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the each way play
the each way play
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Hopefully no one gives them fockers the heads up tonite, for tomorrows tip (from the first two races in Sedgefield).
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KL thread has been brilliant and a tremendous success but this is going to sound crazy to all you guys in that I do hope he stops after the 20days as if he continues with this type of success and the continued highlighting of bad EW racing it will make it more difficult to get on in these races
Clearly KL is a very astute punter but in airing his views on a continued basis he going create lots of KL’s who are not doing the legwork and in the long-term make it very difficult to get on these type of races Spotting the bad EW race is easy enough but picking the right one is the hard bit I bow my head to KL but hope he stops after the 20days and gets lots of thanks for those early Xmas present he has handed out |
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Fair enough DV. Good spot on the tv channel.
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well done K L keep up the good work
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THIS thread is running out of Superlatives to describe K.L TIPS. WELL DONE
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KEEN LEADER’s “Judgement, Luck and Discipline.....
DAY 1. - 26 Oct 12 11:47 IFANDBUTWHYNOT 12.30 Newcastle, 3/1 BOG, 100 e/w. DAY 2. - 27 Oct 12 11:45 100 e/w SPECIAL ACCOUNT 5/1 (pp or 6/1 Laddies if you can get) 1/5 1,2,3 in the betting w/o Wonderful Charm in Chepstow 3.40. DAY 3. - 29 Oct 12 11 The Naas bumper, 100 e/w THUNDER AND ROSES 7/2 BOG. DAY 4. - 30 Oct 12 13:25 No suitable bet today, you cannot force it, so money back. DAY 5. - 31 Oct 12 11:06 100 e/w SIZZLER 9/4 BOG 1.55 Nottingham. DAY 6. - 1 Nov 12 11:22 100 e/w DUNE SHINE 8/1 bog 1.40 Stratford. DAY 7. - 2 Nov 12 13:33 100 e/w BUXOM 8/1 BOG Uttoxeter 1.20. DAY 8. - 02 Nov 12 22:26 I dont have a bet for Saturday, so the account reads -1216 rolling on to Monday. Just for the weekend - the market is wrong regarding the Leinster Hurling Club quarter final between Rathdowney and Clonkill. currently 7/4 Rathdowney, 4/7 Clonkill. Based on PPower prices, I have punted RATHDOWNEY, straight at 7/4, +2 at 11/10, to win 4-6pt at 8/1, to win 7-9pts at 14/1, with my biggest bet Rathdowney half time/full time at a whopping 11/2.....whopping because they are a great front running team. DAY 9. - 05 Nov 12 10:48 No bet today. DAY 10. - 06 Nov 12 11:19 100 e/w JUST A PAR 3/1 BOG 2.25 Punchestown. DAY 11. - 07 Nov 12 11:23 100 e/w TWARY 5.55 Kempton 7/2 BOG. DAY 12. - 08 Nov 12 11:07 100 e/w AS I AM 6/1 bog 120 Towcester. DAY 13. - 09 Nov 12 10:34 100 e/w YOUNG HURRICANE 9/4 BOG 1.10 Fontwell. DAY 14. - 10 Nov 12 12:25 No bet today +415 with 6 days left, next update Monday morning. DAY 15. - 12 Nov 12 11:23 100 e/w NO DEAL 5/2 BOG 4.00 Carlisle. DAY 16. – DAY 17. – DAY 18. – Day 19. – DAY 20. – “i.e. until SATURDAY 3 weeks” |
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brilliant stuff,nearly up there with bobbyocala napping sarsfields to win the cork SHC ,keep it up lads,great forum
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yeah.... nearly
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KEEN LEADER’s “Judgement, Luck and Discipline.....
DAY 1. - 26 Oct 12 11:47 IFANDBUTWHYNOT 12.30 Newcastle, 3/1 BOG, 100 e/w. (won at 9/4) DAY 2. - 27 Oct 12 11:45 100 e/w SPECIAL ACCOUNT 5/1 (pp or 6/1 Laddies if you can get) 1/5 1,2,3 in the betting w/o Wonderful Charm in Chepstow 3.40. (7th but Wonderful Charm won) DAY 3. - 29 Oct 12 11 The Naas bumper, 100 e/w THUNDER AND ROSES 7/2 BOG. (Won at SP 10/11f) DAY 4. - 30 Oct 12 13:25 No suitable bet today, you cannot force it, so money back. DAY 5. - 31 Oct 12 11:06 100 e/w SIZZLER 9/4 BOG 1.55 Nottingham. (10th) DAY 6. - 1 Nov 12 11:22 100 e/w DUNE SHINE 8/1 bog 1.40 Stratford. (Won at 5/2f) DAY 7. - 2 Nov 12 13:33 100 e/w BUXOM 8/1 BOG Uttoxeter 1.20. (3rd at 13/2) DAY 8. - 02 Nov 12 22:26 I dont have a bet for Saturday, so the account reads -1216 rolling on to Monday. Just for the weekend - the market is wrong regarding the Leinster Hurling Club quarter final between Rathdowney and Clonkill. currently 7/4 Rathdowney, 4/7 Clonkill. Based on PPower prices, I have punted RATHDOWNEY, straight at 7/4, +2 at 11/10, to win 4-6pt at 8/1, to win 7-9pts at 14/1, with my biggest bet Rathdowney half time/full time at a whopping 11/2.....whopping because they are a great front running team. DAY 9. - 05 Nov 12 10:48 No bet today. DAY 10. - 06 Nov 12 11:19 100 e/w JUST A PAR 3/1 BOG 2.25 Punchestown. (Won at 9/4) DAY 11. - 07 Nov 12 11:23 100 e/w TWARY 5.55 Kempton 7/2 BOG. (6th) DAY 12. - 08 Nov 12 11:07 100 e/w AS I AM 6/1 bog 120 Towcester. (3rd at 5/1) DAY 13. - 09 Nov 12 10:34 100 e/w YOUNG HURRICANE 9/4 BOG 1.10 Fontwell. (Won at 15/8f) DAY 14. - 10 Nov 12 12:25 No bet today +415 with 6 days left, next update Monday morning. DAY 15. - 12 Nov 12 11:23 100 e/w NO DEAL 5/2 BOG 4.00 Carlisle. (Won at 7/2) DAY 16. – DAY 17. – DAY 18. – Day 19. – DAY 20. – “i.e. until SATURDAY 3 weeks” |
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+ 1035
100 e/w defaoithesdream 7/4 BOG 12.50 sedgefield |
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What is BOG ?
