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A few early lines stand out for me
Colts -3.0 @ Jaguars
This is a different Colts team to the one beaten by the Jags in week 3, with 4 wins from their last 5 and Andrew Luck looking more-and-more like the real deal as each week passes. The Jaguars, meanwhile, are IMO one of the two worst teams this season (tied with the Chiefs) and have lost 5 on the bounce since that win in week 3. It is priced up accordingly however with the Colts at 4/5 as opposed to the traditional 10/11. The line won't move from 3 points either but the price may actually get worse than 4/5 (Coral are 10/11 but for a 3.5pt spread)
Bills +11.0 @ Patriots & Rams +11.0 @ 49ers
Both these games fall into a "system" which I like, which is to back the underdog with the points in a divisional matchup where the spread is 10+ points. I don't have the figures to-hand (I'll post it up tomorrow if I remember) but I think the Dog is something like 65% covering these spreads over the last 5 years. I will admit that it goes against the grain to go with teams like the Bills and Rams travelling to powerhouses like the Pats and Niners but you have to take a long-term view of these things sometimes
Buccaneers -3.0 vs Chargers
Bucs again are underestimated by Vegas this week, although their tendency to concede points is a bit worrying. Both teams are 4-4 but the Chargers have only won 2 of their last 6, both of which were against the hapless Chiefs. As with the Colts/Jags 3pt spread though the price is again in the 4/5 - 5/6 range
Saints +1.0 vs Falcons
I am firmly in the "not-quite-convinced-by-the-undefeated-Falcons-yet" camp so this pick is based on that conviction obviously. While I admit that the Falcons have beaten everything put in front of them so far, some of those wins have been unconvincing. If they win this with an impressive performance I think they will go outright favourites for the big one on Monday morning.
Colts -3.0 @ Jaguars
This is a different Colts team to the one beaten by the Jags in week 3, with 4 wins from their last 5 and Andrew Luck looking more-and-more like the real deal as each week passes. The Jaguars, meanwhile, are IMO one of the two worst teams this season (tied with the Chiefs) and have lost 5 on the bounce since that win in week 3. It is priced up accordingly however with the Colts at 4/5 as opposed to the traditional 10/11. The line won't move from 3 points either but the price may actually get worse than 4/5 (Coral are 10/11 but for a 3.5pt spread)
Bills +11.0 @ Patriots & Rams +11.0 @ 49ers
Both these games fall into a "system" which I like, which is to back the underdog with the points in a divisional matchup where the spread is 10+ points. I don't have the figures to-hand (I'll post it up tomorrow if I remember) but I think the Dog is something like 65% covering these spreads over the last 5 years. I will admit that it goes against the grain to go with teams like the Bills and Rams travelling to powerhouses like the Pats and Niners but you have to take a long-term view of these things sometimes
Buccaneers -3.0 vs Chargers
Bucs again are underestimated by Vegas this week, although their tendency to concede points is a bit worrying. Both teams are 4-4 but the Chargers have only won 2 of their last 6, both of which were against the hapless Chiefs. As with the Colts/Jags 3pt spread though the price is again in the 4/5 - 5/6 range
Saints +1.0 vs Falcons
I am firmly in the "not-quite-convinced-by-the-undefeated-Falcons-yet" camp so this pick is based on that conviction obviously. While I admit that the Falcons have beaten everything put in front of them so far, some of those wins have been unconvincing. If they win this with an impressive performance I think they will go outright favourites for the big one on Monday morning.
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tempted to go in again on Rams. It must be destiny, surely?
This game better not end in a tie so bets are voided.
My leg feels like jelly just watching. I would never make a kicker
lol at coverage going just as he is about to have the second attempt 
db who do you reckon on next weeks last man standing 
made it through another week
made it through another week
recalled 80 yarder; delay of game; rams will be fuming
Harry, I'll have to ask my 7yo in the morning. He's in round 3 and I have gone out in round 1 the last 2 weeks!
I can't believe good profit for 3,5 hrs work could be gone here (in case of tie).
was down to 500 this week and got lucky with man united but newcastle and arsenal would have been popular picks this week
The rams will surely go for a huge play...niners will be waiting and they will run it back to the house
Would have been one of my best results of the season - only hedged about 20% on the tie (at silly prices) 
I want my 3,5 hrs back, since BF took my profits back.
Massive anti climax.... confusion and mistakes by officials to boot. pathetic.
handicap bet stands.
void on outright markets on b/f.
Bookmakers tied runs apply on M/L.
I think
void on outright markets on b/f.
Bookmakers tied runs apply on M/L.
I think
yes harry, let of fro them.
Very well done on the picks DB
Very well done on the picks DB
ahh yes 4/4..nice work db..shame about the last man standing pick
Thanks - good couple of weeks alright
Pinnacle have paid out on Rams anyway so presumably Moneyline only is a tie
Harry, I'd say a good few went down this week in LMS. If Spurs had held on it would have been a massacre
Pinnacle have paid out on Rams anyway so presumably Moneyline only is a tie
Harry, I'd say a good few went down this week in LMS. If Spurs had held on it would have been a massacre
I know..i was hoping they went out as well...also everton came back late...I used united this week and went with a nice pick 2 weeks ago with norwich home to stoke and a lot went down in week 1 with spurs losing to wigan
the packers shut down this texans team in houston...what are the bears going to do 
This is a tasty game but what looks good? so many ideas...
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