I was wondering if any forumite had compiled statistics on the No 1 draw on all the AW course in England this year? I expect the success rate is extremely poor.
Archie is a measure of the likelihood of a set of results being down to chance, as opposed to being statistically significant. The higher the value, the more statistically significant the set of results. An archie value of 0.3 equates to them being 58% down to chance, and therefore not statistically significant.
Archie is a measure of the likelihood of a set of results being down to chance, as opposed to being statistically significant. The higher the value, the more statistically significant the set of results. An archie value of 0.3 equates to them being
I agree it is a relevant issue for AW tracks - though not sure why you thought it might be a particular issue for this current year Sparrow, was there some logic to that?
I agree it is a relevant issue for AW tracks - though not sure why you thought it might be a particular issue for this current year Sparrow, was there some logic to that?
Stu there is no relevance unless it is broken down to individual tracks, distances and race types, even then what worth is it when even the weather would have to be a factor?
Stu there is no relevance unless it is broken down to individual tracks, distances and race types, even then what worth is it when even the weather would have to be a factor?
I wasn't sure about whether anything had changed stu but had noticed for some time how so few horses from that draw were successful. There are of course reasons for that which any regular racegoer would know by know.
I wasn't sure about whether anything had changed stu but had noticed for some time how so few horses from that draw were successful. There are of course reasons for that which any regular racegoer would know by know.
Like a lot of draw Positives/Negatives you have to read between the lines a fair bit. The Fibresand at Southwell was probably the best example of that. If you understood it then you would really struggle not to make a decent chunk. Low draw generally the kiss of death but not always. When they last relayed the Fibresand things changed somewhat and since the arrival of Tapeta its a totally different ball game.
Like a lot of draw Positives/Negatives you have to read between the lines a fair bit. The Fibresand at Southwell was probably the best example of that. If you understood it then you would really struggle not to make a decent chunk. Low draw generally