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Best Odds Guaranteed.
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Guaranteed Price, Gotchee.
Super pickin KL. |
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Guaranteed Best price, sorry.
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Thanks.
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Well done, KL. As I suggested in my post on the first page of this thread, would someone care to work out how much profit the thread would be in if KL had used 200 win only rather than 100 e/w? As anticipated, profit will be far greater using win only.
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Roughly 3700 to 200 win only stakin
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Cheers, BJG. Hopefully this small example will help some realise that each-way betting is generally poor value compared to win only.
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Well since I have been updating the thread regularly with records using €100 win-only, to change to €200 win-only isn't difficult
€100 win only: +1645 €100 place part: +419 |
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Ifandbutwhynot: won @ 3/1 +300
Special Account (w/o fav): lost +200 Thunder And Roses: won @ 5/2 +450 (settled at 5/2 per KL) Sizzler: lost +350 Dune Shine: won @ 7.2/1 (advised @ 8/1 - rule 4 of 90p) +1070 Buxom: lost +970 Just A Par: won @ 3/1 +1270 Twary: lost +1170 As I Am: lost +1070 Young Hurricane: won @ 9/4 +1295 No Deal: won @ 7/2 +1645 |
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Catch Me ifyoucan 12 Nov 12 17:20
Hopefully no one gives them fockers the heads up tonite, for tomorrows tip (from the first two races in Sedgefield). KL, I had it down to your tip (or Blackwater King), and/or Tick Tocker in the next for my own double (as I thought a Dromahane pt winner can't be too bad an animal). I'm sure there wasn't much in it, in your "judgement". Did you see any of those pt-to-pt's 'live'. ps IF 'Tick T' wins then De Blacksmith (at 66/1 - 2.00 Ling) might just place while Bobby dazzler, over on Antepost, thinks his "is pretty decent". |
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An eerie quiet has descended ....the unthinkable has happened ...no one knows what to say.
Let me break the dam ....that's racing , you can't win 'em all , temporary break in service. I have to say though -while doffing my cap to the astute and redoubtable KL -the laces of whose punting boots I am singularly unfitted to tie- e/w betting on prices as low as 7/4 seems a little dubious. Godd luck for the rest of the project. |
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Can't win them all.
 As much as I am loathe to back the rancid Maloney/Williams combo I had to follow  |
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Nothing dubious to backing e/w at 7/4.
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agree dan ....
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The EW for me is much better than win only because you got to factor in something that hasn't happen to this project....The bad run..... that all punters no matter how good they are suffer at some stage. I
I accept the profit is minimal on the place part but as the old saying goes if you cant win ....try not to lose |
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Part of the game,onwards and upwards.
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greatstuffkeenleader
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its all part of the game , anyone who thinks winner after winner is the norm should not be betting imo....again this horse was punted , was given every chance , simply not good enough on the day , as punchestown says , on wards and upwards ...keep em coming keen leader.....
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indeed wr.
remarkable run all the same. I don;t think the knowledge of the op is in doubt anyway. a very formidable punter and this is evidenced by many of his previous threads. Quite funny when they tear in to him when the occasional loss happens. I'm glad they can't see my punting history I havent backed a single selecion on this thread btw, i only back selections based on my own thoughts.......thats the problem perhaps |
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good to hear from you ilvab ...at least you stand and fall on your own sword ..my daughter was down our old neighborhood recently ....
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im in the folks now at the moment :) running for the 7.17 train now.
be on later. |
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ok ..off out myself till around ten or later ..talk soon.....
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no bet today.
+1235 3 days left. |
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DAY 15. - 12 Nov 12 11:23 100 e/w NO DEAL 5/2 BOG 4.00 Carlisle. (Won at 7/2)
DAY 16. – 13 Nov 12 11:19 100 e/w DEFAOITHESDREAM 7/4 BOG 12.50 Sedgefield (4th) DAY 17. – 14 Nov 12 10:58 No bet today. DAY 18. – "Descipline" tells me no bet again today unless your a giant of a man in bumpers. Day 19. – DAY 20. – “i.e. until SATURDAY 3 weeks” |
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Perhaps you might give us your thoughts on 'Buckers Bridge' (RSA/ARKLE if atall) ?
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100 e/w noble friend 3/1 BOG 4.10 taunton.
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100 e/w la belle doyenne 14/1 bog 1.00 lingfield.
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Going for the big one today - good luck
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