me, I think I'll go to my bedroom and cry
By:
kingmax
When: 16 Dec 13 01:48
sorry, your the bollox..
By:
Still standing
When: 16 Dec 13 01:48
I slated Clay, which I guess in your mind is terrible.  But then you slate me.  Go figure.  Me bad, you good.
By:
Still standing
When: 16 Dec 13 01:51
Aren't you the guy who hates Novak Dj.  Yeah, you're credible.
By:
themightymac
When: 16 Dec 13 01:53
What a load of rubbish. If you bet a team on the money line and they are never in front your can`t trade out for profit. Money Line and Trading is gambling just the same, albeit for windy punters, and I`m being polite.

I don`t know a serious NFL punter who doesn`t do their own handicaps and bet accordingly when one thinks the line is wrong.
By:
Wallflower
When: 16 Dec 13 01:59
Fundamental differences between trading and straight betting on an outcome, to make them very different activities indeed.

I would join this discussion but I'm busy trading at the moment, needs my full concentration at the moment...if I was gambling straight on the outcome I would / could discuss itCool.

The difference between my p/l for the NFL season and Clays is anotherHappy.

(Apologies Clay, couldn't resist, you're a big boy I know you can take itHappy)
By:
themightymac
When: 16 Dec 13 02:04
He`s betting Cincy now and if they score next he`ll lay off for a $1 profit and come on hear to tell us how clever he is Laugh
By:
themightymac
When: 16 Dec 13 02:05
*here
By:
themightymac
When: 16 Dec 13 02:06
Hope Bungals don`t score a point. Laugh
By:
Wallflower
When: 16 Dec 13 02:07
....are you talking to me?  or someone else?
By:
kingmax
When: 16 Dec 13 02:07
there ****...
By:
themightymac
When: 16 Dec 13 02:09
someone else Laugh
By:
themightymac
When: 16 Dec 13 02:11
Quick trade out for a loss Laugh
By:
kingmax
When: 16 Dec 13 02:11
LaughLaugh
By:
themightymac
When: 16 Dec 13 02:11
It`s not gambling by the way Laugh
By:
themightymac
When: 16 Dec 13 04:09
So anybody that bet the Bungals -2 on the handicap is a mug gambler but anybody who bet them in running on the money line, at a "value" price, when 3 or 10 points down early on (with aim of trading out for a profit at a shorter price, which they never went) are shrooooood investors and not gamblers. Whoops
By:
Wallflower
When: 16 Dec 13 04:22
nope
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