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SpecialsGuru
20 Dec 10 12:03
Joined:
Date Joined: 06 Jul 06
| Topic/replies: 28 | Blogger: SpecialsGuru's blog
I see a market up here on the above and weather watch updates on http://betting.betfair.ie/irish-racing/. Odds against must be value at odds against? Anyone in the area with a strong opinion?
Pause Switch to Standard View Leopardstown St.Stephens Day in doubt?
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Report SatelliteFlight December 20, 2010 12:04 PM GMT
Just stopped snowing where i am about a 10 minute drive from the track, place is covered in snow again
Report SpecialsGuru December 20, 2010 12:04 PM GMT
Sorry...that should read 'No' must be value at oddss against...
Report Doyler1987 December 20, 2010 12:53 PM GMT
The country faces several more days of sub-zero temperatures, with conditions unlikely to improve until Christmas Eve at the earliest.

Met Éireann has forecast that most of the country will remain dry. But there is a risk of snow showers in parts of the south, north and east over the coming days.

Weather forecaster Joan Blackburn said milder temperatures are due to arrive on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day when a belt of rain is due to cross the country.

In the meantime, daytime values are unlikely to rise much above freezing, preventing any thaw. Night-time temperatures are due to fall to between minus 5 and minus 10.


The rain the few days before might save it, if you believe weather forecasts that is Shocked
Report downallstar December 20, 2010 2:20 PM GMT
Christmas day and Stephan's day are to have rain & be 10 degrees above.
Report downallstar December 20, 2010 2:25 PM GMT
Christmas Day: It seems likely now that a much milder south to southeast airflow will extend countrywide on Christmas Day with outbreaks of rain bringing a rapid thaw with temperatures rising to 9 or 10 degrees and no frost Christmas night. St Stephen's Day: Further outbreaks of rain in a southwesterly wind and temperatures of 8 to 10 degrees.
Report SatelliteFlight December 20, 2010 3:41 PM GMT
snowing heavily again
Report SpecialsGuru December 20, 2010 4:45 PM GMT
If thats the case down, is there a chance the ground will be unable to cope with a sudden thaw/rain and become saturated?
Report irish_guy_13 December 20, 2010 5:40 PM GMT
nearly at inch of rain forecast for xmas night and next day..........
Report soapp December 20, 2010 6:28 PM GMT
A winter wonderland again in the capital this evening.
Report thefly10 December 20, 2010 9:19 PM GMT
26 Dec, first day of the meeting is sponsored by Bord Na Mona, hence 'Bord Na Mona Day', think we might be having a Bord Na Mona Day alright..in front of the sitting room fire !!
Report squigs December 20, 2010 9:28 PM GMT
Unreal snow here tonight, would be 15 mins from track.
Report irish_guy_13 December 20, 2010 11:04 PM GMT
the place will flood i'll say. again.
Report downallstar December 20, 2010 11:56 PM GMT
Looks like we will get a thaw starting xmas eve day, so hopefully no more snow.
Hop the track can take all the moisture.
Report jackdaws December 21, 2010 4:08 AM GMT
not a hope for stephens daySad
Report Giant Strides December 21, 2010 8:23 AM GMT
Met office said this morning the thaw wont start until Xmas day.
Report SpecialsGuru December 21, 2010 8:51 AM GMT
A mate who lives in Froxrock told me they had drifts in places on the course, and nearly a foot of snow.
Report downallstar December 21, 2010 10:02 AM GMT
Leading Bookmakers Ladbrokes have priced up odds of racing taking place on St. Stephen's Day and lets hope they have got their prices right as they make Leopardstown a short price to get the green light on 26th December.
The firm are offering combined odds of 5/4 that racing on St Stephen's Day will go ahead at both Leopardstown and Limerick.

Leopardstown is 30/100 to be on while Limerick is less likely in their book to be beat the weather at odds of 4/7.

Those wanting to hedge their bets can back a cancelled Leopardstown on 26th at 5/2. Not a bad bet - if racing is off you back a winner; if racing is on you can back several!

Ladbrokes fear the UK fixtures will be badly hit and offer odds of 5/4 about kempton racing and 6/4 for Chepstow to beat the freeze the following day.

