Shams to best Bohs at 2.58

HALLELUJAH!

i think rocket is setting ye up ..proper price should be 5/2

agreed, poor price for away team

Newmanix there is not a hope in hell they will go of this price it's massive, nevermind the price being a poor one. It means that the line in the Asian handicap is draw no bet? There is very little advantage to be gained from playing at home in the league and plus you can be an away team and fav and Shams are certainly favs for this match. If my experience and expertise counts for anything Shamrock Rovers will be -0.25 meaning approx 2.32-2.38. I know sticking my neck out could end in tears i just think it's a serious price.

Anyway as my bookmaker says to me sa·yo·na·ra

Traded and Available
Price To back To lay Traded
1.01 €1,418     
1.02 €4     
1.03 €100     
2.10 €294     
2.38 €3     
2.40 €108     
2.54      €100
2.56   €71   
2.58   €188 €200
2.72   €250   
2.80   €241   


Duece traded at 2.58...so ya had €100 on..."shotgun unloaded" indeed...

Al Capone will rest easy tonight, Chuckles...

Steeringjoenap hovered up the 2.54 and the 2.56, not a big gambler on 12X (Match odds) i will admit but that close to €200 large surely dome sort of respect is warranted my man?!

When did they last win in Dalymount Rf?

you could only have €150 in total, laddie...

you can't have had another ton at 2.54 based on the turnover stats above...

Yes and €50 somewhere else steeringjobnap

Giant Sap you know as well as i do you've had an excellent team up until this year, one of the best teams ever to play in the league probably. So i take stats like that with a pinch of salt. Anyway the DNB was excellent value this morning, but most people don't bet that way so that why i mentioned this..

I suggest you cease altering my user name.
I don`t address you by anything other than Rf.

Jeez relax, i always know i've destroyed you in an argument when you result to bringing up avatar changing. I think you altered my name 3 days ago just but you obviously forgot about "smellyfingers"?????

Anyway betting is a matter of opinions thats why i like hearing other views but the 6/4 with one firm is very big value imo Giant strides.

I'm not sure which is sadder; the fact that :-

(a) you ramped a bet that you didn't bet at the price; OR
(b) you attempted to then "gee-up" your prowess on an anonymous forum; OR
(c) didn't understand fully BF's matching convention - then attempted to convey
    "another €50 elsewhere" when this was pointed out to you...; OR
(d) your repeated, continued spamming of this forum as some type of "big cheese" punter,
    to impress anonymous people, whom you have never meet before.

you remind me of the chaps who manage to miraclously "green" their "tips" IR when they lose, but never when they win.

What the hell are you on about man? Where did i ever say i had €200 on with BF? read my post again please!

By the way how sad and pathetic are you to write rubbish you have no clue of? You've not even read my posts you arrogant clown. I can tell you what i have hell a lot more than €200 on the game as i stated, i don't bet match odds normally can you read English or are you that thick?

So now I'm thick?

Let me refresh your memory...

Wanting to calculate Asian handicapslaunch forum pop-up topics refresh reply Post ReplyMessage: Text Format: Table: Smilies:  Forum does not support HTML formatting...
Submit Post Cancel
Show  5 10 20 40  per page sort by:  Newest First Oldest First Rocketfingers Joined: 20 May 10
Replies: 1444 30 Mar 11 10:19   
From ordinary 12X odds, looking for a link or any lab system that can help me with this. I used to use a page but i think it is slightly off.

steeringjobnap Joined: 20 Oct 10
Replies: 545 30 Mar 11 11:44   
(1.)    Take the inverse of the prices against each outcome in the Correct Score [CS] matrix;

(2.)    Sum these resultant probabilities for each outcome i.e. draw = prob [1-1] + prob [2-2], etc

(3.)    This will give match odd pricing;

(4.)     Amend step 2 above to calculate AH lines, by removing the impact of the handicap from each price i.e. the sum of probabilities for the home team “minus 1”, should exclude the impact of the probability of a 1-0 scoreline, etc.

(5.)    Use linear interpolation for the quarter/three-quarter lines, from the half-ball/level ball pricing, etc

HTH

Rocketfingers Joined: 20 May 10
Replies: 1444 30 Mar 11 12:12   
Cheers mate, thanks

Yes and i said thank you for that, but whats your point? Where are you going with this attack on me? What i was using was off a little. Look at it yourself (below) it's not bad but it's not exactly right, well i don't feel it spot on anyway. I have a spreadsheet which is better but you need to work out the supremacy.

http://www.onlinecasinohelp.com/compare2.htm

PS

"If my experience and expertise counts for anything Shamrock Rovers will be -0.25 meaning approx 2.32-2.38. I know sticking my neck out could end in tears i just think it's a serious price."

At the current M/O prices, the AH is not a [minus] quarter-ball.

I hope this helps, etc.

PPS

I learned to count at a young age; and thus, do not require online help.

I think the poor chap is gone way beyond online help.............

LOL any chance you read my post i already said it was DNB line you may have learned to count but obviously reading English was not a strong point. If you read my post correctly you will see i said the price will end up at that which is an even money -0.25. That why i said the 2.58 or the 2.50 was value.

What you're doing is taking what i said and twisting it to suit you're argument, the fact of the matter is the bet is a value bet at 6/4 [;)]

Time will prove who is right me or you

Bit rich of you to lecture anyone on anything steeringjobnap when you didn't know that the champion chase and arkle were run over the same trip only a few days ago.

" you're argument" ?

Be the Holy God...and he tells me English isn't my strong point...

Thanks TGM.

From one fisherman to another, I thought you might like that...

