There are two games that match the requirements - tonights home side with a decent away result and cannot therefore take it easy to progress (and where the home side would be considered the better of the two).
1. Man City (0-0)
2. Paris Saint Germain (2-2)
A low scoring draw would be sufficient for PSG as they have two away goals - and BATE have already proved they are capable of scoring - therefore the selection is
Back Manchester City to win £20 @ 1.22 to win £4.40
Bank is currently 60.54 (correction from previous value)