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it is interesting this thread. One would have to accept that, disproportionately, gamblers are probably more risk averse than the average member of society. But , unless I have this wrong, the majority on this thread are, as I am, extremely sceptical about the present method of extricating ourselves from this mess. Even accepting our "bias", it is staggering that views that object to the present regime are so thin on the ground in the MSM. I wonder if the sceptics are going to grow in numbers and volume. Let's be honest, if this is what we are faced with on September 14th, we are going to be in the same position in spring. Surely......SURELY....it will become apparent that we cannot continue like this? My guess is that, as furlough £ recedes, more people will rebel. God knows we have to. I live on my tod. 64yo. I have weathered the first 6 months on the basis that we may be back to a form of normality by now. The thought of spending November - March in that dark with FA to do save watch telly is......Don't know what to do to be honest. They are totally and utterly wrong. Innumerate. Risk -averse. Callus. Scared. But, sadly, in charge ( and I have voted Tory my whole life). No hope now.
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People won't rebel. Governments everywhere will just keep printing. The only rebellion would be if the rules were eased and the money were stopped. So they won't be.
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I fear you are right SMB. Although, eventually, there is no more £ to borrow, and further printing leads to Weimar Republic inflation. Most of the populations of all the western world do not understand that £ is limited without consequences. As my old economics master told me, inflation is "too much £ chasing too few goods". We will be there in spring. Leaving aside the health and well being (on a wider basis)of the nation(s).
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You only have to look at the way the government's polling figures are holding up. They're not going to do anything to risk that.
For most people this is living the dream. Nothing to do, getting paid for it, and being told you're therefore a hero. |
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Doncaster racecourse now has the contact details of 2,500 members of the public who attended an outdoor event.
If they ensured none had Covid19 symptoms when they entered the course today, why not get in touch with them in 2 weeks' time to check they are still clear? Surely this would show that racing is trying to help the situation. After all the whole country was informed, on National news, that this crowd trial took place today. |
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I wonder if the 'rule of 6' applies to illegal migrants crossing the Channel in an inflatable. Nope, sorry, eight of you in that boat, can't help you.
Go straight back to France, do not pass Go, do not collect £200 in benefits, do not stay in my hotel on Park Lane. Pick a Chance card and try again next week. |
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Surely this would show that racing is trying to help the situation. -- I'm not sure why racing should be bothered. What a sad state of affairs.
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2.500 contact details expect plenty of junk mail from thommo,
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You're right truehoncho - what is the point of bothering, after today's decision by Doncaster Council.
Nobody allowed into the course today had Covid19 how could they spread it? |
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I wouldn't bother going anyway, the things going on is disgusting and sad for society
![]() I can remember going to Donny and being able to buy a burger with change, buy a drink with change, have a drink and watch the horses from the rail as they ran past What a sad facking world we've had forced on us |
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Have a bet with actual money
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truehoncho...You may be right about the NHS not being overwhelmed but it would be an extremely chancy thing to put to the test and no government would do that. I can see you have a very rigid view over this but my 60 years on this plant have taught me that life is almost never black and white, but generally shades of grey.
But, in the end, as far as racing goes, it does not matter about the NHS and its ability to cope. That's because around 60% of racecourse attendances are under 2000, and around 40% less than 1000. Hence, if the RCA would stand up to DCMS a bit and make a case for small trials as a forerunner to crowds of less than 1k to start, a lot of us would feel things were moving in the right direction. But, they seem to have been holding the view that big trials were best. Let's see if the change to pilot numbers alters the thinking. BTW, I was at Donny today on my Southwell badge. The track did well and I was surprised at how much room we had in members. Even had a paddock side spot, although a few yards further back than normal. If racing had to be like it was today for a while, I would not be too unhappy although it was not ideal and the atmosphere was zero - worsened by the news about the rest of the week. |
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I think Knight has hit it on thehead. Surely we should have started with a few hundred at Cartmel of Fontwell.rather than famous big meetings with thousands of spectators. After two weeks of smaller attendances at smaller tracks, no offence to them I prefer them, we could show it is possible. Grand gestures is just putting all your eggs in a very overexposed basket. Now it has failed and has put the sport back months.
