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Fav for The Triumph Hurdle dont make me laugh ffs.
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Yep
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Mullins 11 Runners and Ruby's tipping East India Dock.
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The Winner comes from Lulamba or Hello Neighbour imho.
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Unsure why you are crabbing EID but I think he is ideal type , probably between gim and lulumba . Hoping tom laceys gibbs island can put in a good showing
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booby put up the 1st winner yesterday at 20,s ew ,when Mullins had half a dozen in the field
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East India Dock 10lb clear on all objective ratings. Strange things can happen as we see every day but he is the right favourite. My only bet of the day so far.
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10 flat runs is very unusual for a 4yo hurdler these days but it adds to his credibility that he has that much racing experience. Hello Neighbour is the main danger.
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Sumthin is going to do him i am pretty sure of that.
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He has course form , race hardened, uncomplicated , clear on form and ratings. So the likely winner, but Hendos think theirs is better. Should be a good race.
It will be hard to get EID out of the first 3 so a decent ew bet. |
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Think this wins looks class can see this being another Kribensis
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Biggish field with many inexperienced horses on ground that won’t be slowing them down. I hope they all get round.
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That view is what makes markets acey. Henderson's has just 2 runs over hurdles and none on the flat. 18 is a biggish field but not near the maximum of 24.
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Well done Acey, keep it up, EID being punted off the boards. !!
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When did you go skint oneten? A good ew chance @ 11/8? Think you could be right with Hello Neighbour acey, whether inexperience is a negative or not there should be potential for big improvement if jumping continues to improve, gone ew.
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LOL, good call acey!!
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ran better than i thought it would.
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1.26 ir
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100/1 for Tony Bloom.
 Mad week, that sums it up.! |
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Good call acey. The moral of the tale - if you’re serious about winning at Cheltenham don’t put STD on it. He’s worse than an infection and all over the place in a finish.
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EID clattererd 3 or 4 hurdles took its toll. Well done winners.
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A useful handicapper on Flat (stays 1½m) for Ralph Beckett this summer. Changed hands for 200,000 gns in October and he brings a lot of potential to this sphere. No forlorn hope for top connections.
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looks like hurdling experience not too vital sageform
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Great finish and why do any of us think we can outthink Mullins. 100/1 chance, never run over hurdles. I doubt if even his inner circle "knew" about that one. First and third by Golden Horn. My biggest shock was seeing my lay at 1.4 taken on East India Dock. He was the one found out by the pace and the hill.
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Hard to believe he got beat after jumping the last a length up, not having been asked for everything yet. Just fell in a hole, when in previous races he was strongest at the finish.
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Pity no one backed it
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True Howard but flat experience made the difference in the end. Lulamba probably the best of them but not enough experience.
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You will find East India's best trip over hurdles is at least 20f and he won't have any trouble with 3m.
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100 £135.79
110 £126.91 120 £367.40 130 £324.44 140 £405.43 150 £488.80 160 £511.69 170 £307.84 180 £225.49 190 £404.55 200 £922.64 210 £516.38 220 £746.00 225.810941277 £247.43 £59,681.69 230 £515.28 240 £956.33 250 £513.09 260 £528.71 270 £298.51 280 £133.84 290 £58.09 300 £53.16 310 £6.05 320 £15.19 330 £9.34 340 £1.51 350 £1.49 360 £1.24 370 £0.25 380 £0.02 390 £0.43 400 £2.80 410 £0.43 420 £0.22 430 £1.87 440 £0.30 450 £4.29 470 £0.03 480 £0.07 490 £0.20 |
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Fair play. WD winners Mullins with a 100/1 and a 20/1 & 16/1 at the festival
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I think it was fair ir sage. Last one to be asked for everything, staying looked his forte. He has stopped rather that the winner catching him as demonstrated by getting beat by the s2nd fav too. He didn't jump so well today, but I'd say he hasn't seen the race out for whatever reason.
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Winner paid 160 on the Tote.
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Because he didn't stay AT THAT PACE.
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isn't there an old saying you get a stayer beat taking him out of his comfort zone ? The bottom line is he's not a top notcher at 2m. More flights and further will suit him.
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Lulamba outstayed him, running at the same pace
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They all stay 4 miles at the right pace. There were no real form lines in the Triumph. All based on ratings on the clock or value of races won and half of them had never lost over hurdles.
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Hendo meshed up on Lulamba. I think had Lulamba had one more run for experience and fitness - his jumping could have been better - he'd have won. As such, still ran very well.
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Was Ardross outstayed in the arc cider ?
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No idea, before my time. It's all relative obviously. What price EID before the race to have jumped the last a length up having yet to be asked for maximum effort. Long odds on.
I don't personally think they have gone too quick and collapsed, otherwise both would have been beat by the Cromwell horse. The EID of the last two races would have won in my view, for whatever reason he has found little for pressure today. Which is in contrast to his usual style of racing. |
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"What price EID before the race to have jumped the last a length up having yet to be asked for maximum effort. Long odds on". I agree with that. But that's why he was staying on but not quick enough. The ground today likely a fair bit quicker than some of his previous races. He needs a good test at 2 miles or horses with better toe at the trip will beat him. A step up in trip is needed when in anything like top company.
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