This is an interesting question. If you have a positive expectation for all selections you would get a higher return long term by putting on a £100 4-fold than four £25 singles. But the 4-fold would have much higher variance so you would have to put less on than the singles to maximize return while avoiding going broke.
This is an interesting question. If you have a positive expectation for all selections you would get a higher return long term by putting on a £100 4-fold than four £25 singles. But the 4-fold would have much higher variance so you would have to
Using Kelly staking, if you had a £1000 bank and found four 4/5 shots that were actually priced at evens, you could put £34 on the 4-fold but £100 oneach of the 4 singles. So just on that the singles would be better for long term return (although there are complicating factors like fluctuating bankroll).
Using Kelly staking, if you had a £1000 bank and found four 4/5 shots that were actually priced at evens, you could put £34 on the 4-fold but £100 oneach of the 4 singles. So just on that the singles would be better for long term return (although
only just thought of this having read this thread and have never tried it but using the same 4 selections but the emphasis on the strongest 2 or 3 selections, maybe divide the selections and stake into not one but 3 trixies and a 4 timer, would be 13 bets instead of 11 but probably won't lose as many bets by the 1st one losing.
I may have confused myself here but will give it a go when fancying 4 next time
only just thought of this having read this thread and have never tried it but using the same 4 selections but the emphasis on the strongest 2 or 3 selections, maybe divide the selections and stake into not one but 3 trixies and a 4 timer, would be 13
As the first response on this Thread indicates ...
Is there a WORSE bet than a yankee? - 'One Loser = 7 Losing Bets' ------------
Well - perhaps ...
A Patent - On short Odds shots - Where a 2/1 single Winner only covers the other 2 Losing Singles ... Any price Less = Overal Loss - just on the Singles.
Worst still - an Each-Way Patent - with only One Placed ... Needs that Placed horse to start at 25/1 (Fifth odds a Place) for that Placed horse to cover the Losing Win part, and the other 2 Unplaced Singles.
As the first response on this Thread indicates ...Is there a WORSE bet than a yankee? - 'One Loser = 7 Losing Bets'------------Well - perhaps ...A Patent - On short Odds shots - Where a 2/1 single Winner only covers the other 2 Losing Singles ... Any
The prob with the L15 is that it overstakes same bets relative to others. Probably the optimum bet if you have 4 ev+ runners is a L15 with bonus plus additional bets on top to correctly stake the rest of the combos and singles.
The prob with the L15 is that it overstakes same bets relative to others. Probably the optimum bet if you have 4 ev+ runners is a L15 with bonus plus additional bets on top to correctly stake the rest of the combos and singles.
Liverpool Round The Clock Double out Stakes is the best value bet if all three win.
13 Bets
£1 RTC/DOS, costs £13
1 winner £3 win minus £6 2 winners 2 x £5 wins, £1 double. minus £12 3 winners 3 x £7 wins, 3 x £3 doubles, £1 treble. minus £18
Liverpool Round The Clock Double out Stakes is the best value bet if all three win.13 Bets£1 RTC/DOS, costs £131 winner £3 win minus £62 winners 2 x £5 wins, £1 double. minus £123 winners 3 x £7 wins, 3 x £3 doubles, £1 treble. mi
My fav is 10 £2 trebles and £1 acca. 11 bets. 5 selections. One treble will usually show a profit unless Odds on. If you are lucky enough to get all then boom !!! Once had 5 winners around 3/1 and I picked up a few thousand quid.....can't remember exactly, was a long time ago !
My fav is 10 £2 trebles and £1 acca. 11 bets. 5 selections. One treble will usually show a profit unless Odds on. If you are lucky enough to get all then boom !!! Once had 5 winners around 3/1 and I picked up a few thousand quid.....can't rememb
Yankees and all other multis are for dreamers. Bookies take them all day long. Hard enough to pick one winner. Single bets at level stakes and you might show a profit.
..... in fact, all ask yourself a question. How many Yankee bets have you had during a lifetime gambling? Exactly. Case closed.
Yankees and all other multis are for dreamers. Bookies take them all day long. Hard enough to pick one winner. Single bets at level stakes and you might show a profit...... in fact, all ask yourself a question. How many Yankee bets have you had durin
i personally think a patent is the best value multi,although if you can get a 3x one winner L15 you cant go wrong.
all personal opinion though,everybody has a different view.
i personally think a patent is the best value multi,although if you can get a 3x one winner L15 you cant go wrong.all personal opinion though,everybody has a different view.
Any bet where you get a winner and no pay out is not for me!
George B proved (several times) that backing horses at a price can pay off for a Lucky bet. I think shorties are no good. You can have two 2/1 winners and not win a penny, or lose money.
Any bet where you get a winner and no pay out is not for me!George B proved (several times) that backing horses at a price can pay off for a Lucky bet. I think shorties are no good. You can have two 2/1 winners and not win a penny, or lose money.
whatever your stake, be it 10p a pound or a fiver etc, when betting a multiple, you are hoping for more than one winner, what is the point of adding singles to a multiple bet ?!
answer is none !
whatever your stake, be it 10p a pound or a fiver etc, when betting a multiple, you are hoping for more than one winner, what is the point of adding singles to a multiple bet ?!answer is none !