Hayley O'Connor of Ladbrokes said: "The return of the snowfall has definitely put the Christmas fixtures in jeopardy, but we're going to remain hopeful that temperatures rise for some of the busiest meetings of the year."
Report SpecialsGuru December 21, 2010 10:05 AM GMT
evens on here to 'go-ahead' - http://sports.betfair.com/Index.do?mi=102054040&ex=1&origin=MRL
Report Doyler1987 December 21, 2010 10:23 AM GMT
Can anyone actually find that market on lads site?!
Report downallstar December 21, 2010 10:27 AM GMT
nope, rang them they haven't a clue about it.
Report SpecialsGuru December 21, 2010 10:32 AM GMT
Horseracing/Ire/'will racing go ahead'....
Report Newmanix December 21, 2010 11:02 AM GMT
Judging from my weather forecasts it will be very wet and windy on stephens day with temps of 5-8.  27th will be dry with temps of 8 or 9.  28th will be dry.Happy

http://www.windguru.cz/int/index.php?sc=4862
Report SatelliteFlight December 21, 2010 11:16 AM GMT
It's still snowing Sad more snow than the last time FFS
Report the hitcher December 21, 2010 11:20 AM GMT
http://www.dublincity.ie/dublintraffic/

Scroll down to the N11 (Kill Lane, Newtown Park Avenue) section. Just about the closest cameras to the track.
Report downallstar December 21, 2010 11:33 AM GMT
b0ll0x!
Report the hitcher December 21, 2010 11:39 AM GMT
The fact that you cant even see some of the pics due to snow hardly inspires confidence. I live a cpl miles from track and trudged through a foot and a half of snow on way to work this morn. That thaw will need to be Meditarranean...
Report downallstar December 21, 2010 11:41 AM GMT
Rain & wind is the only hope, and that will obviously bring its own problems.
Report SatelliteFlight December 21, 2010 11:42 AM GMT
I can barely get out of me house Laugh my leg sinks down into the snow FFS Laugh and im only a 10 minute drive away, we need a change in the weather and a change soon to hold any chance in my opinion
Report lustrumm December 21, 2010 12:01 PM GMT
2 things.

1.Leopardstown (I live there) was hit worse than anyplace the last time and it is the same this time. That said when the thaw came there was no snow on the ground (racing ground) within 36 hours. It really was remamrkable how quickly it cleared. However the approach roads and enclosures took several days to clear.

2. Just heard on the radio there that it will not thaw before Christmas day. If that is so then the 26th cannot be on. I'd imagine they will rejig the days or else move the 26th to the last day.

In their favour is that nearly all the tickets are multi day tickets so they are valid any day. The only ones to appease are the sponsors and the connections of horses.

I'd say racing St. Stephens day in Leopardstown has very little chance on current evidence
Report monksfield2 December 21, 2010 1:00 PM GMT
I just noticed in my new PP diary that Leopardstown and Galway have given over next year's October bank holiday to Wexford.  Perhaps the snow will be over by then and they'll run the St. Stephen's Day card then!

The Leopardstown website is only marginally better than the Punchestown one on which I commented during the last blizzard:

http://www.leopardstown.com/racing/ground-and-weather-reports/
Ground and Weather Reports

Ground and weather conditions will be updated before each major race so please check back regularly.

I suppose the excuse is that there is so much snow on top of the ground they don't know what condition its in.

Latest forecast from
http://www.irishweatheronline.com/2010/12/21-dec-2010-long-range-weather-forecast.html

SUNDAY (St. Stephen's Day) ... This is still very much of a puzzler with the models ranging from snow to cold and dry to sleet, fog, rain.  The most likely outcome at this stage is snow mixing with sleet  but this may change as we move closer to the day. We'll keep a close watch on this. Potentially, it could warm up considerably in the southwest but stay very cold in Ulster, with bands of mixed precipitation in between. That would involve a lot of bad weather (fog, ice and snow. Also thawing and flooding in some areas.) But it may not get that mild so the results may be more along the lines of a snowfall event.

OUTLOOK ... Milder will be shortlived should it arrive.  Very cold air will return from the east before New Years. It could conceivably never get much milder than 2-4 C before that happens.
Report SpecialsGuru December 21, 2010 1:08 PM GMT
Seen 'Leopardstown Weather Watch'on betting.betfair.ie 

http://betting.betfair.ie/irish-racing/leopardstown-weather-watch-4-211210.html
Report the hitcher December 21, 2010 1:24 PM GMT
Down Royal, Towcester already gone... matter of time before Leop and Limerick announcements. Start studying the English Premier League form for this Sunday...
Report irish_guy_13 December 21, 2010 1:37 PM GMT
http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/03969.html?MR=1


not a hope, lump on no racing
Report irish_guy_13 December 21, 2010 1:39 PM GMT
^^^^ weather forecast for week
Report irish_guy_13 December 21, 2010 1:41 PM GMT
no more bets wit pp on it been off.
Report SpecialsGuru December 21, 2010 1:55 PM GMT
what price did they go Irish?
Report Doyler1987 December 21, 2010 4:19 PM GMT
Right on target to hit Dublin, its like something out of The Day After Tomorrow http://www.raintoday.co.uk/
Report irish_guy_13 December 21, 2010 6:09 PM GMT
i could not get a price.
Report el gato December 21, 2010 6:10 PM GMT
Bob Hope and no hope
Report Colonel Sanders December 21, 2010 6:36 PM GMT
work on the southside (5 miles or so from the track) but live on the northside

