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onlooker
16 Jul 23 15:14
Joined:
Date Joined: 18 Feb 03
| Topic/replies: 40,610 | Blogger: onlooker's blog
People who BLINDLY Back Horses - simply looking at the 'Form String' FINISHING POSITIONS ....
- and NOT - 'What did it finish 2nd to? ...

2 Vitani 3-10-7  Adam West Lee Edwards

Got themselves a BSP 53.6 WINNER, there.

VITANI  2:50 Stratford


5:50  Newton Abbot

Happy Birthday Trixie Let's Get Tipsy Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)
(Class 4) (3yo) (2m167yds) 2m1f Good 8 hurdles
1st £5,089.80 2nd £2,446.50 3rd £1,317

1st  Max Of Stars  (FR) EvensF  Brian Hughes  Ollie Pears  3 109 – 52 89   
Made all, wandered around 1st, went clear from 3rd, not fluent 4th, went further clear before 5th, easily, unchallenged (op 4/5)

2nd  beaten 68 lengths  VITANI 5/1 Lee Edwards  Adam West 3-10-9 – –  – –   
Prominent on outer, lost position and dropped to rear 2nd, prominent in chasing group when hampered just before 4th, went second after 4th, soon lost touch, tailed off (op 6/1 and tchd 13/2)

3rd 7 [75] lengths  Kilcummin(IRE) 14/1 Kevin Brogan  Mark Gillard 3-11-2    – – – –   
Prominent, jumped left and lost position 1st, went third after 4th, soon lost touch, tailed off (tchd 12/1)

3 Other 'Runners'  - ALL - PULLED UP
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Report mitolo July 16, 2023 3:16 PM BST
i was nearly one of them until i read the form and backed the 2nd instead  Sad
Report stewarts rise July 16, 2023 3:23 PM BST
The Lion King fans could also have backed this "Demon Of War" as well.
Report shoodacoodadidnt July 16, 2023 3:27 PM BST
I remember the race when Vitani was 2nd - complete farce of a race where nothing was put into the race - we'll see if the winner is a world beater - it just might be I suppose
Report stewarts rise July 16, 2023 3:34 PM BST
Was out on his feet at the end, doubt he'll amount to much, pinched a lead on this front runners track and just held on imo.
Report shoodacoodadidnt July 16, 2023 3:39 PM BST
Sorry Stewarts - I wasn't clear - I meant the horse that beat it in a canter the time before
Report Rico-Dangleflaps July 16, 2023 3:41 PM BST
tolo thinks a horse 000000 simply cannot beat a horse 111111.
Report mitolo July 16, 2023 3:47 PM BST
i fink i was infurring the opposite
Report LoyalHoncho July 16, 2023 3:49 PM BST
Coevers.  1967.   Six duck eggs and evens fav.  Won.  Taught me so much.
Report onlooker July 16, 2023 3:50 PM BST
Amazed Gaze 733 has not posted saying ...

'2nds Never Lose' ... 'beaten Lengths don't matter - just the '2' will do'.

Happy
Report Rico-Dangleflaps July 16, 2023 3:54 PM BST
mitolo 16 Jul 23 15:16 
i was nearly one of them until i read the form

tolo thinks a horse 000000 simply cannot beat a horse 111111.

Mischief
Report mitolo July 16, 2023 3:59 PM BST
indeed. i saw the 2 and the 50/1 on offer and checked why and decided it was correct, so didnt back it as form of 222222222 cannot beat 111111111

you misinterpret. next time i will make it bleedin obvious, just for you
Report onlooker July 16, 2023 4:00 PM BST
leave mitolo alone - Rico ...

He is one of the good guys - and, at least, honest, too - who has just done himself out of a 58.0 Winner.... albeit, no doubt, to only a small 'passing interest' stake
Report mitolo July 16, 2023 4:11 PM BST
thanks for your concern onlooker but its misplaced. who you calling a good guy? i have zero need of any support, quite the reverse

and i was going to go full-bank sh1t or bust all-in
Report Rico-Dangleflaps July 16, 2023 4:12 PM BST
OL/tolo

Love
Report hulk23 July 16, 2023 4:34 PM BST
i was 11111 the day i raced john regis

john was still fav ....
Report JPSER July 16, 2023 4:38 PM BST
you sure it wasnt Cyrille Regis?
Report penzance July 16, 2023 4:38 PM BST
What was your vest No 108?
Report CagliariG July 16, 2023 4:40 PM BST
Cyril Smith beat hulk giving 7lbs!!Wink
Report barstool July 16, 2023 5:00 PM BST
Plenty of punters picking their selections from the daily rags, my late father one of them, last time out second one of his methods.

Poor bloke had four winners up only once.Cry
Report CagliariG July 16, 2023 5:09 PM BST
Clive Holt wrote a book around form figures regardless of what type of race or rise or fall in class,gave the form figures eg 4 for a win 3 for a second etc plus points for a course win or C & D win etc.