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they probally want big trials because they want big crowds,they dont really care too much if those small meetings are run behind closed doors,its the cheltenham's they really want to get crowds back too
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i agree .... some small meetings... learn how to manage them and by their mistakes and legt us get back to normal..makes sense to me
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i agree .... some small meetings... learn how to manage them and by their mistakes and legt us get back to normal..makes sense to me
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brians: You do realize the average attendance at Cartmel is nearly twenty thousand?
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yes brains, i agree of course it should be let them into the smaller race meetings, most midweek race meetings only have a few thousand in ( bar the big meetings) even newmarket is quite sparse on some race days.
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They've had 5000 crowds back in France since 11th July, the last couple of weeks, Deauville has been busy, some wearing masks, some not. The Tour De France, on the hill climbs, have been busy and congested. The French PM has attended and said he's not concerned and the show goes on. They have now announce 11500 crowds to be allowed in the next few weeks. What has our own Emperor Nero done? Announced "the rule of 6". What a plank!
And last night's 4pm fiasco? Various graphs charting "cases" to support their ridiculous views. Where were the graphs charting deaths...or hospital admissions....or people on ventilators.....or people testing positive who have no symptoms and were genuinely surprised at their positive result? |
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well said dodger
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truehoncho...You may be right about the NHS not being overwhelmed but it would be an extremely chancy thing to put to the test and no government would do that. I can see you have a very rigid view over this. -- Hi Knight. These are not my views. They are the views of Sir Simon Stevens head of the NHS. He has written to all providers in the NHS (Hospitals, GPs etc to get on with the day to day work. There are no grand plans by the NHS for a second wave but obviously they contingency plans for a 'surge' as he called it. Hi letter and the end of April was pointing out there were 10's of thousands of unused beds and his letter at in July was urging them to get back to normal pointing out that even in the peak of the crisis for every covid patient they treated 2 other patients (that within the restrictions they were under). These are not my 'rigid views' these are publicly known facts. The government justifies most of these restrictions by saying they are 'protecting' the NHS. Its just not true.
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When a local council health official can close anything down, any event you have no chance, he bowed to pressure from higher up the council, the bbc news report was live outside doncaster lunchtime news , it was big news doncaster council bottled it, who is going to risk hundreds of thousands of pounds again when its like this, its got to be a few hundred to start with, doncaster races to blame they saw a chance for a killing and paid the price
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I've just discovered an interesting fact about the 2017/2018 winter flu epidemic from official ONS statistics. Apparently there were 50,000 excess deaths (no doubt largely attributable to flu) for England and Wales. Make that around 55,000 if you factor in Scotland and Northern Ireland. Suddenly the current Covid crisis doesn't sound as bad as suggested by the severity of the various lock down restrictions. Isn't it strange that this comparison doesn't get mentioned in the media.
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Absolutely Ian. I wish everyone looked at the stats. In fact the 2018/19 flu epidemic was roundly criticised for being under reported.
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The thoughts of Lord Sumption, the former supreme court judge, on the legality of the current situation and the powers given to the police.
From 15.30 on this link https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F3tUjps3KQo&feature=youtu.be |
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truehoncho, although you are trying hard to make a valid case for this all being an over-reaction, you do seem to be forgetting one issue. The empty hospital beds were almost certainly because of lockdown.
