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ItsMeSwaddle
25 May 23 17:09
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Date Joined: 19 Oct 15
| Topic/replies: 13,027 | Blogger: ItsMeSwaddle's blog
Seemingly everyday anything goes?

Don't get me wrong nothing is free, everything has its price, don't really find it impressive when a treble fig wins.

More the frequency its happening, couldnt bring yourself to back them...sods law etc.

Post was actually: Are any pre race backers of reasonably short prices winning?

Ty

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Replies: 40
By:
Hushwing.
When: 25 May 23 17:11
a prolonged soft ground spell into fast ground
By:
UnluckyForSome
When: 25 May 23 17:12
All weather is still fairly consistent tbf Mischief
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 25 May 23 17:23
back shorties .......poorhouse !imo.
By:
ItsMeSwaddle
When: 25 May 23 17:25
Imo too, regardless of having abso no data to back it up.
By:
ItsMeSwaddle
When: 25 May 23 17:26
People often mention ground changes etc...early season bla bla.

Imo its the fact they are running for peanuts. Unless gambled task 1 is to get them out for onwers to see or something similar and "prepping them for a day when today is the day"
By:
TameTheTiger
When: 25 May 23 17:40
max price 9/2, winning plenty
By:
onlooker
When: 25 May 23 17:41
24.0 Shot - Jut Won a LISTED race at Longchamp .... "running for Peanuts"  (presumably)
By:
stu
When: 25 May 23 17:42
I laid two favourites on the AW today that both won by smallish margins Sad
By:
Gaze733
When: 25 May 23 18:20
I thought you were shrood
By:
Manoleeds
When: 25 May 23 18:22

May 25, 2023 -- 5:42PM, stu wrote:


I laid two favourites on the AW today that both won by smallish margins


But you just know that if you'd backed them, they would have lost by the same smallish margins.

By:
Hayden
When: 25 May 23 18:37
Haven't backed a horse in the betting front three since August 2007 so wouldn't know how the overall picture pans out tbh.
By:
sludge
When: 25 May 23 18:57
I think you may well know how the overall picture pans out Hayden . I think you are just trying to be kind !
By:
basilbrush
When: 25 May 23 20:49
Hayden does know mate. I had an interesting short exchange with him on here a while back, where we both agreed there is a need to adapt or die in the way we approach our betting these days. These freak results every single day have been going on for quite a few years now. My best guess is that it is easier and safer for owners/trainers to lay their horses than try to win, hence all the non triers that always tend to look like poor rides.
By:
ProSniper
When: 25 May 23 21:36
Back shorties and get done by rags. Back the rags and done by shorties. It's an (almost) perfect cistern..
By:
basilbrush
When: 25 May 23 21:45
Agreed Sniper. I have a couple of situations I use to good effect, but generally you might as well stick a pin in if you are solely relying on form to make selections.
By:
ItsMeSwaddle
When: 25 May 23 22:09

May 25, 2023 -- 5:41PM, onlooker wrote:


24.0 Shot - Jut Won a LISTED race at Longchamp .... "running for Peanuts"

By:
ItsMeSwaddle
When: 25 May 23 22:10
Always 1 coc end, talking about UK racing obviously when speaking about prize money, thats why this place finished, full of rancid comment
By:
Trident
When: 26 May 23 08:45
Low grade racing.(inconsistent horses, 1 run to another, not the same)

Horses handicapped well.

Prize money at low level, non-existent.

Big priced winners half in price right before the off for yard, to try and land a gamble to pay the bills.(very difficult but happens more and more)

Bookmakers/casinos don't want punter friendly results. Horse racing designed for /casinos bookies and not punters.

The levy is Happy when Big priced winners happen (conflict of interest? )  Grand National winner was not good for the Levy!