He had some big priced winners using the method but some horrendous days,he tried various courses for his experiment and ended up disappointed if memory serves.
Report hulk23 July 16, 2023 5:12 PM BST
regardless of what type of race

pmsl

so 2nd in a 2 runner race at redcar beaten half a mile trumps 5th in the Arc beaten a length ...
Report steerforth July 16, 2023 5:17 PM BST
Actually Hulk, yes, that's where Holt's "formula" would have taken you. But that might just have thrown up the 100/1 winner that accounted for his profitability. As I recall, the ads were fully of 20/1+ winners as examples of the potency of the system, but if you happened to have the ability to open a formbook and read the words and numbers on the page, you'd very soon be avoiding the big ones.
Report hulk23 July 16, 2023 5:19 PM BST
get the same results just randomly backing outsiders.  no Holt required.
Report steerforth July 16, 2023 5:22 PM BST
Yep! If you ignored the rubbish formula, the book was actually pretty good. The first time I ever read anything about value prices, preceding Mark Coton by several years.
Report penzance July 16, 2023 6:32 PM BST
That formula had points for C&D ,Cse & Distance wnrs aswell.
Report shoodacoodadidnt July 16, 2023 8:21 PM BST
We all create great backstories about FORM working out, WHEN it works out ..... it's convenient to forget the just as frequent form reversals, turnarounds and just downright makes no sense results. This game is almost as much bingo as bingo. You might even have a better chance at bingo as, in the racing game, there are many forces outside your control and knowledge - randomness and skullduggery of the highest order of course being the main ones.
Report formoftheace July 16, 2023 8:23 PM BST
I think Clive Holt added the place figures points per win etc…
Report CagliariG July 16, 2023 8:25 PM BST
That is what most doing their bollox say shooda!!
Report CagliariG July 16, 2023 8:27 PM BST
No he did not Quixall as far as my memory goes,I knew Clive fo a fair few years btw,noted on here when he passed!! His trial was only win,stand corrected if wrong?
Report formoftheace July 17, 2023 8:54 AM BST
Points per win points per second points for third zzzz add them up and punt ffs
Report happysandwich July 17, 2023 10:54 AM BST
Ahead of the game 2 years running.
Click on my handle/Photo gallery for proof.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UwpOM0chTzuOlSQ-mY0jLuxfVWUpxQE_9bbFgLu1dfc/edit#gid=1007032011

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_NbwCB7bvZhuTUFzjK5tzv5rEwBss-h05hKGENL9v-o/edit#gid=903715697
Report shoodacoodadidnt July 17, 2023 10:59 AM BST
@Cagliari - regarding "bollox" - TRUE :D
Report onlooker July 17, 2023 11:01 AM BST
Very good - and nicely documented - happysandwich

But - What is the relevance, or correlation, to the Title of this Thread ?

You do not say anything.
Report Manoleeds July 17, 2023 11:25 AM BST

Jul 17, 2023 -- 10:54AM, happysandwich wrote:


Ahead of the game 2 years running.Click on my handle/Photo gallery for proof.https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UwpOM0chTzuOlSQ-mY0jLuxfVWUpxQE_9bbFgLu1dfc/edit#gid=1007032011https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_NbwCB7bvZhuTUFzjK5tzv5rEwBss-h05hKGENL9v-o/edit#gid=903715697


Cue the Management telling you that it omits a Dundalk seller on a wet Monday that would make 50p of difference.

Report The Management July 17, 2023 12:30 PM BST
Funny you should say that Manoleeds - I was just actually gonna let it pass!

However the first (recent) time that he started spamming this crap again on Andrew's thread - the very next day, he "accidentally" misses out a winner at BFSP of 4.03! ShockedLaugh

Zoukster (19:00 Goodwood) 9th June.

Probably better just to drop it - and save him the embarrassment of anybody taking a closer look! BlushCry
Report The Management July 17, 2023 12:57 PM BST
Regarding this actual thread (before the praise-seeker arrived); the concept is very "gazesque" i.e. always or never do something based on some often irrelevant or meaningless numbers, regardless of any context.

Broadly speaking it's for the lazy and the ignorant. Context is everything. Anybody saying different is trying to con you or sell you something along the lines of The Holy Grail.

Sadly, (apart from fast pictures obviously) there isn't any substitute for knowledge, hard work, good ideas and some originality of thinking imo.
Report happysandwich July 17, 2023 2:26 PM BST
Onlooker,

“Boris’ Bottle” was my winter fuel allowance I put into Betfair on 15th Dec ‘21

On 1st January ’23 I withdrew £208.74.

“Happy’s Monkey” is £500 of last years winnings.


https://community.cdnbf.net/community.betfair.com/user/happysandwich/large/ad9e36343c6d24e01ae2a917b4acae53.png?v=269550
Report onlooker July 17, 2023 2:41 PM BST
That's all well and good - But ...

You have not answered ...

What have your Selections/Results got to do with THIS Thread?
Report The Management July 17, 2023 2:47 PM BST
You're not supposed to ask awkward questions onlooker - just give him a pat on the back and say well done!

Reality is not part of the system! Shocked
Report The Management July 17, 2023 2:50 PM BST
P.S. What his selections/results have to do with this thread?

He is doing something blindly, based on irrelevant numbers, because he is too lazy/ignorant to understand or look into the meaningful context of those numbers.

Just say well done! & give him a pat on the back - any references to reality will just get you accused of bullying. Shocked
Report formoftheace July 17, 2023 3:04 PM BST
any references to reality will just get you accused of bullying. Shocked

Ffs fav pastime of the forum ball sack….
Report The Management July 17, 2023 3:06 PM BST
The truth hurts - as you know yourself!
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