I'll put these up as we go along today and see if we can get one or two decent trades to add to those that have been put on twitter lately. I;ll up date the blog as and when is possible.
In the 5.15 at Aintree,the 8yo gelding Categorical has proved that he can handle the course when finishing 3rd in the John Smiths Handicap Chase in April, he has won three times over the distance and comes here in good heart having finished second on a pipe opener over the flat recently, bearing in mind he has never won a flat race, finishing second really does show his well being. He has been available to trade in all of his last seven races and in all nine of his last nine runs over fences. I took 13/2 this morning about this one or 7.5 leaving me needing an in running lay off price of 4.5 for a 1.3 all green or lay off at 4.9 for a one point all green. To be ambitious and ask for a 1.75 pt profit all green would take a lay off price of 4. Normal stakes, always 2pts win and eithe 3.05, 3.35 or 3.75 pts lay off depending on how heavy an all green you want.
In the 4.55 at Newbury, Golden Delicious is a filly holding her form well, she was very unlucky last time out when short of room at the business end of the race and would have finished much closer but for that. Today she is back amongst her own sex, at this distance or slightly shorter she has ran againast her own sex three times, winning twice and being second once. Richard Hughers is back in the saddle today have won on her in a Grade Two Handicap the only previous time he has been in the saddle. Normally held up so often a better price can be had in running, she traded as high as 20 and 100 in both her winning races to date. Its possible to lay first and back in running but we will stick to our normal path and back at 5/1 at Ladbrokes this morning (still 9/2 in places) leaves me needing a lay off price of 3.95 for a 1pt all green, 3.6 for a 1.3 pt all green or for the ambitious 3.2 for a 1.75 all green, to the stakes as above.
Comments: 4
Nice to have the blog back.
two good picks - one point all round
thanks