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03 Feb 19
10:16
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Date Joined:
04 Oct 01
Pandoro Star finished in front of 2 of the market leaders (Arriba de toda and Sylviacliffs) on first try on fibresand. PS was also hampered when in a decent early position and might have finished closer to the first 3 in that race. Drop to 7 furlongs shouldnt be a problem. Now 4 pounds better off with that pair as well.
Could have been slightly better drawn today but stall 3 isn't that bad-and the other 2 have drawn stalls 1 and 2.
PS is 14/1 and the other 2 are around the 7/2 mark. Imo the danger looks to be Kodi Star
Could have been slightly better drawn today but stall 3 isn't that bad-and the other 2 have drawn stalls 1 and 2.
PS is 14/1 and the other 2 are around the 7/2 mark. Imo the danger looks to be Kodi Star
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maybe stu but it's probably going to ride slow today
good post but i think dolly dupree could go well. i will put yours mine and russion rum in a combo exata.
good luck.
good luck.
Dolly Dupree was beaten 3 lengths by Sylviacliffs here last time, DD has a 10lb pull & is more than twice the price & looks the value play imo.
Looks like a 'lay the shorties' kind of view on here then! Plenty value bigger priced.
I think you might be on to something in that the latest form of Arriba de Toda and Sylviacliffs might have been overrated by the market.
But my conclusion is a bit different. I am not sure the form in the race you refer to on 29th December is all that strong either.
I prefer the winner of a different race that day - Champagne Mondays. They clearly think it will stay 7f, and with Kodi Dream unproven on fibresand, I think Champagne Mondays looks the most solid in what looks a fairly poor race. At 7/1 I think he is worth a small bet.
Good luck with your selections.
But my conclusion is a bit different. I am not sure the form in the race you refer to on 29th December is all that strong either.
I prefer the winner of a different race that day - Champagne Mondays. They clearly think it will stay 7f, and with Kodi Dream unproven on fibresand, I think Champagne Mondays looks the most solid in what looks a fairly poor race. At 7/1 I think he is worth a small bet.
Good luck with your selections.
sewter - the market leaders left that race behind in their subsequent run, whereas Pandoro Star went on to confirm its previous useless form in its next race. So, why back it - just because one of its terrible performances coincided with poor performances for two of the others in this race?
Dolly Dupree can't seem to get into a challenging position no matter what the distance.
Champagne Mondays - on all known evidence would need a taxi to get this trip.
Kodi Dream - decent performance last time and a slight class drop this time - although will it handle the surface? Its optimal racing style doesn't match the track.
Arriba De Toda - sub-optimal running style for this course, but possibility this is improving with racing.
Sylvia Cliffs - as Arriba but how do you split them?
Russian Rum FTO in a handicap, FTO on the surface, FTO after being gelded and FTO for a new trainer - no form but his sire does well on the AW and soft ground - both of which this horse hasn't had yet.
Miss Wow FTO in a handicap, FTO on the surface and FTO for a new trainer - absolutely shocking form but his sire has a really good record on slow standard going (although from a very small sample).
If someone held a knife to my throat I'd take a foolish punt on Russian Rum as sometimes it's better the devil you don't know, but it wouldn't surprise me if it came last. But I can't see why anyone would see anything attractive to bet on in this race.
Good luck!
Dolly Dupree can't seem to get into a challenging position no matter what the distance.
Champagne Mondays - on all known evidence would need a taxi to get this trip.
Kodi Dream - decent performance last time and a slight class drop this time - although will it handle the surface? Its optimal racing style doesn't match the track.
Arriba De Toda - sub-optimal running style for this course, but possibility this is improving with racing.
Sylvia Cliffs - as Arriba but how do you split them?
Russian Rum FTO in a handicap, FTO on the surface, FTO after being gelded and FTO for a new trainer - no form but his sire does well on the AW and soft ground - both of which this horse hasn't had yet.
Miss Wow FTO in a handicap, FTO on the surface and FTO for a new trainer - absolutely shocking form but his sire has a really good record on slow standard going (although from a very small sample).
If someone held a knife to my throat I'd take a foolish punt on Russian Rum as sometimes it's better the devil you don't know, but it wouldn't surprise me if it came last. But I can't see why anyone would see anything attractive to bet on in this race.
Good luck!
Quite fancy backing Pandoro Star (the OPs pick) each way at these prices, very decent value.
Could well outrun the price and a win for a place is nice.
Could well outrun the price and a win for a place is nice.
Some cracking value in the EW market on here right now for PS
Champagne Mondays in a taxi for me 9.4 and 2.66, 80/20 bet, good luck.
Winner went wide throughout race. Must have given away quite a few lengths
a good run but think PS would have won if drawn higher Sylviacliffs has run a good race from trap 1
Great camera work to boot
nice place for Sewter lives again...
nice place for Sewter lives again...
Well done OP, certainly found the value as per thread title, well done Pumphol nice easy winner.
Davros your write up was incorrect that was PS first run since the race I highlighted
Still wondering why such a massive drift on the second there before the race.
More importantly its nice to see a range of views on different races however poor they are on paper, not enough of it on here, this was a regular occurrence years back.
pumphol. 03 Feb 19 13:12 Joined: 29 Jul 04 | Topic/replies: 50,730 | Blogger: pumphol.'s blog
More importantly its nice to see a range of views on different races however poor they are on paper, not enough of it on here, this was a regular occurrence years back.
Too true, now could someone throw their tuppence worth into my post on the last race please!
More importantly its nice to see a range of views on different races however poor they are on paper, not enough of it on here, this was a regular occurrence years back.
Too true, now could someone throw their tuppence worth into my post on the last race please!
WELL DONE OP, UNLCUKY
Hope you got some of the larger numbers at the place prices.
Hope you got some of the larger numbers at the place prices.
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