madhatters

Masters Apprentice (plc)

13:00 Sedg

1.63

1.63

5

/

7

76.22

74.70

Apologies Hatters totally missed place part in post.Wd

This Henderson horse in the mdn hdl opening the card at Plumpton has looked bonkers in both bumper and hdls run so far, very free.

Would be worried after a couple of months on slow ground how it settled today for Nico but behind the Nicholls hotpot (whose form in book is lofty for race like this IMO), it's pure guesswork about the rest in a weak looking field.

Have cut place lay selections out like this where the opposition could be complete carp as often is the case in these races bar 2 or 3 runners!

Hendo very good record in mdn hdls too, above market expectations not just % winners.

1 run over hdls dodgy to base a strong decision.

Not interested in win mkt at price as you say with few in behind that look likely to help out.

Still interested to see how this horse goes through the race after it's antics so far.

Sirwilliamwallace 1:15 Kelso 2.06

Thanks SE

Cap Du Mathan 1.30 Plumpton @ 1.82

Maid In Manhatten refused at last wd Lee Ho on place lay!

jumped poorly throughout tbf.

Hendo's with 2 handlers in parade

not surprised!

2 keen horses head the market at Plumpton.

happysandwich
27 Jan 20 12:03
Joined: 06 May 10 | Topic/replies: 1,522 | Blogger: happysandwich's blog
Flatcap & Stewarts Rise,

“one thing i have learned the past couple of days, if you try to chase after the competitions leaders by changing your own strategy and laying odds on shots that deserve to be odds on then you are likely to come unstuck”


And there’s me thinking you were all going to carry on like betting lunatics (before you realized your folly) and let me creep up and win the competition.

Happy I've been true to my strategy from the start Most of my selections have been between evs - 2/1 ( odd 1 above odd 1 below) I have thrown any darts at very short ones. The shortest I've layed was a Hendo horse at 1.7 ish last week.

Makes no difference to me if im top or bottom because I know i'm terrible at laying. As I stated from the very start if i was in profit by the end that was a goo result for me

well left striding  chasamax stuffed but holds 3rd

wd Norf

I think it would have been unplaced without the faller 2 out tbh

but have to get in the habit of leaving these place lays in poor races!

certainly a horse that needs to sort it's head out a bit if progressing.

No finer sight than seeing the long time leader swallowed up in straight

Those that think the market knows everything!

A weak looking mdn hurdle last time but they couldn't get enough of it today back in hcps where it hasn't pulled up any trees.

Strange.

I didn't want to join in and copy the selection but a very good one at price.

wd flatcap too

Nothing more infuriating than taking the wrong price, backing or laying

Cardy

I'm thinking of changing the format slightly regarding entries.

Selections in by 15 mins before the first race of the day.

If that's agreeable and the numbers still hold up I could probably continue it as it makes things much much easier.I can then just go through the results in one go after last selection (which I will know early rather than eg waiting for possibles at 8:30 at night)

thanks for explaining,,

happysandwich
27 Jan 20 14:05
Joined: 06 May 10 | Topic/replies: 1,523 | Blogger: happysandwich's blog
Flatcap,

My strategy has been to pick something around 3/1 and have the short priced Fav running for me.

The trick about betting is not the winning – it’s the not losing.

Because if you lose too often you are out of the game.

Agree with that.

Managing your bank is very important in betting. Without a strategy you defiantly will fail to make a profit

3.00 Plumpton, Hideaway Vic, place lay.

Ta SE.

yeah wd mad' trip too short so held up in rear and fences taken out

14:45 Kelso; Westend Theatre (Place Lay)

Thanks Stridingedge.