Jockeys riding to seem like they are trying.
By:
sparrow
When: 26 May 23 09:01
Yes shock winners .......Has this ever happened in the past? .....Or is it just AW meetings where this happens as some delight in suggesting?
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 26 May 23 09:04
some short priced backers prob do win but they would have to be very  very selective about the shorties they back imo, i  cant win backing anything short  and   too many are frightened of big prices , i am also scared of prices ,short prices many think  big price = small chance ,its implanted in the brains ,also many, me included at times are over influenced by the "experts" opinions write ups  odds compilers etc . many punters cant see past the 1st 2 or 3 in the betting
By:
Trident
When: 26 May 23 10:01
many punters can't see past the 1st 2 or 3 in the betting A very good point. For me, if I back a decent priced winner over 10-1 it means more to Me. I'm not interested in short priced Favs particularly on the Flat.
By:
stu
When: 26 May 23 14:12
Not sure at all about this discussion - the AW results from yesterday saw many shorties and favourites winning...?
By:
sparrow
When: 26 May 23 15:00
Just nonsense about AW racing stu, from people who don't approve of it.
By:
CagliariG
When: 26 May 23 16:39
The main thing that has changed is the amount of horses being priced above 66/1 which used to be the bookies default price outside of the big handicaps,stands to reason there are seemingly more big priced winners but does it really reflect a change from the pre BF days or just a reflection  of more over 66s being offered?
By:
ItsMeSwaddle
When: 26 May 23 18:17

May 26, 2023 -- 9:01AM, sparrow wrote:


Yes shock winners .......Has this ever happened in the past? .....Or is it just AW meetings where this happens as some delight in suggesting?


Think its all not just AW

By:
ItsMeSwaddle
When: 26 May 23 18:18
Glen fair point, I guess before my time nobody in the ring really knew if a bookie offering 66s its true price was 100 or 1000
By:
CagliariG
When: 26 May 23 18:23
If you want a fail safe swads,just lay the "Premier" divisions most popular long odds on picks,21 out of 30 showing a loss in that division as it stands,never known so many long odds on being beaten when tipped by so many who put in so much study to find the shortest price of the day!!!
By:
ItsMeSwaddle
When: 26 May 23 18:25
I'm not interested in that particular bunch of sad acts.
Betting like that in a free comp is unbelievably wet ASF.
I dont let it bother me anymore infact I pity them, makes me cringe.
By:
CagliariG
When: 26 May 23 18:30
Ditto swads!!!
By:
formoftheace
When: 26 May 23 18:31
Funny old game punting on all sports….a lot of wtf and head shaking cr@p…..

The overpaid brigade Brighton 1 Everton 4………classic example…..ffs….

Crooks and undesirable types have some sports in the gutter…..rancid…..vomit inducing……

Newcastle AW……I rest my case…..cesspool…imv
By:
jimnast
When: 26 May 23 18:37
It was 5 1 for Everton
By:
jimnast
When: 26 May 23 18:40
Liverpool beat united 7. 0 a week later they lose at Bournemouth
By:
formoftheace
When: 26 May 23 18:44
5 - 1 sorry……still a ffs
By:
CagliariG
When: 26 May 23 18:47
Still a FFS? Did you miss the any other away Quixall?
By:
formoftheace
When: 26 May 23 18:58
Rangers against the mince tomorrow any other away…..should be a decent price
By:
CagliariG
When: 26 May 23 19:04
BTW Ajp Kingdom looks a certainty bar a fall at 1910 hrs Worc,but a banker for the &ankers of the premiership,3/10...........would you back it or lay it with the two stone penalty?

Ritchie stalking it approaching 2 out?
By:
ItsMeSwaddle
When: 26 May 23 19:08
I aint had a look at that race in any depth sorry
By:
CagliariG
When: 26 May 23 19:11
There is no depth swads which explains why the Barclays Bankers have tipped the fav!!
By:
mokegibboni
When: 27 May 23 13:06
For me, there are occasions when, if there are no horses in a race that I fancy (ie. they're all equally very capable of winning), I tend to back an in form jockey and/or trainer rather than the horse. Very often that can work.
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