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differentdrum
22 Nov 25 16:12
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Date Joined: 05 Oct 11
| Topic/replies: 21,242 | Blogger: differentdrum's blog
Stable in as bad a form as you could get, and horse running over a trip well short of it's best. I am struggling to see the pluses.
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Report uptheirons November 22, 2025 4:14 PM GMT
To get a run into it over a trip too short
Report elise November 22, 2025 4:45 PM GMT
exactly where they campaigned last yr
Report differentdrum November 23, 2025 9:48 AM GMT
I am well aware where he ran last year given that I backed him for the Gold Cup and 'campaigned' throughout the year for him to go down that route. This year is completely different. He is now confirmed as the best horse in the yard, the best the trainer has had, and maybe will ever have. I think you should be 'minding' your biggest asset. I am not sure that running him over the wrong trip, at a time when there is clearly something wrong with the horses, given a strike rate of than 2% over a fair period of time, is 'minding' him. That's not the strike rate of a top 4 stable. If he ends up winning a second Gold Cup, then great, but if this ends up being a winnerless season, then perhaps he might reflect that today's run wasn't the wisest move?
Report elise November 23, 2025 9:51 AM GMT
if it worked last yr why would they change it this yr if the horse is in no different a place? trainers are creatures of habit, you said you couldn't see the plusses which says you missed the obvious
Report jimnast November 23, 2025 11:31 AM GMT
It wouldn’t be as enjoyable if every trainer minded there biggest asset dd
Report penzance November 23, 2025 11:39 AM GMT
Starting him off over shorter for the last 2 seasons hasn't stopped him
winning @ Cheltenham,where they were his 1ST wins that season.Why change?
Report impossible123 November 23, 2025 11:40 AM GMT
Indeed a totally wrong race for him this year. The situation has changed since winning the blue riband race at Cheltenham this year. I understand a public gallop however, there ought to be a race more suitable than this shortie trip.

Or bring him over for a more meaningful one at Cheltenham.
Report saxon farm November 23, 2025 11:56 AM GMT
^
What particular race at Cheltenham would be meaningful at this time of year?
Report Rico-Dangleflaps November 23, 2025 12:04 PM GMT
differentdrum 23 Nov 25 09:48 
I am well aware where he ran last year given that I backed him for the Gold Cup and 'campaigned' throughout the year for him to go down that route.

but allowed to go as low as 4/1 for the grand national?
Report jimnast November 23, 2025 12:08 PM GMT
Supplemented for the gold cup at a late stage
Report stewarts rise November 23, 2025 12:57 PM GMT
Would you risk laying it at 24/25 DD if you think it doesn't have much chance with stable out of form and distance much too short, 4% profit for a few minutes.
   Some people might argue that Willie Mullins stable is out of form with just a 15% SR last 2 weeks, only 5 winners from 33 runners all winners long odds on, he's got a few that you'd think would need further now at big prices, but would anyone risk laying them?
Report stewarts rise November 23, 2025 1:08 PM GMT
Mullins another 1-5 so far today at 8/15 to add to his recent total.
Report wondersobright November 23, 2025 1:10 PM GMT
stewarts rise • November 23, 2025 12:57 PM GMT
Would you risk laying it at 24/25 DD if you think it doesn't have much chance with stable out of form and distance much too short, 4% profit for a few minutes.


derivative markets available
Report wondersobright November 23, 2025 1:12 PM GMT

Nov 23, 2025 -- 12:04PM, Rico-Dangleflaps wrote:


differentdrum 23 Nov 25 09:48

Report wondersobright November 23, 2025 1:13 PM GMT
had national as plan until FTF re-routed away from gold cup
Report Rico-Dangleflaps November 23, 2025 1:53 PM GMT
i know..i put it up at 18/1
Report elise November 23, 2025 1:55 PM GMT
u were still hoping they would go after the gold cup if i rem?
Report wondersobright November 23, 2025 2:03 PM GMT

Nov 23, 2025 -- 1:53PM, Rico-Dangleflaps wrote:


i know..i put it up at 18/1


yes I remember

Report wondersobright November 23, 2025 2:03 PM GMT
was still single figs to lay after gold cup
Report Rico-Dangleflaps November 23, 2025 2:48 PM GMT
aye but need insider info.
Report in hell November 23, 2025 3:06 PM GMT
Embarrassing from the Gold Cup winner.

Decent race in the end
Report Rico-Dangleflaps November 23, 2025 3:07 PM GMT
prob the best 20/1 lay pre this decade.
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