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ItsMeSwaddle
25 May 23 17:09
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Date Joined: 19 Oct 15
| Topic/replies: 13,027 | Blogger: ItsMeSwaddle's blog
Seemingly everyday anything goes?

Don't get me wrong nothing is free, everything has its price, don't really find it impressive when a treble fig wins.

More the frequency its happening, couldnt bring yourself to back them...sods law etc.

Post was actually: Are any pre race backers of reasonably short prices winning?

Ty
Pause Switch to Standard View WTF WITH THESE RESULTS
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Report Hushwing. May 25, 2023 5:11 PM BST
a prolonged soft ground spell into fast ground
Report UnluckyForSome May 25, 2023 5:12 PM BST
All weather is still fairly consistent tbf Mischief
Report FOYLESWAR May 25, 2023 5:23 PM BST
back shorties .......poorhouse !imo.
Report ItsMeSwaddle May 25, 2023 5:25 PM BST
Imo too, regardless of having abso no data to back it up.
Report ItsMeSwaddle May 25, 2023 5:26 PM BST
People often mention ground changes etc...early season bla bla.

Imo its the fact they are running for peanuts. Unless gambled task 1 is to get them out for onwers to see or something similar and "prepping them for a day when today is the day"
Report TameTheTiger May 25, 2023 5:40 PM BST
max price 9/2, winning plenty
Report onlooker May 25, 2023 5:41 PM BST
24.0 Shot - Jut Won a LISTED race at Longchamp .... "running for Peanuts"  (presumably)
Report stu May 25, 2023 5:42 PM BST
I laid two favourites on the AW today that both won by smallish margins Sad
Report Gaze733 May 25, 2023 6:20 PM BST
I thought you were shrood
Report Manoleeds May 25, 2023 6:22 PM BST

May 25, 2023 -- 5:42PM, stu wrote:


I laid two favourites on the AW today that both won by smallish margins


But you just know that if you'd backed them, they would have lost by the same smallish margins.

Report Hayden May 25, 2023 6:37 PM BST
Haven't backed a horse in the betting front three since August 2007 so wouldn't know how the overall picture pans out tbh.
Report sludge May 25, 2023 6:57 PM BST
I think you may well know how the overall picture pans out Hayden . I think you are just trying to be kind !
Report basilbrush May 25, 2023 8:49 PM BST
Hayden does know mate. I had an interesting short exchange with him on here a while back, where we both agreed there is a need to adapt or die in the way we approach our betting these days. These freak results every single day have been going on for quite a few years now. My best guess is that it is easier and safer for owners/trainers to lay their horses than try to win, hence all the non triers that always tend to look like poor rides.
Report ProSniper May 25, 2023 9:36 PM BST
Back shorties and get done by rags. Back the rags and done by shorties. It's an (almost) perfect cistern..
Report basilbrush May 25, 2023 9:45 PM BST
Agreed Sniper. I have a couple of situations I use to good effect, but generally you might as well stick a pin in if you are solely relying on form to make selections.
Report ItsMeSwaddle May 25, 2023 10:09 PM BST

May 25, 2023 -- 5:41PM, onlooker wrote:


24.0 Shot - Jut Won a LISTED race at Longchamp .... "running for Peanuts"

Report ItsMeSwaddle May 25, 2023 10:10 PM BST
Always 1 coc end, talking about UK racing obviously when speaking about prize money, thats why this place finished, full of rancid comment
Report Trident May 26, 2023 8:45 AM BST
Low grade racing.(inconsistent horses, 1 run to another, not the same)

Horses handicapped well.

Prize money at low level, non-existent.

Big priced winners half in price right before the off for yard, to try and land a gamble to pay the bills.(very difficult but happens more and more)

Bookmakers/casinos don't want punter friendly results. Horse racing designed for /casinos bookies and not punters.

The levy is Happy when Big priced winners happen (conflict of interest? )  Grand National winner was not good for the Levy!