If they go to the trouble of printing a special pretty ticket for it - it is generally a mugs bet (with the possible exception of treble odds one winner on a L15). HTH AGAIN!!
Tyred of poasting this:If they go to the trouble of printing a special pretty ticket for it - it is generally a mugs bet (with the possible exception of treble odds one winner on a L15). HTH AGAIN!!
You don't make selections to fill a pre-determined bet type (unless you're a mug). You make your selection(s) and then determine your bet(s) considering the price(s) and shape of the race(s).
You don't make selections to fill a pre-determined bet type (unless you're a mug). You make your selection(s) and then determine your bet(s) considering the price(s) and shape of the race(s).
six_six_six06 Sep 20 17:19Joined: 14 Apr 07 | Topic/replies: 211 | Blogger: six_six_six's blog You don't make selections to fill a pre-determined bet type (unless you're a mug). You make your selection(s) and then determine your bet(s) considering the price(s) and shape of the race(s).
But if you do end up with 8 selections - obviously an Each Way Union Jack Patent is the way to go!
six_six_six06 Sep 20 17:19Joined: 14 Apr 07 | Topic/replies: 211 | Blogger: six_six_six's blogYou don't make selections to fill a pre-determined bet type (unless you're a mug). You make your selection(s) and then determine your bet(s) considering th
If you have 8 selections you are probably not being selective enough! Mind you if they were all 25s+ I might consider an ew goliath! (I don't think they do lucky 255s do they?)
If you have 8 selections you are probably not being selective enough! Mind you if they were all 25s+ I might consider an ew goliath! (I don't think they do lucky 255s do they?)
Remember having a chat with a friendly/talkative trainee cashier (back in the days when they used to train them!) - a mystery (never before seen punter) had done a £247 Goliath (£1 stake) and this young lad (fresh back from a bet settling course in Weston-Super-Mare) was showing off to me how much this "mug" had lost after his first selection finished third.
Asked him the next day how it turned out - the "mug" had five winners and took them for £7k
Still a mug bet though imo!
Remember having a chat with a friendly/talkative trainee cashier (back in the days when they used to train them!) - a mystery (never before seen punter) had done a £247 Goliath (£1 stake) and this young lad (fresh back from a bet settling course in
Makes no sense to have the same stake on the 4/1 single as you do on the 250,000/1 accumulator.
Write your selections on a slip, number them, and write your own staking plan at the bottom. Shape your stakes around the prices, or your differing confidence in the selections, or both.
Makes no sense to have the same stake on the 4/1 single as you do on the 250,000/1 accumulator.Write your selections on a slip, number them, and write your own staking plan at the bottom. Shape your stakes around the prices, or your differing confide
You don't want to be wasting money on singles in these multiples for starters, I never do the named multiple bets, rather just do doubles, trebles etc and adjust stakes to suit.
You don't want to be wasting money on singles in these multiples for starters, I never do the named multiple bets, rather just do doubles, trebles etc and adjust stakes to suit.
How about a perm patent with an ew acca thrown in 4 horses 28 bets plus 2 for the ew acca
Basically for £1 stakes it gives you £3 singles, £2 doubles, £1 trebles plus your £1 ew acca or a £2 win acca if you bet on short ones So bigger stake on the more likely outcome
I used to do them a lot pre-internet days when I used to put my bets on in a shop before going home to watch them on the tele. Must admit I now do more super yankees for small stakes and back them in singles on here, must admit I've had a few good draws on following the George method small ew on half decent prices
How about a perm patent with an ew acca thrown in4 horses 28 bets plus 2 for the ew accaBasically for £1 stakes it gives you £3 singles, £2 doubles, £1 trebles plus your £1 ew acca or a £2 win acca if you bet on short onesSo bigger stake on the
All these types of bets are extremely poor value as there is a takeout for each runner. Do some maths.
Work out the actual chances of each runner winning based on the book for each race and compare that with the
returns should the bet come in. You will find that the bookies are making huge overrounds
All these types of bets are extremely poor value as there is a takeout for each runner. Do some maths. Work out the actual chances of each runner winning based on the book for each race and compare that with thereturns should the bet come in. You wil
Ah this has had me reminiscing.....rarely do multiple bets (except on Golf) but in 1996 i had a 20p yankee (£2.42 inc tax) consisting of a first time out Jack Berry / John Carroll 2YO W15/8, one the Palacegate horses also Berry/Carroll W11/1, AP McCoy on an ex flat horse for Julie Cecil in a Nov Hurdle at Ascot 5/1. Finished with Frankie making all on one for Ian Balding / Paul Mellon after the short priced fav wouldn't go in the stalls (Carson / Dunlop / Hamdan). If i knew then what i know now......
Ah this has had me reminiscing.....rarely do multiple bets (except on Golf) but in 1996 i had a 20p yankee (£2.42 inc tax) consisting of a first time out Jack Berry / John Carroll 2YO W15/8, one the Palacegate horses also Berry/Carroll W11/1, AP McC