Not great racing today, not in this country anyway but a good card at Leopardstown and that's where I'll try and get a trade this afternoon. In the Group 3 at 3.25 I'm hoping that the still improving filly Bewitched will continue on the upward curve. A failure at her only previous attempt at this trip doesn't put me off, too much use was made of her that day and she was heavily eased when beaten. She has been available to trade in all of her last ten races, with the tongue tie applied she has won three out of four since then and traded to odds on the other time. Fitness shouldn't be a problem as she won first time out last season. The main problem will be giving lumps of weight away to last seasons good two year olds, however Bewitched is such a strong travelling filly that I'm sure Johnny Murtagh will have her in a position to at least make a challenge around the two furlong marker allowing her price to drop accordingly and give us a decent trade.
Bsports have just pushed her out to 6/1 (7.0). On the exchanges backed at 7.2 leave me needing an in running lay off price of 4.3 to give and all green screen to the value of 1.3 pts, that's with a 2pts back and 3.35 pts lay. For an all green screen to the value of 1 pt would require a 2pts back and 3.05 pts lay stake at a price of 4.7. As BS have just pushed her price out to 6 at 12.14 pm then its feasible that she may drift to well over 7.
Comments: 8
Thanks for replying to my message mate. As always much appreciated.
Cheers Steve
Thanks for the kind remarks folks, most appreciated.