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SpecialsGuru
20 Dec 10 12:03
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Date Joined: 06 Jul 06
| Topic/replies: 28 | Blogger: SpecialsGuru's blog
I see a market up here on the above and weather watch updates on http://betting.betfair.ie/irish-racing/. Odds against must be value at odds against? Anyone in the area with a strong opinion?

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Replies: 56
By:
SatelliteFlight
When: 20 Dec 10 12:04
Just stopped snowing where i am about a 10 minute drive from the track, place is covered in snow again
By:
SpecialsGuru
When: 20 Dec 10 12:04
Sorry...that should read 'No' must be value at oddss against...
By:
Doyler1987
When: 20 Dec 10 12:53
The country faces several more days of sub-zero temperatures, with conditions unlikely to improve until Christmas Eve at the earliest.

Met Éireann has forecast that most of the country will remain dry. But there is a risk of snow showers in parts of the south, north and east over the coming days.

Weather forecaster Joan Blackburn said milder temperatures are due to arrive on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day when a belt of rain is due to cross the country.

In the meantime, daytime values are unlikely to rise much above freezing, preventing any thaw. Night-time temperatures are due to fall to between minus 5 and minus 10.


The rain the few days before might save it, if you believe weather forecasts that is Shocked
By:
downallstar
When: 20 Dec 10 14:20
Christmas day and Stephan's day are to have rain & be 10 degrees above.
By:
downallstar
When: 20 Dec 10 14:25
Christmas Day: It seems likely now that a much milder south to southeast airflow will extend countrywide on Christmas Day with outbreaks of rain bringing a rapid thaw with temperatures rising to 9 or 10 degrees and no frost Christmas night. St Stephen's Day: Further outbreaks of rain in a southwesterly wind and temperatures of 8 to 10 degrees.
By:
SatelliteFlight
When: 20 Dec 10 15:41
snowing heavily again
By:
SpecialsGuru
When: 20 Dec 10 16:45
If thats the case down, is there a chance the ground will be unable to cope with a sudden thaw/rain and become saturated?
By:
irish_guy_13
When: 20 Dec 10 17:40
nearly at inch of rain forecast for xmas night and next day..........
By:
soapp
When: 20 Dec 10 18:28
A winter wonderland again in the capital this evening.
By:
thefly10
When: 20 Dec 10 21:19
26 Dec, first day of the meeting is sponsored by Bord Na Mona, hence 'Bord Na Mona Day', think we might be having a Bord Na Mona Day alright..in front of the sitting room fire !!
By:
squigs
When: 20 Dec 10 21:28
Unreal snow here tonight, would be 15 mins from track.
By:
irish_guy_13
When: 20 Dec 10 23:04
the place will flood i'll say. again.
By:
downallstar
When: 20 Dec 10 23:56
Looks like we will get a thaw starting xmas eve day, so hopefully no more snow.
Hop the track can take all the moisture.
By:
jackdaws
When: 21 Dec 10 04:08
not a hope for stephens daySad
By:
Giant Strides
When: 21 Dec 10 08:23
Met office said this morning the thaw wont start until Xmas day.
By:
SpecialsGuru
When: 21 Dec 10 08:51
A mate who lives in Froxrock told me they had drifts in places on the course, and nearly a foot of snow.
By:
downallstar
When: 21 Dec 10 10:02
Leading Bookmakers Ladbrokes have priced up odds of racing taking place on St. Stephen's Day and lets hope they have got their prices right as they make Leopardstown a short price to get the green light on 26th December.
The firm are offering combined odds of 5/4 that racing on St Stephen's Day will go ahead at both Leopardstown and Limerick.

Leopardstown is 30/100 to be on while Limerick is less likely in their book to be beat the weather at odds of 4/7.

Those wanting to hedge their bets can back a cancelled Leopardstown on 26th at 5/2. Not a bad bet - if racing is off you back a winner; if racing is on you can back several!

Ladbrokes fear the UK fixtures will be badly hit and offer odds of 5/4 about kempton racing and 6/4 for Chepstow to beat the freeze the following day.

