vonclausewitz wd

George wasn't a bad selection with Lily Pearl at BOG (imo) gl ...

ta, Virgin   guesse me #lucjke#wereinne #2daye :)                                                     
         lette the OP have at itte i sez   an odde "invasionne" by posterres #otherre, on #someotherreboddys fredde, notte jenerally seen as #unhakksepptibille, mefinkkes  iffe me has opinionne relatedde to summit OP posdtes thenne me wille offa us #tuppinse - evry now ann denne  thisse de bestte #fredde on ere - as welle as beingge profitable; ittes highly #puntingge#sentrick heheheh....   pretty mucjhe a #noveltee on thisse forumme oeralle

Lola De Valence

Lola De Valence is a half-sister to the useful Back In Black (who went close in this season's Bunbury Cup, and is now rated 108 after running well in a Group 2 at Newbury),  and she appears to have plenty of ability herself judging from her win on her second start, when winning impressively at Nottingham (6f, g-f). The form of that contest might not amount to much when judged through the third and fourth, but she did readily beat a Kevin Ryan-trained debutante who had cost €290,000 as a yearling, and had been well supported in the betting.

This is a big step up in class for Lola De Valence, but interesting that she's being pitched in here by the yard that won the race last year (and also run Fillipas with Colin Keane booked), so hopefully she won't be disgraced if handling the easier ground.

Furhaan

Furhaan ran twice over C&D in July, making the frame on both occasions having been ridden prominently. He posted a lesser effort at Musselburgh (2m2f) last time when finishing fourth of the seven runners, beaten over 7L, but perhaps being ridden more patiently didn't suit. This is a slighter stronger race than those two previous course contests he ran in and he's 4lb out of the handicap on this occasion, but hopefully he can at least be a frame contender again if getting into a good rhythm on the front-end.

Cuban Lady

It looked a decent effort from Cuban Lady on her debut for Patrick Chammings at Brighton (g-f) recently when tried over 7f for the first time, leading inside the final furlong before being headed in the final strides and finishing runner-up, with one of today's rivals Dapper Guest behind her in third place. She's actually 2lb better off with that rival here, who carries a penalty for having won since over today's C&D, where he got the better of another of today's rivals, Silver Trumpet.

The ground is likely to be a bit easier today than it was at Brighton, but Cuban Lady has run well on good to soft, and hopefully can give another good account here if going the right way from that stable debut, which was her first start for two months.

Wd George   gl ...

+ is good George.

Maybee In Profit

Maybee In Profit doesn't face an easy task here up in class against rivals that include ones she has finished behind previously, and being 5lb higher than for a narrow victory last time at Ripon (5f, soft). However, that win last time was her first run on ground officially described as soft, and having duelled with a gelding (who previously at Newcastle had only just failed against the current favourite for this, This Moment), she was on top at the finish.

The going is set to soften further at Chester if the forecast rain materialises, so hopefully the selection's proven ability to handle soft can see her at least press for a place.

Second place for Angel's Call, but my theory that Maybee In Profit may have some untapped potential on soft ground proved to be wide of the mark on this occasion.

2026 Running P/L: +53.04 pts

Wemighttakedlongway

Wemighttakedlongway doesn't face an easy task to reverse C&D form from the Pretty Polly Stakes in June with her stablemate Thundering On and Red Letter, however, there was reason to think the selection's effort could be marked up considering she helped to keep the pace honest and kept plugging away in dispute of a place before fading to finish fifth, not beaten far behind those two rivals who were more conservatively-ridden.

Of course a similar scenario may unfold today, with their yard probably keen to ensure a decent pace for their main hope, but provided Wemighttakedlongway isn't sacrificed by going off too hard then hopefully she can at least press for a place.

Wemighttakedlongway has since run in a Group 1 in Germany, where she could never get involved from off the pace, and admittedly is form that leaves her with work to do with the runner-up Timeforshowcasing, who might have been better positioned, though that form has to be viewed in a  different view now given the first and third were Hotazhell and Wimbledon Hawkeye, who subsequently finished first and second in yesterday's Irish Champion Stakes.

Not one of my better days with potential going change angles not paying off.

With the ground drying out on the round course at the Curragh and potentially not being ideal for Thundering On, I took a chance EW on one of her stablemates, but managed to get that totally wrong.

It turned out to be pretty much a front-runner's day at Bath, which should have been good news for Bobby Dassler given he can be a keen-going sort on the pace, but he was never in it.

When Fair Dinkum won the Stayers' Series Final last season the field finished well strung out, but understandably due to the poor visibility they didn't go much pace this time around and the field of 12 was covered by just 8L at the finish. Fair Dinkum was beaten 2.5L at the finish, losing out on 4th place on the bob.

