Since being upped to three miles over fences this horse has traded down to even money or less in all four races from Betfair SP odds of as high as 32 and I hope that he will trade for us again today. He was close up and looking to challenge when he fell last time out, that though was his first run for 224 days and we can expect him to come on for that race in leaps and bounds. Upham Atom looks an out and out stayer over fences and this course and trip should suit him well. He can be held up in the early stages of a race so we may have to be patient for our trade and hope that the race pans out well for him. He is available to back on the exchanges at a price of 8.4 and still appears to be drifting, this would leave in running prices needed of:
Lay off at 5.5 for at least a 1 pt all green or..
Lay off at 5.0 for at least a 1.3pt all green or..
Lay off at 4.5 for at least a 1.7 pt all green profit.