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oneten
10 Aug 25 11:01
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Date Joined: 16 Apr 02
| Topic/replies: 873 | Blogger: oneten's blog
Morning All, could well be the best horse in the race and they think a lot of it, as do Becketts with theirs.
I think charltons have a bug in the yard.
Only my opinion of course, and it won't affect all their runners , but just being a friendly forumite.
And no, im not laying it, as it is quite possibly the best horse in the race , but the yard does appear to have a bit of a bug.

On the plus side this c and d charlton has an awesome record of 4 from 6 .
However as nearly all his runners over the last fortnight have fallen out the back of the television you'd need your head read to be backing any of his .
1-0-15 winners to runners . 0.5 a/e

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Replies: 27
By:
oneten
When: 10 Aug 25 11:33
The power of the forum ? Probably not, but since posting Quadrillion has suddenly lost a leg and started a huge drift from 1.7 to 2.3
And Becketts has shortened from 6 to 4.5.
At this rate we will have flip flopping favourites , though there is a long way to go yet.
By:
top2rated
When: 10 Aug 25 11:43
"On the plus side this c and d charlton has an awesome record of 4 from 6 ".

oneten, where did you get that stat from?
By:
penzance
When: 10 Aug 25 11:53
4/6 @ the track.Might not be C&D.
By:
top2rated
When: 10 Aug 25 11:58
According to horseracebase.com...




By:
charbar67
When: 10 Aug 25 12:05
Skybet have boosted it to 7/4, so i would expect it to drift further
By:
penzance
When: 10 Aug 25 12:07
Those course stats may be for Harry Charlton since he's gone it alone.
By:
tanglefoot
When: 10 Aug 25 12:08
Interesting race,betting support indicate a win for Quadrillion,not withstanding that Swiped trainer Beckett good record at track and the outsider Kalokalo,dwelt on only outing could surprise.
By:
1st time poster
When: 10 Aug 25 12:22
bit of a kooonts trick in present circumstance if it turns out theyve got keane over on a quiet day to ride what may  turn out to be a nonner goer
By:
oneten
When: 10 Aug 25 12:28
Apologies 2tr and penzmce , you are correct , 2/3 c + d , and 4 /6 at the track.
My mistake, sorry.
By:
Hayden
When: 10 Aug 25 13:33
Aside from the Easterby horse that's had 4 runs the others have had 3 runs between the five with two debutantes so with 2yo babies it's as good a guessing race as possible , without hindsight you couldn't lay one of them with any confidence or guesswork so if forced to guess may as well guess big.


Good luck those brave enough    Happy
By:
akajak
When: 10 Aug 25 13:44
yes 1 winner from 15 but 8 of those were between 14/1 and 50/1; very small sample size
By:
akajak
When: 10 Aug 25 13:44
yes 1 winner from 15 but 8 of those were between 14/1 and 50/1; very small sample size
By:
second again
When: 10 Aug 25 13:47
The betting just before the off should be interesting, although I am not expecting to have a bet.
By:
TameTheTiger
When: 10 Aug 25 13:51
3rd/4th favs , both debutants, cost a pretty penny and could be anything
By:
Hayden
When: 10 Aug 25 14:04
There you have a 17.3 winner that's absolutely impossible to call a shock result.
By:
TameTheTiger
When: 10 Aug 25 14:06
cheers Hayden Cool
By:
hulk23
When: 10 Aug 25 14:09
won 5 lengths hard on the snaff and nobody at Burkes had a scooby judging by the market

100/30 to 14/1

(Morning price: 10/3 7/2 10/3 7/2 10/3 7/2 4/1 9/2 5/1 9/2 4/1 5/1 9/2 5/1 11/2 6/1 15/2)
(Ring price: 8/1 17/2 9/1 10/1 11/1 12/1 14/1) SP 14/1

so what chance everybody else got ?
By:
howard
When: 10 Aug 25 14:20
well if you don't fancy the fav u don't need many winners at 14/1 do u
By:
11kv
When: 10 Aug 25 14:22
Burke will have  made money on the race.
By:
howard
When: 10 Aug 25 14:22
£4860
By:
uptheirons
When: 10 Aug 25 14:23
Clearly not a morning glory but plenty of slow boats on the gallops come alive on Course.This was clearly one of them
By:
leif
When: 10 Aug 25 14:36
Burke's juveniles having been doing the stable proud.
By:
leif
When: 10 Aug 25 14:38
39 winners from 115 since January @ 34%
over half a mil in prize money.
By:
oneten
When: 10 Aug 25 15:15
Akajack re your comment saying the sample size is too small
"yes 1 winner from 15 but 8 of those were between 14/1 and 50/1; very small sample size "

However the other runners were fancied : evens , 11-8, 5-2, 4-1, 5-1, and now a 4-7 shot btn. Admittedly it didnt fall out the back of the tv but it still must have been disappointing to those who backed it.
And that equals expected 2.5  and a/e 0.3

I would think that's perfectly ok as a sample size for something as transient as trainer form over 14 days, wouldn't you ?
By:
oneten
When: 10 Aug 25 15:16
And well done hayden !
By:
oneten
When: 10 Aug 25 16:37
Be interesting to see if polygram gets turned over in the next at wolves. Should get btn by fanshawes is the yard is under a cloud.
By:
akajak
When: 10 Aug 25 16:59
However the other runners were fancied : evens , 11-8, 5-2, 4-1, 5-1, and now a 4-7 shot btn. Admittedly it didnt fall out the back of the tv but it still must have been disappointing to those who backed it.
And that equals expected 2.5  and a/e 0.3

I would think that's perfectly ok as a sample size for something as transient as trainer form over 14 days, wouldn't you ?

no, expected winners were under 2 so 1 winner and he's on the expected value. But I hope you profited by laying it Oneten
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