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03 Feb 19
10:16
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Date Joined:
04 Oct 01
Pandoro Star finished in front of 2 of the market leaders (Arriba de toda and Sylviacliffs) on first try on fibresand. PS was also hampered when in a decent early position and might have finished closer to the first 3 in that race. Drop to 7 furlongs shouldnt be a problem. Now 4 pounds better off with that pair as well.
Could have been slightly better drawn today but stall 3 isn't that bad-and the other 2 have drawn stalls 1 and 2.
PS is 14/1 and the other 2 are around the 7/2 mark. Imo the danger looks to be Kodi Star
Could have been slightly better drawn today but stall 3 isn't that bad-and the other 2 have drawn stalls 1 and 2.
PS is 14/1 and the other 2 are around the 7/2 mark. Imo the danger looks to be Kodi Star
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Not a bad price, but wants a mile rather than 7f?
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maybe stu but it's probably going to ride slow today
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good post but i think dolly dupree could go well. i will put yours mine and russion rum in a combo exata.
good luck. |
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Dolly Dupree was beaten 3 lengths by Sylviacliffs here last time, DD has a 10lb pull & is more than twice the price & looks the value play imo.
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Looks like a 'lay the shorties' kind of view on here then! Plenty value bigger priced.
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I think you might be on to something in that the latest form of Arriba de Toda and Sylviacliffs might have been overrated by the market.
But my conclusion is a bit different. I am not sure the form in the race you refer to on 29th December is all that strong either. I prefer the winner of a different race that day - Champagne Mondays. They clearly think it will stay 7f, and with Kodi Dream unproven on fibresand, I think Champagne Mondays looks the most solid in what looks a fairly poor race. At 7/1 I think he is worth a small bet. Good luck with your selections. |
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sewter - the market leaders left that race behind in their subsequent run, whereas Pandoro Star went on to confirm its previous useless form in its next race. So, why back it - just because one of its terrible performances coincided with poor performances for two of the others in this race?
Dolly Dupree can't seem to get into a challenging position no matter what the distance. Champagne Mondays - on all known evidence would need a taxi to get this trip. Kodi Dream - decent performance last time and a slight class drop this time - although will it handle the surface? Its optimal racing style doesn't match the track. Arriba De Toda - sub-optimal running style for this course, but possibility this is improving with racing. Sylvia Cliffs - as Arriba but how do you split them? Russian Rum FTO in a handicap, FTO on the surface, FTO after being gelded and FTO for a new trainer - no form but his sire does well on the AW and soft ground - both of which this horse hasn't had yet. Miss Wow FTO in a handicap, FTO on the surface and FTO for a new trainer - absolutely shocking form but his sire has a really good record on slow standard going (although from a very small sample). If someone held a knife to my throat I'd take a foolish punt on Russian Rum as sometimes it's better the devil you don't know, but it wouldn't surprise me if it came last. But I can't see why anyone would see anything attractive to bet on in this race. Good luck! |
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correction - Russian Rum is with the same trainer
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Quite fancy backing Pandoro Star (the OPs pick) each way at these prices, very decent value.
Could well outrun the price and a win for a place is nice. |
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*Pandora Star
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Some cracking value in the EW market on here right now for PS
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14/1 from 7/1, mm
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Great write up Davros.
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18s now
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Champagne Mondays in a taxi for me 9.4 and 2.66, 80/20 bet, good luck.
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oh dear big drifter
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WD pumphol.
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Great call Pumphol
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Ran well
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wd pumpy,nice call
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Winner went wide throughout race. Must have given away quite a few lengths
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Great picking the winner and ul OP too, great EW though.
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a good run but think PS would have won if drawn higher Sylviacliffs has run a good race from trap 1
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Well done pumphol and sewter
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wd pumphol
wd - sewter - showed good pace today. |
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Great camera work to boot
nice place for Sewter lives again... |
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Betme
 Ta guys |
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unlucky op (20-1)
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Well done OP, certainly found the value as per thread title, well done Pumphol nice easy winner.
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Well done, pumphol.
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Davros your write up was incorrect that was PS first run since the race I highlighted
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Sorry betme, managed to miss your post, VWD
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EX:£187.50
SF:£151.39 Great calls the both of you! |
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Some really good analysis on this thread, wd all.
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betme hope you did the exacta
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Still wondering why such a massive drift on the second there before the race.
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Nice pick Sewter
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More importantly its nice to see a range of views on different races however poor they are on paper, not enough of it on here, this was a regular occurrence years back.
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Yes well done betme, nice F/C.
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