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As we all know the general public no nothing about gambling.
The 'Vegas Pro' rule is that anytime 70% or more of the money is going with one side, you should look at the other team with a view to betting them.
The last three weeks has seen this theory go 7:3 ATS
It is early this week but already we have three sides being strongly backed by the public who we should look at seriously to oppose.
Houston 77.1%
Denver 77.1%
San Diego 75%
I will update over the course of the week as events unfold.
The 'Vegas Pro' rule is that anytime 70% or more of the money is going with one side, you should look at the other team with a view to betting them.
The last three weeks has seen this theory go 7:3 ATS
It is early this week but already we have three sides being strongly backed by the public who we should look at seriously to oppose.
Houston 77.1%
Denver 77.1%
San Diego 75%
I will update over the course of the week as events unfold.
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San Diego 78.5%
Houston 76.3%
Denver 75.5%
I cannot trust the Texans for sure!
Houston 76.3%
Denver 75.5%
I cannot trust the Texans for sure!
crikey
the numbers have expanded!!
San Diego 79%
New England 76.2%
Houston 75.8%
Denver 74.4%
New Orleans 74%
maybe we need to go against 5 this week!!
the numbers have expanded!!
San Diego 79%
New England 76.2%
Houston 75.8%
Denver 74.4%
New Orleans 74%
maybe we need to go against 5 this week!!
when do you think the best time to "take the reading" is? Is it not to early now?
I note that the week just gone had 2 other teams on 70% plus by kick-off - Minnesota and Cincinati (one of which covered, the other didn't).
I note that the week just gone had 2 other teams on 70% plus by kick-off - Minnesota and Cincinati (one of which covered, the other didn't).
hi red
i normally take a final look on about the saturday night.
i normally take a final look on about the saturday night.
i did not realise about minnesota and cinci.
what time did you check those?
what time did you check those?
checked on Sunday not long before kick-off. I viewed this site - maybe it's the wrong one or not that same as the one you are looking at? The figures seem to fluctuate quite a bit which is why I asked it there is an optimum time in your opinion to check?
http://www.wagertracker.com/consensusPicks.aspx?week=18&sport=NFL&expertsonly=false
http://www.wagertracker.com/consensusPicks.aspx?week=18&sport=NFL&expertsonly=false
Here's last week's final results with Cinci nowhere near 70%
http://contests.covers.com/Handicapping/consensusPick/daily-consensus-picks.aspx?sport=1&date=11/29/2009&select_type=0
http://contests.covers.com/Handicapping/consensusPick/daily-consensus-picks.aspx?sport=1&date=11/29/2009&select_type=0
San Diego 76.6%
New England 74%
Houston 71.3%
Denver 71.1%
Minnesota 70.1%
could be a big five time opposer this weekend!
New England 74%
Houston 71.3%
Denver 71.1%
Minnesota 70.1%
could be a big five time opposer this weekend!
final check and only 4 now to be opposed as Denver slipped below the 70% mark:
San Diego 75.5%
New England 74.3%
Minnesota 70.4%
Houston 70%
The Houston shout is tough as well as they are bang on 70%, is the rule 70% or above 70%....................
We also need to find a time each week for a cut off.
Anyway, for information and use them how you wish!
San Diego 75.5%
New England 74.3%
Minnesota 70.4%
Houston 70%
The Houston shout is tough as well as they are bang on 70%, is the rule 70% or above 70%....................
We also need to find a time each week for a cut off.
Anyway, for information and use them how you wish!
pretty gutted denver has fell behind as its one off my bets.
Id imagine a sunday around 4pm would be a cut off point surely not too many more enter after this, Also shouldnt be a problem on getting bets off.
Also is their any over under bets above 70% as doesnt it work on that also?
Id imagine a sunday around 4pm would be a cut off point surely not too many more enter after this, Also shouldnt be a problem on getting bets off.
Also is their any over under bets above 70% as doesnt it work on that also?
tough call to oppose ne but i can see mileage in the others
as of now, just NE (74.01%) and SD (74.78%) are over the 70% mark
just for info
just for info
i know, i fancy ne -4.5 tho!! i can't back miami @ _4.5 just wouldnt feel right!
Have to go for a Colts win today, Titans improvement is overrated and Colts with that unbeaten record. 1.4s seems value.
i should have followed the tips here, luckily traded out!
shirley cleveland can't pull it off as well :0
3 out of 4 with one to play. Good stuff.
I went for Cleveland and Miami
I went for Cleveland and Miami
Wiseguys pounded Washington late,the hayseeds got eaten in that one.
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