If I take your argument to a logical conclusion, it seems you think the infection rate would have dropped by itself WITHOUT a lockdown? Take a look at the figures and graphs - if you don't believe even them we are wasting our time discussing this - and you will be able to work out that had COVID been allowed to progress in the manner the modelling suggested it would, we would have run out of critical care beds very, very quickly. And then normal beds, and then space in the street for those needing a hospital to queue up in! Now, it may be that you think the modelling was incorrect but what else could the authorities do? Take a gamble that it would all work out OK, or try to change the predicted course of the figures with a lockdown? I am not disputing for one minute that now, especially with a rising number of infections again, it is going to be hellish to get back to normal because of jobsworths and overkill but I fail to see how you can ignore the data? And please do not quote Sweden to me. Unlike most on here, I have studied the virus figures at great length. Sweden's density of population is vastly different than ours and it can never be a like for like comparison. To end, do not get me wrong. I hate all of this. From going racing 4 or 5 times week since 2013 to nothing for six months has been terrible for me, but, with some reluctance, I have to admit most of the measures taken by various governments were necessary. One final thing, as well. Forgive me if it wasn't you, but remarks like 'the vulnerable should take care of themselves' are extremely immature and nasty. Covid is not the only thing society has to look after each other over and it is unavoidable that you will be old - and possibly vulnerable - one day yourself. |
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Influenza is not as infectious as Covid is proving to be and we do have a vaccine that generally helps, note helps and not stops, people contracting it.
Once we have a similar Covid vaccine, we will treat it like influenza is treated now. Lastly, why do so many on here think this is some kind of giant conspiracy theory? It is selfishness because your lives have been disrupted, or do you like thinking everyone in authority is out to get you?!! |
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cos it was made in a lab.
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truehoncho, although you are trying hard to make a valid case for this all being an over-reaction, you do seem to be forgetting one issue. The empty hospital beds were almost certainly because of lockdown. No the empty hospital beds were due to cancelled procedures.
If I take your argument to a logical conclusion, it seems you think the infection rate would have dropped by itself WITHOUT a lockdown? Yes why wouldn't it? it does for flu. Now, it may be that you think the modelling was incorrect but what else could the authorities do? - I didn't criticise the first few weeks but after that the hospitals were empty so they should have eased it. And please do not quote Sweden to me why not? it has very similar demographics to Scotland (same urban concentrations around 84%) and virtually identical death rates without lockdown. Influenza is not as infectious as Covid - How on earth does anyone now. I don't remember testing for Flu through any season. Take a look at the figures and graphs -- Take a look at the flu graphs The peaks were high and dropped quicker. This is clearly as a result of no interference. I fail to see how you can ignore the data no need to ignore the data it's how you translate it. Carl heneghan has his views which you could look up. why do so many on here think this is some kind of giant conspiracy theory? --I don't think its a conspiracy theory just bad decision making by the goverment. |
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@ The Knight. I am not convinced at all that the infection rate dropped because of lock down, it maybe helped a little. Just look at the ONS graphs for death numbers, the numbers were already coming down before the lock down if you take account of the time allowed for measures to kick in and time between catching the virus and dying.
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If covid is more infectious than influenza, why are 6 times as many people currently being recorded as dying with flu/pneumonia than covid?
And if lockdown, masks and the rest of it have any effect, why are 30 people per day currently dying with flu/pneumonia, exactly as they do every other year? |
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Yes Screaming and by week 44 (end of October) we will begin the flu season proper. Deaths will start to rise and for the first time ever we will be counting flu deaths. I have no idea how it will pan out but it will be interesting. If 1500 a day are dying at the turn of the new year it will open a few eyes.
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@truehoncho. I agree, we seem to be moving towards trying to save every single life on the planet if we continue to follow the current Covid strategy. Every country apart from Sweden has got themselves into a right mess. Once we started televising daily death figures, most people became very scared and uncomfortable and fear took over. Right now, it's very difficult for world leaders to suddenly back track and start taking a relaxed view to this, i.e to let nature take its toll. It would be admitting that they made bad policy in the first place. Something else that may happen during winter...I wouldn't be surprised if they count every flu death as Covid, any method they can find to justify their measures.
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Well Ian, I posted that very post back in April. The world has gone mad and lost all sense of perspective. They are driven by useless/corrupt (take your pick it doesn't matter which) politicians and a lazy media. Along with social media being orchestrated by big corporations we have created a perfect storm. No wonder the conspiracy theorists are having a whale of a time.
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Catalans v Wigan, teatime today, a crowd of 5000 expected and I believe some Wigan supporters have tickets. Meanwhile back in the wide open, covid free spaces of Doncaster we have 3 men and a dog. Well done Rupert whatever your name is for protecting the population of South Yorkshire you plank.
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