Jockeys riding to seem like they are trying.
Report sparrow May 26, 2023 9:01 AM BST
Yes shock winners .......Has this ever happened in the past? .....Or is it just AW meetings where this happens as some delight in suggesting?
Report FOYLESWAR May 26, 2023 9:04 AM BST
some short priced backers prob do win but they would have to be very  very selective about the shorties they back imo, i  cant win backing anything short  and   too many are frightened of big prices , i am also scared of prices ,short prices many think  big price = small chance ,its implanted in the brains ,also many, me included at times are over influenced by the "experts" opinions write ups  odds compilers etc . many punters cant see past the 1st 2 or 3 in the betting
Report Trident May 26, 2023 10:01 AM BST
many punters can't see past the 1st 2 or 3 in the betting A very good point. For me, if I back a decent priced winner over 10-1 it means more to Me. I'm not interested in short priced Favs particularly on the Flat.
Report stu May 26, 2023 2:12 PM BST
Not sure at all about this discussion - the AW results from yesterday saw many shorties and favourites winning...?
Report sparrow May 26, 2023 3:00 PM BST
Just nonsense about AW racing stu, from people who don't approve of it.
Report CagliariG May 26, 2023 4:39 PM BST
The main thing that has changed is the amount of horses being priced above 66/1 which used to be the bookies default price outside of the big handicaps,stands to reason there are seemingly more big priced winners but does it really reflect a change from the pre BF days or just a reflection  of more over 66s being offered?
Report ItsMeSwaddle May 26, 2023 6:17 PM BST

May 26, 2023 -- 9:01AM, sparrow wrote:


Yes shock winners .......Has this ever happened in the past? .....Or is it just AW meetings where this happens as some delight in suggesting?


Think its all not just AW

Report ItsMeSwaddle May 26, 2023 6:18 PM BST
Glen fair point, I guess before my time nobody in the ring really knew if a bookie offering 66s its true price was 100 or 1000
Report CagliariG May 26, 2023 6:23 PM BST
If you want a fail safe swads,just lay the "Premier" divisions most popular long odds on picks,21 out of 30 showing a loss in that division as it stands,never known so many long odds on being beaten when tipped by so many who put in so much study to find the shortest price of the day!!!
Report ItsMeSwaddle May 26, 2023 6:25 PM BST
I'm not interested in that particular bunch of sad acts.
Betting like that in a free comp is unbelievably wet ASF.
I dont let it bother me anymore infact I pity them, makes me cringe.
Report CagliariG May 26, 2023 6:30 PM BST
Ditto swads!!!
Report formoftheace May 26, 2023 6:31 PM BST
Funny old game punting on all sports….a lot of wtf and head shaking cr@p…..

The overpaid brigade Brighton 1 Everton 4………classic example…..ffs….

Crooks and undesirable types have some sports in the gutter…..rancid…..vomit inducing……

Newcastle AW……I rest my case…..cesspool…imv
Report jimnast May 26, 2023 6:37 PM BST
It was 5 1 for Everton
Report jimnast May 26, 2023 6:40 PM BST
Liverpool beat united 7. 0 a week later they lose at Bournemouth
Report formoftheace May 26, 2023 6:44 PM BST
5 - 1 sorry……still a ffs
Report CagliariG May 26, 2023 6:47 PM BST
Still a FFS? Did you miss the any other away Quixall?
Report formoftheace May 26, 2023 6:58 PM BST
Rangers against the mince tomorrow any other away…..should be a decent price
Report CagliariG May 26, 2023 7:04 PM BST
BTW Ajp Kingdom looks a certainty bar a fall at 1910 hrs Worc,but a banker for the &ankers of the premiership,3/10...........would you back it or lay it with the two stone penalty?

Ritchie stalking it approaching 2 out?
Report ItsMeSwaddle May 26, 2023 7:08 PM BST
I aint had a look at that race in any depth sorry
Report CagliariG May 26, 2023 7:11 PM BST
There is no depth swads which explains why the Barclays Bankers have tipped the fav!!
Report mokegibboni May 27, 2023 1:06 PM BST
For me, there are occasions when, if there are no horses in a race that I fancy (ie. they're all equally very capable of winning), I tend to back an in form jockey and/or trainer rather than the horse. Very often that can work.
Report ItsMeSwaddle May 27, 2023 11:26 PM BST
Ok decent stratergy if it works for you
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