Really heavy snow today, left work early and by the time I got home there was inches of the stuff after falling. Can't see it going ahead unfortunately Cry

Anyone live closer the track?
Report the hitcher December 21, 2010 7:01 PM GMT
Leop manager Tom Burke due on Radio 1 very shortly.
Report workrider December 21, 2010 7:43 PM GMT
not to far away , and its snowed all day here no chance imo unless as someone on here already said , we get medd like weather .
Report lustrumm December 22, 2010 9:37 AM GMT
As I said before I live there. Was at the Gym last night and the palce is under 2 feet of snow everywhere. Even the work vans doing up the stands are stuck in the betting ring. Snowed again last night.
However lovely day now with the sun out.

It all depends on when the thaw comes. There was another  snow storm alert on the news last night. If the Snow last night was it then the rest of the days should be alright but the 26th could have been called off a long time ago. Laddies went 4/9 it to be off on Monday it was a steal
Report downallstar December 22, 2010 9:55 AM GMT
The prospect of Leopardstown's four-day Christmas meeting going ahead as scheduled from St Stephen's Day is looking increasingly bleak following further snow at the Dublin track.

“There is about eight inches of snow on the track at the moment, and we will make an announcement later today on possible plans,” said General Manager Tom Burke on RTE Radio this morning.


“It is very disappointing for every one involved in the racing industry when we get into a position like this."


"A huge amount of work has been put in by our staff to ensure we have a successful meeting,” added Burke, who revealed that 35-40% of the track's annual income is generated at the Christmas meeting.


Weather forecasts earlier this week suggesting a thaw before Christmas Day have changed, with latest predictions indicating a significant rise in temperatures accompanied by rain may not arrive until the second half of St Stephen's Day.


In the meantime, temperatures will struggle to get above 0C with severe frost at night. There is also the possibility of further snow showers along the east coast over the next few days.
Report lustrumm December 22, 2010 10:28 AM GMT
The only small chance is if the Weather Forecast is wrong and the thaw comes early. Stephens day is gone but there is still time in the week for a full programme in the rest of the week.
Obviously Burke is howling as there would be a record crowd there on Sunday with a record spend at the Bar, food etc.
The same card on Thursday won't atteact 3000 people
Report lustrumm December 22, 2010 11:37 AM GMT
Just another update here. I did not go to work today. Sat down in front of my laptop looking out the window. Our hedge had over a foot of snow on it at 10AM. The sun has now melted the whole lot of it in just over an hour.
So it just goes to show when the thaw arrives it will turn around quickly.

It really all depends on if there is another snow storm. So not all is lost yet

Be a beautiful day to race today (except for the Snow)
Report Tolmi December 22, 2010 12:13 PM GMT
Postponed from Sunday.Put back until the 30th.
Report downallstar December 22, 2010 12:34 PM GMT
I suppose given the weather we've had/ are having this is not too bad an outcome.
King George looks like its ok for the 26th.
Report SpecialsGuru December 22, 2010 1:33 PM GMT
27th in some doubt now. Evens on offer here for it to go ahead!
Report Catch Me ifyoucan December 23, 2011 2:11 PM GMT
NOT THIS YEAR, Thankfully
Report Slabster December 23, 2011 7:31 PM GMT
Jesus Catch Me you had me worried there, started rading the thread from the start and was wondering what was going on! Lovely here in Wexford Laugh

Can't wait.
Report Blackwater December 23, 2011 9:58 PM GMT
Ho, Ho, Ho!
Report db1974 December 24, 2011 9:36 AM GMT
Ha Ha - had me fooled anyway
Report Newmanix December 24, 2011 9:53 AM GMT
caught meLaugh
Report thecookiemonster December 24, 2011 3:31 PM GMT
dont be doing that to me Shocked
Report Catch Me ifyoucan December 24, 2011 4:25 PM GMT
HAPPY(Christmas)RACING ! Laugh Devil
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