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Date Joined: 24 Oct 07
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Jinxy's Trading Post Blog

KB

18 Jan 12 14:31
When looking for a trade I like the unexposed type, in good form, not doing anything that it hasnt previously achieved, a jockey who knows the horse and if the stable is amongst the winners then its another bonus. In the 2.35 at Newbury I think that Kaybee fits the bill. The lightly raced seven year old has just the two Chase runs to his name but he won one and finished second in the other, trading down to 1.01 and 1.7 in the process. Prior to that over the smaller obstacles he had halved in price in both races over this sort of distance. In his two most recent races they have had him up there with the pace and I'm relying on that being the case again this afternoon which should see his price drop around four out to a price that will give us a decent trade. Kaybee is available to back at 12.5 leaving us needing in running lay off prices of:

Lay off at 8.2 for a 1 pt all green or
Lay off at 7.4 for a 1.3 all green screen or
Lay off at 6.6 for a 1.7 all green profit.

Those looking for the bigger pickings laying off at 2.6 would be to a stake of around 9.6 pts to produce an all green profit of 7.3 pts.
Those laying off sub 2 or thereabouts need a stake of around 12.6 pts to produce an all green profit of just over 10 pts all green. 
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