Sub Thirteen did manage to make the frame after putting in his best work late on.

2026 Running P/L: +47.84 pts

Princess Honey Bee

Princess Honey Bee is a risky one because there is a stamina question to answer upped 3.5f in trip to 11.5f, however, she's of interest from a handicapping perspective now she contests her first handicap based on a run at Ripon (one mile, g-f) fillies' novice in July when she finished runner-up to a Karl Burke-trained odds-on debutante, who has since followed up under a penalty on the all-weather against a Crisford-trained colt, who himself has since won a maiden race, albeit at very short odds.

Back in third place at Ripon was a Haggas-trained filly rated 75, who finished nearly four lengths behind Princess Honey Bee, who at that point was rated 67, so the mark of the selection could have taken a hit, but she only went up 2lb, while the Haggas-trained filly was dropped 5lb, and she won a handicap on her next start off that revised mark.

The selection failed to justify odds-on favouritism at Windsor (one-mile, g-f) last month but not sure that race panned out well for her, and she has since shed her maiden tag in a fillies' novice contest at Lingfield (AW), following which her mark was nudged up to 70.

Regarding stamina, her dam, a half-sister to a 10f winner, won a 7.5f soft ground novice at Beverley as a juvenile, but was untried over further having not been raced as a older horse.

Justmyluck

Justmyluck was out of his depth last time at Hamilton (5f, g-s) in a 0-91 when sent off at 100-1 and racing from 5lb out of the handicap, but he didn't shape too badly up to a point having raced towards the far side in a race where the action unfolded more towards the nearside, weakening out if it inside the final furlong having not helped his chance by taking a grip.

There was a suggestion in a couple of the other sprints on that card that racing more nearside might have been an advantage on the night, but that theory appeared to be blown out of the water when Theory Nil (who also runs in this) went and won the finale up the far side at odds of 40-1.

Justmyluck is eligible for slightly weaker races than this one but this class 5 still looks a lot more realistic than the class 3 he ran in last time, so I'm going to roll the dice at big odds and hope his low draw in this big field doesn't turn out to have been a negative.

nice place on The Drambling Man, George    pity ahboute thatte one andde da coinne comingge early; were 40s earlierre in daye,,,     stella P&L ya gottes!   andde ya handicappingge yourselffe an alle, by puttingge uppe yer picjkes late in morningge - whenne lotsa tasty prices hae dwindledde !!.. deffe gettes #proppes fromme me   wd againne! :)

Cheers vonclausewitz and Virgin.

I thought Justmyluck was going to run on into a place but his effort just petered out in the closing stages having again not helped his chance by taking a grip.

Regarding early prices, it can go the other way too, as it did with Regally Blonde, and recent selection Princess Honey Bee also doubled in price during the morning, though admittedly in her case it was because she wasn't going to be good enough.

2026 Running P/L: +46.84 pts

Mind Those Steps

Mind Those Steps had the benefit of a debut run when winning at Hamilton (6f, good) in May, just holding on from the debutant This Moment, who has improved gradually since and is now rated 98, the pair finishing clear of the favourite Location Location, another who has improved gradually since and is now rated 80.

In contrast, Mind The Steps doesn't appear to have improved since, having been absent for over two months after, he returned to action in a 6f novice at Newcastle in July under a penalty and wearing a first-time tongue-tie, where he could only finish 11th of 14 runners and beaten five lenghts, however, he didn't see much daylight up the stands' rail. His latest run came in the valuable sales race at the Ebor meeting (6f, g-s) won by Sun Goddess, where he was sent off at 150-1 and finished last of the 20 runners, beaten 36 lengths.

I'm not sure what to expect, but this looks more realistic and his mark of 79 looks a fair one judging from how the form of his Hamilton win has worked out, whilst acknowleging that the pair he beat have both improved since. He does have to prove himself on softer ground, but his pedigree is encouraging in that regard being a half-brother to a mare who was a Listed / Group 3 winner on heavy / yielding, and he's a son of the prolific Spinatrix, who handled soft ground well.

Furhaan

Furhaan was a selection last time at York when I wrote:

Furhaan ran twice over C&D in July, making the frame on both occasions having been ridden prominently. He posted a lesser effort at Musselburgh (2m2f) last time when finishing fourth of the seven runners, beaten over 7L, but perhaps being ridden more patiently didn't suit. This is a slighter stronger race than those two previous course contests he ran in and he's 4lb out of the handicap on this occasion, but hopefully he can at least be a frame contender again if getting into a good rhythm on the front-end.

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Furhaan disappointed at York even allowing for facing a tough task at the weights so needs to get back to that earlier form, but if he can, he should have at least place prospects here now dropped into a class 5 contest for the first time this season.