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Andrews 2022 Lay Thread

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By:
doorman99
When: 07 Jan 23 12:12
Nice one Alan, looked absolutely useless pretty much most of the way.
By:
second again
When: 07 Jan 23 12:14
VWd Alan,rather than lay him I backed Mombasa @ 13/2Laugh
By:
Hayden
When: 07 Jan 23 12:29
Alan  Happy
By:
Brian
When: 07 Jan 23 12:33
What a good shout!
By:
TheAnorak
When: 07 Jan 23 12:38
Thanks gents - I'm very cynical about these French horses bought for big money after winning a 3yo hurdle in April. If they're really that good, I'm like Gene Hackman, wondering why are the French Connections so keen to sell. The list of expensive imported failures this season is getting longer each month.
By:
Trusty
When: 07 Jan 23 12:45
Incredibly was also a PLACE lay but didn't look at that before the race. VWD.

You have to say G.Moore is in the top 10 for trainers you want to lay at odds-on especially at the premier tracks.
By:
fronter
When: 07 Jan 23 14:32
Great call Anorak and another fantastic lay Trusty, didn't even place - well done....Grin
By:
Brian
When: 07 Jan 23 16:06
Well done Trusty. 100% correct.
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 08 Jan 23 08:26
Good morning Guys,

Many thanks to all for posting in my absence, much appreciated as always.

VWD Alan, good analysis and valid reasoning to get a 4/11f well beaten. Additional WD to Trusty with another shortie after the Nicky Henderson hot-pot (2/7f) earlier in the week.

Hope you both made plenty (not Gary Moore fans then Wink).

My 11.10 flight was delayed (albeit only around 40 minutes) but immigration and slow baggage collection meant i didn't get to see much racing at all, but i managed to see last few flights of the Tolworth. I doubt we saw anything out of the ordinary there.

Good luck and have a nice Sunday all.
By:
Trusty
When: 09 Jan 23 09:10
Like G Moore but between 8/1 and 12/1 not short price and especially not odds-on.

Just scanned through today's racing at Taunton and P Nichols has two unraced 4yr olds in each division of the maiden. To date there have been 7 four year old runners with no wins, both are around 1/2 on and my initial thoughts was to lay both and I probably will for small fun bet but thought I would try an e/w double on Park D'Amour and Danton at 8/1 and 7/2.
By:
TheAnorak
When: 09 Jan 23 10:56
The form of the race won by Afadil in France, a maiden over 1m3f at Craon, in no way justifies his 255,000 euros price tag. The next four finishers in that race now have career records on the flat of 0/9, 0/10, 0/4, and 0/15. The magic words 'bred by the Aga Khan' seemed to have persuaded the buyers to go overboard, but the success rate of horses with that background is nothing like as good as it was ten plus years ago.

He might well win today as the opposition are almost all running to get a low handicap mark, but he wouldn't be one to follow when stepped up in class.

To be fair, the 5th placed horse did win a maiden hurdle last month, but it might have been the worst one run at Craon for quite some time, as they took 5m 17s to cover 2m 1f, pretty slow even on heavy ground.
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 09 Jan 23 11:44
Many thanks for the posts Alan and Trusty, much appreciated. Happy

A new thread is up, so i will copy and paste your comments above into the 2023 one.
By:
Trusty
When: 09 Jan 23 18:02
Amazing how they both drifted big time during the morning. E/W double landed.
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