Hayley O'Connor of Ladbrokes said: "The return of the snowfall has definitely put the Christmas fixtures in jeopardy, but we're going to remain hopeful that temperatures rise for some of the busiest meetings of the year."
By:
SpecialsGuru
When: 21 Dec 10 10:05
evens on here to 'go-ahead' - http://sports.betfair.com/Index.do?mi=102054040&ex=1&origin=MRL
By:
Doyler1987
When: 21 Dec 10 10:23
Can anyone actually find that market on lads site?!
By:
downallstar
When: 21 Dec 10 10:27
nope, rang them they haven't a clue about it.
By:
SpecialsGuru
When: 21 Dec 10 10:32
Horseracing/Ire/'will racing go ahead'....
By:
Newmanix
When: 21 Dec 10 11:02
Judging from my weather forecasts it will be very wet and windy on stephens day with temps of 5-8.  27th will be dry with temps of 8 or 9.  28th will be dry.Happy

http://www.windguru.cz/int/index.php?sc=4862
By:
SatelliteFlight
When: 21 Dec 10 11:16
It's still snowing Sad more snow than the last time FFS
By:
the hitcher
When: 21 Dec 10 11:20
http://www.dublincity.ie/dublintraffic/

Scroll down to the N11 (Kill Lane, Newtown Park Avenue) section. Just about the closest cameras to the track.
By:
downallstar
When: 21 Dec 10 11:33
b0ll0x!
By:
the hitcher
When: 21 Dec 10 11:39
The fact that you cant even see some of the pics due to snow hardly inspires confidence. I live a cpl miles from track and trudged through a foot and a half of snow on way to work this morn. That thaw will need to be Meditarranean...
By:
downallstar
When: 21 Dec 10 11:41
Rain & wind is the only hope, and that will obviously bring its own problems.
By:
SatelliteFlight
When: 21 Dec 10 11:42
I can barely get out of me house Laugh my leg sinks down into the snow FFS Laugh and im only a 10 minute drive away, we need a change in the weather and a change soon to hold any chance in my opinion
By:
lustrumm
When: 21 Dec 10 12:01
2 things.

1.Leopardstown (I live there) was hit worse than anyplace the last time and it is the same this time. That said when the thaw came there was no snow on the ground (racing ground) within 36 hours. It really was remamrkable how quickly it cleared. However the approach roads and enclosures took several days to clear.

2. Just heard on the radio there that it will not thaw before Christmas day. If that is so then the 26th cannot be on. I'd imagine they will rejig the days or else move the 26th to the last day.

In their favour is that nearly all the tickets are multi day tickets so they are valid any day. The only ones to appease are the sponsors and the connections of horses.

I'd say racing St. Stephens day in Leopardstown has very little chance on current evidence
By:
monksfield2
When: 21 Dec 10 13:00
I just noticed in my new PP diary that Leopardstown and Galway have given over next year's October bank holiday to Wexford.  Perhaps the snow will be over by then and they'll run the St. Stephen's Day card then!

The Leopardstown website is only marginally better than the Punchestown one on which I commented during the last blizzard:

http://www.leopardstown.com/racing/ground-and-weather-reports/
Ground and Weather Reports

Ground and weather conditions will be updated before each major race so please check back regularly.

I suppose the excuse is that there is so much snow on top of the ground they don't know what condition its in.

Latest forecast from
http://www.irishweatheronline.com/2010/12/21-dec-2010-long-range-weather-forecast.html

SUNDAY (St. Stephen's Day) ... This is still very much of a puzzler with the models ranging from snow to cold and dry to sleet, fog, rain.  The most likely outcome at this stage is snow mixing with sleet  but this may change as we move closer to the day. We'll keep a close watch on this. Potentially, it could warm up considerably in the southwest but stay very cold in Ulster, with bands of mixed precipitation in between. That would involve a lot of bad weather (fog, ice and snow. Also thawing and flooding in some areas.) But it may not get that mild so the results may be more along the lines of a snowfall event.

OUTLOOK ... Milder will be shortlived should it arrive.  Very cold air will return from the east before New Years. It could conceivably never get much milder than 2-4 C before that happens.
By:
SpecialsGuru
When: 21 Dec 10 13:08
Seen 'Leopardstown Weather Watch'on betting.betfair.ie 

http://betting.betfair.ie/irish-racing/leopardstown-weather-watch-4-211210.html
By:
the hitcher
When: 21 Dec 10 13:24
Down Royal, Towcester already gone... matter of time before Leop and Limerick announcements. Start studying the English Premier League form for this Sunday...
By:
irish_guy_13
When: 21 Dec 10 13:37
http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/03969.html?MR=1


not a hope, lump on no racing
By:
irish_guy_13
When: 21 Dec 10 13:39
^^^^ weather forecast for week
By:
irish_guy_13
When: 21 Dec 10 13:41
no more bets wit pp on it been off.
By:
SpecialsGuru
When: 21 Dec 10 13:55
what price did they go Irish?
By:
Doyler1987
When: 21 Dec 10 16:19
Right on target to hit Dublin, its like something out of The Day After Tomorrow http://www.raintoday.co.uk/
By:
irish_guy_13
When: 21 Dec 10 18:09
i could not get a price.
By:
el gato
When: 21 Dec 10 18:10
Bob Hope and no hope
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