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workrider
28 Sep 13 10:55
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Date Joined: 29 Jun 02
| Topic/replies: 33,256 | Blogger: workrider's blog
I'll start the ball rolling by saying that Curly Bill won't be the star some are making him out to be ....His jumping leaves a lot to be desired ....Any others ...?

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Replies: 77
By:
dj876
When: 28 Sep 13 13:04
A really brave call.
By:
neill d
When: 28 Sep 13 13:25
I'd worry a bit for Champagne Fever,  that must have been a dog hard race at Cheltenham he had to finish in front of 2 Champion Hurdle horses. He looks like a horse who will always give himself a hard time and some of his blowouts have been as spectacular as his wins.
By:
dj876
When: 28 Sep 13 13:42
He was supposed to have been an impressive jumper when he won his 4YO PTP at Quakerstown and they were apparently thinking of taking the Florida Pearl route and going straight over fences last year.Having said that I won't be taking any short prices on him in novice chases.If he even has a reasonable year though would prefer to have a dual festival winner on my side,although the Arkle takes plenty of getting(winners like my way de solzen)he looks as if the Jewson trip would suit better.
By:
neill d
When: 28 Sep 13 13:51
That is a point, he could be an absolute monster over a trip and has been doing all he has so far on raw class. I've a strong feeling the Champion Hurdle winner will come out of last years Supreme Novices so I do think what he has done so far has been exceptional, it is more the way that he is doing it. But then I guess it is only sensible for a strong stayer to lead over 2 miles. I don't like the way he was eased home at Navan and Punchestwon last year and while he was a class hurdler, I'm not sure I like Novice Chasers to have had quite as hard a time, it didn't stop Sizing Europe mind!!
By:
dj876
When: 28 Sep 13 14:01
He got the ride of the meeting in last years opener and the ground was over watered for the first day.I agree completely with you about MTOY and Jezki(good ground and BJG).Ballycasey is out for the season but it would be folly to try to guess which festival race CF will end up in,wouldn't surprise me if he's beaten first time up especially on good ground.
By:
neill d
When: 28 Sep 13 14:11
Yep, and he might just be one that you wouldn't want to run too often and not at all after Cheltenham if the ground dictates.

Converse to the opening question, I'd say the horse that is going to take off this year is Sir Des Champs. I'd love to know if Mullins would run him in the King George. As a trainer he has done it all in Ireland, I think there are only really 3 races that can add to his legacy now and they are the King George(again), the Champion Chase and the Gold Cup. I'd love to see Sir Des Champs on a bit of nice ground around Kempton winding it up pretty early like he did in the Gold Cup, I think he'd probably murder them!!
By:
Distant View
When: 28 Sep 13 15:42
Will throw in Mount Benbulben here.

The talking horse of the forum now for a few years and has done well since that famous day in Tinahealy. However he won his Grade 1 in a race that completely fell apart and adding to that tally will not be easy.

He has a mark of 160 (1lb lower than Denman was after his novice season!!)which surely rules out any handicaps. If he heads across the water I would fear that he would not return so hopefully they will pot hunt with him over here and they might win another soft Grade 1.
By:
BJG
When: 28 Sep 13 16:14
dj876     28 Sep 13 14:01 
He got the ride of the meeting in last years opener and the ground was over watered for the first day.I agree completely with you about MTOY and Jezki(good ground and BJG).Ballycasey is out for the season but it would be folly to try to guess which festival race CF will end up in,wouldn't surprise me if he's beaten first time up especially on good ground.


Is this right, or do u mean Pont Alexandre?
By:
dj876
When: 28 Sep 13 16:18
Apologies. BJG you're correct,I meant Pont Alexndre.
By:
paulie wallnuts
When: 28 Sep 13 17:42
was going to bet curley bill for supreme novices..........think hes a brilliant horse........cant understand why hes 100000/1 for cheltenham.......maybe wonks is right.......he may not be as good as everybody says.........
By:
workrider
When: 28 Sep 13 17:48
NOW NOW NUTTY , LETS KEEP CALM ....Cool
By:
paulie wallnuts
When: 28 Sep 13 17:53
would ya ever go to bed ya total numpty.......how the hell is curly bill a bigtime horse........hes a good summer horse.......thats all.......
By:
dj876
When: 28 Sep 13 17:59
^ 100% correct,you open the thread and you're expecting to see a festival bumper winner or something of that ilk not a winner of a 5 runner 11k hurdle at Listowel.
By:
paulie wallnuts
When: 28 Sep 13 18:03
agree with dj.......my horse to fail is sir des champs......will never recover from cheltenham gold cup......didnt even run well at punchestown........even though he won......
By:
workrider
When: 28 Sep 13 18:06
dj876 ...Lots of people have a good opinion of this fellow , and expect him to improve into a really good horse this season , I don't ....
By:
gutfeeling
When: 28 Sep 13 19:55
Our Conor,Simonsig.