Steeringjobnap obviously you can work out pretty much anything from a full correct score market but you're clueless lol, you did not know the champion chase and the arkle were run over the same distance, oh man i'am obviously dealing here with a real shrewd character i can tell. We'll see who was right about this match me or you, i know where my money is. [;)]

Steeringjobnap obviously you can work out pretty much anything from a full correct score market but you're clueless lol, you did not know the champion chase and the arkle were run over the same distance, oh man i'am obviously dealing here with a real shrewd character i can tell. We'll see who was right about this match me or you, i know where my money is. [;)]

If I try really hard, I think you're stupid enough to extend this thread to 2 pages.

You're caught badly here Steeringjobnap i can see why you don't want this too continue, you'd try to come across as a bit of a know it all, then galwayman just gives a good example why you are in fact clueless. I am going to look at that formula you posted it up, if it's right i know it was a copy and paste from another betfairian

It sounds spot on to be fair so i am thinking it's not yours [;)]

You simply are the gift that keeps on giving.

So you're [or is that "your"?] going to "look at the formula" I posted?

Well, bully for you!

Try not to strain that ameba [I'm sure you'll correct my spelling...] of grey matter too much.

P.S. Then You have a pop at TGM for being a fishman and simply pointing out your stupidity ! all very convenient for you that the TGM is now deemed a fisherman and quite ironic after the amount of rubbish you've just posted. We'll see on Friday night will Shamrock Rovers go off 0 or -0.25 and then we'll see who is the real bluffer !!

Hang on - let me log into my GalwayMan account & I'll reply to you as him.

2 secs lad...

Good night you're off your rocker. By the way, you calculation of the Asian handicap only works when you have a full correct score market, which is basically on the day of the match for most matches, which means it is not far of useless to a certain extent, not as clever as you like to think as you've discovered on this thread. [;)]

Re-reading this thread has amused me greatly; I am naturally disappointed that it fell short of the "2 pager" I had hoped for; I do not however, doubt, that you will be immediately back upon here on Friday night, screaming like an idiot at someone you have never meet before..."IT WAS A -0.25 SHOT...SO THERE!"

Steering - do you actually have any opinion on the game?

The lad has come on and posted up an early fancy to help other forumites - your first contribution to the thread was to come out with some smart comment about his stake. If he only bets an average stake of a tenner then €100 is a lot to him. That's why tipping sites use a points system rather than a stake.

The line in Asia opened up 1.96 -0 and is now in to 1.73 so there's obviously someone else betting it for quite large amounts.

I agree with him that Rovers at 2.58 look a good bet - Bohs haven't been great this season and Rovers looked very good up in Sligo with a weakened side so should be more like 2.3.

I used to post on this forum before but people like you have just made it a total jokeshop - you refer to him "screaming like an idiot at someone you have never met before" - what about you coming on to this thread and offering no opinion other than trying to belittle someone you have never met before. Pathetic.

Julio ploughing into the Asian imo. [;)]

Great win for Van Summeren Sunday. Mad race.

Ah I was sick Tony! I'd a decent bet on Hushovd but said to a lad in work that Van Summeren would go up the road for him because he was one of the top riders in the Tour de France stage over the cobbles last year. When Cancellara sat up and the others wouldn't ride I just knew he was going to win.
It was one of the best bike races I've seen though!

I have never really engaged in the whole 'fishing' business.

I'd appreciate it if you did not try to pass yourself off as me. I am a forum legend. You are a nobody.

TGM,


My colleagues in the Risk/Compliance/Auidt function of a well-known Irish bank would not concur
with your assessment of being a "nobody"...

They are tough men Julio. Those cobbles arent for the faint hearted.

Unlucky with Hushovd. What was going on with the 2 lads having a go at each other in the chasing group?

I see we have more Rovers fans joining in here.
Rovers should be 2.3
The last time they won in the home of Irish football was 2007. 6 games ago and they have only managed 1 goal in 5 games since. That was in `08 and none under O`Neill. Lies, damn lies and statistics.
Rovers will drift to around the 2.8 mark pre ko.

put up that price giant and i will gladly accommodate you very quickly .....

Giant i said 2.32 - 2.38 i reckon the price will be, still a bit to go but i believe it will come. They are overdue a win there as well Giant you know this as well as me 

Will you go Giant?

I haven`t bet on a Bohs match for years wr so no thanks.
I`m sure you`ve noticed too that there are layers out to get you lot this season wr. You have drifted pre ko to considerably bigger prices than the books are offering.

Yes Rf. With bells on.
Bring on the Rovers!

Thats very true GS, i would say they have drifted each match pre kick off and if the same boys come in they will drift again. But i reckon the initial price they have been offered at is too big this time. But we will see, Very good and valid point GS though.

giant long may the layers remain so ...i've backed rovers in every game so far this season , so am not complaining...

3 I remember were Evens 1st game against Dundalk v 8/13 ish.
Also 1/2 in Drogheda v 4/11 and in Derry I backed them at around 2.5 when you were no bigger than 6/5 elsewhere.
I`m not saying Rovers aren`t favourites od wont win but you`ve got the price all wrong lads.

i honesty think anything over evens is a good price for us on fri ...if we play the way we did against sligo we will be unstoppable this season...

Pats as well Giant 1.90 - 2.20, pretty sure they drifted against us as well at home in the league match (just checked v small drift). They won't go off 2.80, i still think what i said will hold true as they were so impressive v us live on TV this may be the first time we may see them bet. But no Twigg could mean these guys are opposed again, it will be interesting.

I think Bray at 1.75 or so are the bet of the week.

Drogheda were awful last week and I sure the Hooperatzi will confirm the same about them the week before. They beat Bray in the League Cup a few weeks ago but I'm not sure Bray would've been too bothered with that. Alan McNally is also probably still out for Drogs.

1-1 result.

Incredible ending with Rovers equalising 3 mins into injury time with a superb header from a corner.

robbery