08 Jun 11 09:46
I've spent the last few days making some anti post bets for Royal Ascot with a view to trading them closer to the time or in running on the day. There is always a risk with anti post bets of course, try and get non runner no bet. Rites of Passage especially so, you want a price 'with a run'
In the King Stand Stakes on the opening day I've taken 20 and 21 about the American Horse Bridgetown, the 4 yr old seems to be on the up and should be capable of giving a good account in this five furlong dash, the ground should be of no concern as the colt has won on firm and also yielding back home. Backed at 21 leaves a lay of price of 12.5 needed to green up all round for 1.3 pts. I'm hopeful this one will shorten up well before the race and maybe trade before we even go to post.
On Wednesday in the Queen Mary there are no betfair markets yest on this race but I did get 3/1 at the books about Shumoos, this filly was more than just a little bit impressive when making her debut at haydock slamming Frederick Angels in the process, Frederick Angesl went on to win a class 2 race at Edinburgh to frank the form. Backed at 4 leaves me needing a lay off price pre race or in running of 2.16, different here as that will give me a full 2 pts profit should she win and 1.3 pts should she trade but lose.
Thurday in the first race at 2.30 sees a horse who beat Frederick Angels on his debut in the line up, the in form Kevin Ryan stables representative is Bapak Chinta who led all the way that day, ok FA was making his debut and improved for that race but Bapak Chinta is one of his best 2 yo and should give a good account, backed at 10 means that looking for a full 2 points profit for a win and 1.3 point proft should we get matched but lose the race we need a lay off price of 5.8 in running.
The King Edward the VII stakes at 3.05 sees Alexander Pope out to a huge price, 22 seems far too big for him, there is a very good chance that he will see out this 12 ffurlongs, he wasnt stopping over ten last time and he is sure to go well today, he has traded in all seven of his races to date, backed at 22 looking to lay off at 11 for a full two points profit or lay off at 13 for a 1.3 poinys profit.
On Saturday the Wokingham is always a well contested affair and the prize could go north to Michael Easterby with Hoof It an impressive winner at York last time and looks to still be on the upgrade, raised just six pounds for that which looks very fair and hopefully Fallon will have the ride, backed at 365 for 9/1 (10.0) leaving a lay off trade of 5.9 for a 1.3 losing profit or a 1.5 winning profit. Could be a nice wedding present as one of the Easterby's gets married the same day !!
Saturday also brings us the Golden Jubilee Stakes where I fancy that the Charles O'Brien trained Bewitched will run well, she was very impressive at Lepardstown last time out when given a beating and 6lb to Zoffany, has the hallmark of a still improving filly and might give Delegator and co a good race in receipt of the 3lb fillies allowance, backed at 14/1 (15.0) leaves me needing a lay off price pre race or in running of an average of 8.8 for a profit of 1.3 pts or 1.8 if she wins the race, alternatively to make a 1 pt profit the lay off price would be 9.8.
Comments: 8