Both spoke of as second comings and on the cusp of racing greatness already,Open company is a whole new ball game and think both could struggle to carry such reputations.
By:
workrider
When: 29 Sep 13 10:28
Cant agree re Simonsig but  Our Connor well thats a different matter , Barry paid a little over the odds methinks....
By:
tony57
When: 29 Sep 13 15:07
simonsig,
this horse is a monster..people who work at hendersons rate him as good as anything else in theyard(including the aeroplane ss)I know this thread is about horses that will fail..i hope our connor is agrade 1 horse..but like others I think he may struggle @champion hurdle level?
By:
dj876
When: 29 Sep 13 15:11
You seem to know a stable lad in every yard in England Tony??I doubt there are many at Seven Barrows that think Simonsig is as good as Sprinter Sacre.
What don't you like about Our Connor?
By:
tony57
When: 29 Sep 13 15:35
i wont rise to that dj, but i never said i knew a stable lad..but if you want to know i do know a owner or 2 at the yard..who go there 1-2 times a month...our connor,..i like our connor i just think he may be found out at champion level..i hope im wrong..as for simonsig..the ex stable jocky has said many times on tv that the horse is rated as good as ss by 50% of the yard..so what about him dj?..he,s in there weekly so he must have a idea?
By:
gutfeeling
When: 29 Sep 13 15:49
Simonsig is a horse who divides opinion,For me i think his jumping frailties will be exposed against more experienced rivals,Not doubting he has a engine but so does my car and that can't clear a fence properly either.
By:
dj876
When: 29 Sep 13 15:51
A ridiculous comment to make that he is as good as Sprinter Sacre-The Arkle he scrambled home in was an Egg and Spoon race-the runner up(Baily Green) who was clear of the third was subsequently hammered at Aintree and Punchestown.I will mitigate the performance somewhat by NJH saying he wasn't right leading up to the Arkle but Simonsig wouldn't get within 15 lehgths of Sprinter Sacre in a 16F/20F chase.

Our Connor is very decent but we will have to wait and see how he gets on good ground and it looks like the triumph field were poor but couldn't have been any more visually impressive.

No you just implied that you were talking to a stable lad,but anyway ignore that,I see on the other thread that you have raised it a notch by saying that you spoke to Henderson recently about West Wizard at Aintree. Surprised that NJH was able to say with a year to the festval that West Wizard was the best novice they had.So Tony do you know Nicky Henderson on a personal level or are you just some random race goer bothering him??
By:
gutfeeling
When: 29 Sep 13 16:04
Henderson was talking up West Wizard on tv at the end of last season,I'll assume he has one much better he isn't so keen to talk about to random racegoers or camera crews.
By:
tony57
When: 29 Sep 13 17:50
random is the word dj..i must be honest..i got a minute with him..going to pre parade, as i asked him is it true that you rate the horse as good as his assistant told me?..i got the answer i have said i did..but he also told me tistory would win the grade 2 bumper on the Saturday..and that was a let down..as west wizard was meant to run in that race...another acquaintance of mine who i don't see that often who works for a racing paper also told me that they fancied tistory for that race so needless to say i lost money...that's racing..
By:
tony57
When: 29 Sep 13 17:57
a lot of people knew about ss GUTFEELING? i backed it for the supreme as it was well fancied..but they always said it would make a chaser...as for dj saying simosig is not up to ss..he may be right..i personally feel simonsig needs it soft and on that ground i would have him ..but it is a fact whether dj likes it or not ..some at the yard rate him as good as ss..as i stated mick fitz has said so a few times..im only quoting what is well known...as for the run @Cheltenham..yes he did not look as good as he has before..but ss @punchy didn't look as he had all year..i believe there were excuses for both horses?
By:
kavvie
When: 29 Sep 13 19:46
rumour that he scoped bad after chelt?
By:
RavishingRickRude
When: 30 Sep 13 15:41
Kavvie, NJH has suggested in the media he did indeed scope badly, wasnt himself up to the race 'he must be a very good horse to win when that sick' regardless of opposition.

