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oneten
10 Aug 25 11:01
Joined:
Date Joined: 16 Apr 02
| Topic/replies: 873 | Blogger: oneten's blog
Morning All, could well be the best horse in the race and they think a lot of it, as do Becketts with theirs.
I think charltons have a bug in the yard.
Only my opinion of course, and it won't affect all their runners , but just being a friendly forumite.
And no, im not laying it, as it is quite possibly the best horse in the race , but the yard does appear to have a bit of a bug.

On the plus side this c and d charlton has an awesome record of 4 from 6 .
However as nearly all his runners over the last fortnight have fallen out the back of the television you'd need your head read to be backing any of his .
1-0-15 winners to runners . 0.5 a/e
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Report oneten August 10, 2025 11:33 AM BST
The power of the forum ? Probably not, but since posting Quadrillion has suddenly lost a leg and started a huge drift from 1.7 to 2.3
And Becketts has shortened from 6 to 4.5.
At this rate we will have flip flopping favourites , though there is a long way to go yet.
Report top2rated August 10, 2025 11:43 AM BST
"On the plus side this c and d charlton has an awesome record of 4 from 6 ".

oneten, where did you get that stat from?
Report penzance August 10, 2025 11:53 AM BST
4/6 @ the track.Might not be C&D.
Report top2rated August 10, 2025 11:58 AM BST
According to horseracebase.com...




Report charbar67 August 10, 2025 12:05 PM BST
Skybet have boosted it to 7/4, so i would expect it to drift further
Report penzance August 10, 2025 12:07 PM BST
Those course stats may be for Harry Charlton since he's gone it alone.
Report tanglefoot August 10, 2025 12:08 PM BST
Interesting race,betting support indicate a win for Quadrillion,not withstanding that Swiped trainer Beckett good record at track and the outsider Kalokalo,dwelt on only outing could surprise.
Report 1st time poster August 10, 2025 12:22 PM BST
bit of a kooonts trick in present circumstance if it turns out theyve got keane over on a quiet day to ride what may  turn out to be a nonner goer
Report oneten August 10, 2025 12:28 PM BST
Apologies 2tr and penzmce , you are correct , 2/3 c + d , and 4 /6 at the track.
My mistake, sorry.
Report Hayden August 10, 2025 1:33 PM BST
Aside from the Easterby horse that's had 4 runs the others have had 3 runs between the five with two debutantes so with 2yo babies it's as good a guessing race as possible , without hindsight you couldn't lay one of them with any confidence or guesswork so if forced to guess may as well guess big.


Good luck those brave enough    Happy
Report akajak August 10, 2025 1:44 PM BST
yes 1 winner from 15 but 8 of those were between 14/1 and 50/1; very small sample size
Report akajak August 10, 2025 1:44 PM BST
yes 1 winner from 15 but 8 of those were between 14/1 and 50/1; very small sample size
Report second again August 10, 2025 1:47 PM BST
The betting just before the off should be interesting, although I am not expecting to have a bet.
Report TameTheTiger August 10, 2025 1:51 PM BST
3rd/4th favs , both debutants, cost a pretty penny and could be anything
Report Hayden August 10, 2025 2:04 PM BST
There you have a 17.3 winner that's absolutely impossible to call a shock result.
Report TameTheTiger August 10, 2025 2:06 PM BST
cheers Hayden Cool
Report hulk23 August 10, 2025 2:09 PM BST
won 5 lengths hard on the snaff and nobody at Burkes had a scooby judging by the market

100/30 to 14/1

(Morning price: 10/3 7/2 10/3 7/2 10/3 7/2 4/1 9/2 5/1 9/2 4/1 5/1 9/2 5/1 11/2 6/1 15/2)
(Ring price: 8/1 17/2 9/1 10/1 11/1 12/1 14/1) SP 14/1

so what chance everybody else got ?
Report howard August 10, 2025 2:20 PM BST
well if you don't fancy the fav u don't need many winners at 14/1 do u
Report 11kv August 10, 2025 2:22 PM BST
Burke will have  made money on the race.
Report howard August 10, 2025 2:22 PM BST
£4860
Report uptheirons August 10, 2025 2:23 PM BST
Clearly not a morning glory but plenty of slow boats on the gallops come alive on Course.This was clearly one of them
Report leif August 10, 2025 2:36 PM BST
Burke's juveniles having been doing the stable proud.
Report leif August 10, 2025 2:38 PM BST
39 winners from 115 since January @ 34%
over half a mil in prize money.
Report oneten August 10, 2025 3:15 PM BST
Akajack re your comment saying the sample size is too small
"yes 1 winner from 15 but 8 of those were between 14/1 and 50/1; very small sample size "

However the other runners were fancied : evens , 11-8, 5-2, 4-1, 5-1, and now a 4-7 shot btn. Admittedly it didnt fall out the back of the tv but it still must have been disappointing to those who backed it.
And that equals expected 2.5  and a/e 0.3

I would think that's perfectly ok as a sample size for something as transient as trainer form over 14 days, wouldn't you ?
Report oneten August 10, 2025 3:16 PM BST
And well done hayden !
Report oneten August 10, 2025 4:37 PM BST
Be interesting to see if polygram gets turned over in the next at wolves. Should get btn by fanshawes is the yard is under a cloud.
Report akajak August 10, 2025 4:59 PM BST
However the other runners were fancied : evens , 11-8, 5-2, 4-1, 5-1, and now a 4-7 shot btn. Admittedly it didnt fall out the back of the tv but it still must have been disappointing to those who backed it.
And that equals expected 2.5  and a/e 0.3

I would think that's perfectly ok as a sample size for something as transient as trainer form over 14 days, wouldn't you ?

no, expected winners were under 2 so 1 winner and he's on the expected value. But I hope you profited by laying it Oneten
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