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Jinxy's Trading Post Blog

A legend of a trade?

10 May 11 12:24
In the 3.10 at Warwick this afternoon I'm hoping that the trail blazing Island Legend will do the business and give us a trade today. The front running gelding has yet to place on turf but improved immensely on the all weather recently with his mark rising to 80 after three wins. Back on the turf today and running from a mark of just 64 should give him a great chance of providing us with a trade from a lowly weight. Although yet to finish in the frame on the flat he has been available to trade on all six occasions regardless of jockey or conditions. Boyle Sports went 5/2 for a short while after the withdrawal of Your Gifted and that 3.5 is looking very decent at the moment. Needing a lay off price of 2.3 in running. Back an amount of £200 with a lay off amount of £305 for a level profit of £100 as normal.

The long term aim is to make 1.3 points profit per selection whilst still remaining at two points loss per losing selection. This will mean a lower strike rate but hopefully more long term profits. Todays bets would then become £200 win at 3.5 and a lay off price of 2.08 for a sum of £337 which if successful would yield an all green screen to the value of £130 after commission.
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