Is there a Mathematical probabilities of winning on the punt?

The Mathematical Probabilities of Winning on the Punt.

I was thinking, you have card counters, you have mathematicians in just about every sport now ever played collating data on every conceivable
facet  of a game to program some small edge.

Is there mathematical probabilities of winning more on the punt?

Sure I have very good strike rates and profits, but can it be better?

I have data of about 1,500 races I have tipped fitter horses and I will bet you London to a brick, the low the top 5 fitter horses ad up the
mathematical better the chances you have of winning.

Let’s take 2 race ratings of fitter horses:

Race 1:   1-2-3-4-5 are my fitter horses, all 1-5 top weight as the handicapper has said best horses and are now rated fit.

Race 2:  10-7-3-11-15 are my fitter horses, spread out over the field and some of low quality and performance and poorer types than horses than in Race 1.

I am sure there are a set of Mathematical probabilities numbers that further increase a punters chances.

•    Race 1:   1-2-3-4-5 adds up to 15

•    Race 2: 10-7-3-11-15 adds up to 46.

I am positive that race 1 would return better results than race 2.

I can’t be bothered going back over 1,500 results, however I will add the 5 fitter horses up and place on the right hand side of my ICloud software prior to posting.

A pattern will form which could say:

•    15-20 win more races

•    21 – 30 win less

•    31 – 50 win few.


THE EVEREST BIG PUNT could well look at these mathematical probabilities to increase their chances when having a real go in a big value race.

All good

James