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leif
20 Feb 26 19:37
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Date Joined: 26 Jun 08
| Topic/replies: 15,312 | Blogger: leif's blog
CH
Pause • Switch to Standard View New Ebor favourite?
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Report howard • February 20, 2026 7:43 PM GMT
ebor and breeders cup turf
Report leif • February 20, 2026 9:10 PM GMT
Has a ring to it.
Why risk him over the obstacles again, if he can go out with a bang and showcase his talent in another sphere.
Fans of the horse don't want to witness a final capitulation that could end in tragedy.
Already a CH winner so he's ticked that box.
Report wondersobright • February 20, 2026 9:12 PM GMT
york in august keeneland in october...going to run on airstrip ground is he?
Report leif • February 20, 2026 10:22 PM GMT
Looked like an Ebor candidate there IMO.
Win that, and tilt at the Melbourne Cup windmill.
luverly jubberly.
Report leif • February 20, 2026 11:35 PM GMT
Visually impressive, which is sometimes dangerous when evaluating the achievement.
However, it was pulling away relentlessly when nothing behind was making (or attempting) to bridge the inevitable gap.
Has to campaign on the level, shirley?
Report duffy • February 21, 2026 4:52 AM GMT
He's not going to run on firm ground, so you can realistically forget about the big Summer races, how attractive does it sound now?
Report Ramruma • February 21, 2026 9:49 AM GMT
The risk for Con Hill's flat career is running him over the wrong trip.

We see this even in this thread and from various pundits in the Post suggesting races like the Ormonde and Irish St Leger.

Really they should keep him to 12 furlongs (as at Southwell). You can't make the 1:1 distance comparison between the two codes. It is easier to go further in the winter game because there are obstacles to slow the field down, and horses are trained and races are run differently.

The other danger is they step him up in class too quickly. Maybe the Arc is a legitimate end of season dream but not via the King George or other summer Group 1s. Next stop the John Porter maybe.
Report salmon spray • February 21, 2026 10:13 AM GMT
Can't run in The Arc. Short of two essential body parts.
Report formoftheace • February 21, 2026 10:16 AM GMT
leif 20 Feb 26 19:37 
CH

Laugh
Report Ramruma • February 21, 2026 10:16 AM GMT
Good point, salmon spray.
Report howard • February 21, 2026 10:56 AM GMT
yeah could well be 10f better than even 14f
Report leif • February 22, 2026 1:21 PM GMT
Buckley touting the Ebor and then the Melbourne as targets for CH if he goes down the flat route.
Report scoobytoo • February 22, 2026 1:33 PM GMT
He said: "I think we need to make a plan, we can always change it along the way.

"The horse should be running around about the end of August, the beginning of September, in either the Ebor, or there's a race at Goodwood, or in the Irish St Leger, with a view to going to Melbourne.


Its going to do well to run in the Ebor if it doesnt run till August,as it ovbiously wont be handicapped.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps • February 22, 2026 2:00 PM GMT
leif 20 Feb 26 23:35 
Visually impressive

of course,what did it beat? necker was disappointing..3rd an 80 horse..was great to see...1000 to win a group 1 at 9yr old.
Report penzance • February 22, 2026 2:06 PM GMT
He can get a mark as he's won a race.
Report scoobytoo • February 22, 2026 2:38 PM GMT
I dont know exact handicapping criteria but would be amazed if that race would facilitate what a viable mark CH could get allocated
Report howard • February 22, 2026 4:31 PM GMT
1000 G1 europe/worldwide Rico ?
Report Rico-Dangleflaps • February 22, 2026 5:12 PM GMT
most gr1 races have 120+ horses..cons sertanlee isnt won.
Report duffy • February 22, 2026 6:11 PM GMT
I think once the rose tinted specs have been removed and I certanly had them on in the immediate aftermath and was one of those caught in the mass hysteria and the undoubted impressive visual impression of what he did at Southwell, but in terms of what he might achieve on the flat, in the fullness of time I have a nagging feeling that that piece of form and what it signifies won't age well.
Report penzance • February 22, 2026 6:17 PM GMT
Although it's a H'cap the Melbourne Cup's a GP1.
Report WolfJFlywheel • February 22, 2026 6:33 PM GMT
The Melbourne Cup has a worse death toll than any jump race in recent years. Would hate to see him sent all that way at this stage of his career anyway.
Report duffy • February 22, 2026 6:52 PM GMT
As the Knight has already pointed out, negotiating the vets down there will be just as formidable as the race itself.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps • February 22, 2026 8:23 PM GMT
melbourne cup norm have soft/heavy ground?
Report howard • February 23, 2026 12:56 PM GMT
the bottom line is the guy is a drama queen. good job he's not on here.  If the horse is well he's certain to run in champion hurdle.  His ego wouldn't allow anything else.
Report leif • February 23, 2026 6:47 PM GMT
If he and Hendo are trying to teach the hoss to jump at this stage, it might be considered too late.
CH has already ticked the Ch box so why not try summat else.
Report Cider • February 23, 2026 6:55 PM GMT
Unfinished business, redemption. It's very human isn't it, they were basically humiliated and the horse's reputation was shot.

Fair to say the reputation has been repaired, and then some. But the unfinished business remains.

Potential redemption comes with significant risk attached.

A bit awkward that the conduit is a horse with no choice in the matter :)
Report leif • February 25, 2026 5:19 PM GMT
Timeform have awarded CH a 106P.
Mullins recent Ebor winners Absurde and Ethical Diamond won off 104.
CH likely to be above their marks.
Report leif • March 26, 2026 11:00 PM GMT
12/1 fav with Paddy for the Ebor.
Connections appear to be not too keen on the 14F trip.
Softish ground, if it turned up may sway them though.
Report formoftheace • March 27, 2026 7:20 AM GMT
Not Sea Pigeon.
Report leif • March 27, 2026 10:49 AM GMT
Both rated 175 over the sticks.
Ch has potential but it obviously remains to be seen what he can achieve of note, if anything, admittedly.
Report leif • March 31, 2026 7:42 PM BST
Timeform 5 dabs proud then.
Paddy cut it 4 points Laugh
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