Unlike Tony57, im not privvy to information from Mullins, Henderson, Nicholls, or know owners from just about every stable in the land, whilst securing mythical prices yet back tracking at a rate of knots when someone checks the oddschecker history!

However, Although it seems plenty are talking about West Wizard, id suggest Captain Cutter could be every bit as good as WW. Although beaten in good races by Turnandgo & Red Sherlock i think this fella will excel over timber.


In reply to Workriders original question i cant think of an exciting prospect that is gonna go to **** as im more of a glass half full person!
If pushed id me sceptical about Al Ferof returning to be Grade 1 class, i think his win at Cheltenham flattered him greatly, also Just a Par is being banded around as something special over a fence by plenty of the stable tours, id reserve judgement actually as i would expect PN to have something better
By:
tony57
When: 30 Sep 13 16:55
one think about you rick is jealousy go,s threw your bones..no one checked the prices bar me..i saw west wizard was quoted @33/1 in a independent bookie where I live..i had no doe on me but rang 365 who didn't have a price but gave me 28/1 when I mentioned it was 33/1 with the indie..i checked on 365 a day or so later and thought I saw 25/1..so thought I had not got a great price..seeing as the horse only went into 16/1 on the 23rd of this month..20s was available or more up to then..i checked no one else..and co,s im honest I said what I was told..jealous wannabes  like yourself love to blow things up that have no basics in fact..there is some one on this site who was with me at Aintree..saw me speaking to the people ive mentioned and was talking to one of them with me..i don't tell lies...unlike some on here...you never post on this site but like the ponce next door like to cause trouble..you would be known in Liverpool as a old woman(a chandler)..I hope one day I may be able to see you face to face..but I suspect you are like that ponce rat..a coward..hide behind a t.v screen and tell lies and stir crap for personal grativacation?
By:
RavishingRickRude
When: 30 Sep 13 17:16
Yes Tony, im sure like most on here,  im really jealous of your connections.

I normally find myself compelled to post after some of the laughable comments you make on here. Im always keen to keep an eye on your tipster column too. You even talk nonsense about prices you claim (e.g 9/1 the night before for a bumper horse, anyone with a sane mind knows they never price up the night before or are you counting the 5er matched on Betfair)

I have posted some thoughts on the above thread started by workrider, but as i suggested earlier couldnt let it go without having a laugh at you.

Im also laying the Shark Hanlon horse for as much as i can get it laid for in the 5.35. So stick some in the blue side for me please. This was very much flattered at Listowel lto and the price is wrong.
By:
tony57
When: 30 Sep 13 17:23
just so anyone reading this can know the history of this man..i put up a thread after a great ride by barry geraghty on our man zebo..he looked beat 2 out I just said what a ride..no more..someone come on and said the same thing and what a jockey he was..i replied and said yes I thought my bet was well gone.....then rick the prick..comes on and tells me im aftertiming!and all this hate he has for me is co,s I sent him a p.m telling him what I thought of him....
By:
tony57
When: 30 Sep 13 17:30
you can check any of my posts you want , I have nothing to hide...that's the thing when your honest..your having nothing to fear..so I didn't fancy a horse that won!..im sure you back a lot of winners...?
By:
RavishingRickRude
When: 30 Sep 13 17:33
Ha a real in depth history. A few members of the Supreme Racing Club told me a bit about your history now that would be a story for the forumites. A DSS scrounger in his piss stained tracky'bs with a dream of owning a share in a lease horse, all went to your head Tony 'lad' ExcitedGrinLaugh
By:
kingrat
When: 30 Sep 13 17:37
Laugh
By:
tony57
When: 30 Sep 13 17:39
haha..ive never worn a trackys...and im not on the dole...more lies...
By:
RavishingRickRude
When: 30 Sep 13 17:44
Ah sorry Tony forgot you 'try to make the game pay' bet your dole dont last long mind. Sharks horse stuffed out of site so imagine i will eat ok tonight.
By:
tony57
When: 30 Sep 13 17:46
your name says it all about what you think of yourself!probably look like ken dodd with not tobob to rub together
By:
kingrat
When: 30 Sep 13 17:47
poor old tony has been caught out in a blatant lie and is not man enough to admit it.that line in the movie A FEW GOOD MEN comes to mind "you can't handle the truth"Laugh
By:
tony57
When: 30 Sep 13 17:49
it wouldn't be a show without punch would it?..hi rat..what fantasy are you living in today?
By:
kingrat
When: 30 Sep 13 17:51
jackanory!  jackanory!  Laugh
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