At Haydock I fancy that Balcarce Nov will give us a trade this afternoon. The extra furlong was just a little too far last time and once he was beaten Jamie Spencer eased the horse right down, still he managed to trade that day despite finishing tenth of fifteen. Back to a mile today should be more to his liking and I'm hoping he will trade for the ninth time in his last eleven outings. Jamie Spencer again has the ride. Backed at 6.8 needing a lay off price of 4.1 for an all green 1.3 pt screen or lay off at 4.5 for a one point all green screen.
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