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Betfair founder Andrew Black reveals radical idea to...

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Replies: 68
By:
CagliariG
When: 15 Feb 25 11:52
Clydebank, can you explain your comment about Betfred please?
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 15 Feb 25 12:14
Imagine a GN sweepstake with 40 runners.  The Tote has 40 picks and picks all 40 runners as it knows what it has already picked (the inside knowledge).  The 40 individual punters don't.  37% of the runners aren't picked at all.  When one of those 37% win the Tote scoops the whole pot.  When one of the other 63% win the punters have to share the pot.
By:
CagliariG
When: 15 Feb 25 12:19
What does any of that have to do with Betfred?
By:
The Management
When: 15 Feb 25 12:24
It doesn't really matter who owns it. The point CB29 is making is still valid.
By:
CagliariG
When: 15 Feb 25 12:26
So not knowing the subject does not matter then TM?
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 15 Feb 25 12:28
Betfred own the Tote. 

Imagine a GN sweepstake with 40 runners.  BETFRED has 40 picks and picks all 40 runners as it knows what it has already picked (the inside knowledge).  The 40 individual punters don't.  37% of the runners aren't picked at all.  When one of those 37% win BETFRED scoops the whole pot.  When one of the other 63% win the punters have to share the pot.
By:
CagliariG
When: 15 Feb 25 12:29
They sold it in Oct 2019 Clydebank!! HTH
By:
The Management
When: 15 Feb 25 12:35
CagliariG15 Feb 25 12:26Joined: 16 Jul 22 | Topic/replies: 10,542 | Blogger: CagliariG's blog
So not knowing the subject does not matter then TM?


Black knows the subject - his "idea" is still hopeless - and calling it "radical" is a joke. As mitolo pointed out betting on something with a sliding scale of returns based on performance is pretty much what Spread Betting did - there is probably a reason nobody significantly operating in that space anymore!
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 15 Feb 25 12:36
It shouldn't be allowed but the regulator is not very smart or knowledgeable. Showed how lacking in that department they were by being pivotal in the FootbaIl Index Collapse.  I doubt Andrew Rhodes knows how to work out an overround.  He might not even know what one is.
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 15 Feb 25 12:39
So they did Cag.  The Tote then.  Apologies to Betfred
By:
CagliariG
When: 15 Feb 25 12:39
I agree regarding Blacks idea, it was Clyebanks comments about being too intellectual and complicated for the masses I was questioning, imo he should rethink that given his own ignorance?
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 15 Feb 25 12:48
Whether Betfred still owns the Tote or not makes no difference to the point I'm making.  It only makes a difference to Betfred.  You are pretty ignorant if you can't grasp that
By:
CagliariG
When: 15 Feb 25 12:52
I grasped the fact you were making a hypothetical which is pretty pointless, being critical of the masses who probably know that you are 6 years out of date hardly makes you credible.
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 15 Feb 25 12:58
In a hypothetical scenario who owns the Tote has zero relevance.
By:
CagliariG
When: 15 Feb 25 13:01
Agreed, just like your hypothetical!! Suggest you leave it at that tbh?
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 15 Feb 25 13:05
Showing your ignorance again there Cag
By:
CagliariG
When: 15 Feb 25 13:09
Whatever you say Clydebank, for someone who thinks they are intellectually superior to the masses you must be correct so 6 years has no meaning, well done!!
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 15 Feb 25 13:17
The point is that the Tote is using privileged insider information betting in it's placepot pool.  It doesn't take the knowledge that Betfred sold The Tote to work that out.  AFAIK I was the person that first bought it to the HR forum's attention.  But then you probably know that.  You just can't resist getting in a personal dig.
By:
formoftheace
When: 15 Feb 25 13:31
Cagliari has the manner of a wild boar tbh….imo
By:
1st time poster
When: 15 Feb 25 13:32
isn't this  just a version of Americans  WIN,PLACE and SHOW ?
By:
Gaze733
When: 15 Feb 25 14:54
Not the worst idea, my horses always lose by a nose so I would win a lot more.
By:
comingupthehill
When: 15 Feb 25 15:18
Think it’s worse for the punter,you have 3 chances to be placed to get a set amount.so more for 2nd and less for 3rd and 4th appeals less not more surely.

Plus bookies do 5/6 places. So get your money back on these,

It would ruin ew betting.
By:
mitolo
When: 15 Feb 25 15:38
extra places are not good for punters unless you are getting 3 of them in a 6 runner race, which are worth doing almost blind. 7 runners often a good idea also
By:
CagliariG
When: 15 Feb 25 15:53
This is where I do not get the attitude about ew mitolo, you have to ask what more do modern day punters want. Back to the days of 1/4 in 16 runner handicaps 1st 4 reduced to 3 etc, madness, they have never had it so good yet the "Oldies" hark back to the bad old days.

Don't forget the mooted 1/6 a place big Mac challenged, makes you wonder if they and the younger contingent have a clue about how much better off they are.
By:
comingupthehill
When: 15 Feb 25 15:56
Why are extra places not good for punters,presume lower prices ,but getting 6 chances to not lose can only be good.so what if you get less when you win.
By:
mitolo
When: 15 Feb 25 17:21
its the ew terms. getting 1/5 5 places in a 20 runner hcap and 6 places 28 runners 1/5 isnt a concession
By:
sparrow
When: 15 Feb 25 17:34
Extra places here on the exchange markets are good enough for me.
By:
Hayden
When: 15 Feb 25 18:12
Current day concessions whether it be extra places or something else are there to be exploited , problem with 98% of the punters today is to expect everything to fall on their lap to suit their needs , instead of looking for ways to exploit EVERY concession but first off actually calculating whether the concession actually exists.

To take the opportunities that exist these days it'd require punters to do something different outside the norm which unfortunately would rule out the vast majority , always amazes me that punters don't need bookmakers AND the exchange for a variety of reasons and the refusal to use one or the other would make them either one dimensional or just plain naive in my mind.

Come on guys you've honestly NEVER had it so good , just adapt    Happy
By:
mitolo
When: 16 Feb 25 14:50
if you were able to take advantage of what is supposedly avaialble you would be in with a good chance but you cant

the migration to online has resulted in strangulation for many, even mugs like me. one account left and its the only one in front. go figure

shops are there but by the time ive worked out what i want to do its too late as i dont get up until about now and the nearest shop is a mile away
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