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After a disappointing third in Ireland Defoe is massively overpriced at 2/1 in the 3.55 at Baden Baden today.
3.55 Baden Baden - Defoe - £100 Win @ 2/1 Sky Bet
This is a horse I've long admired but he must have cut in the ground and it is something that was missing when he disappointed somewhat in Ireland last time. That said he was also running over a shorter trip than ideal. Today I feel he is massively overpriced in a German Group 1, where to be honest the two British horses have the best form. Best Solution was a winner at Hopergarten recently and beat the quirky but talented Mirage Dancer at Newmarket the time before, but Defoe has something Best Solution doesn't and that is a high cruising speed and the ability to pick up off it. We saw this at Newbury first time out this season and Defoe is also a horse who appears to run well fresh. These boxes are all ticked today and his work at home has been pleasing of late. I don't think he has quite shown his true potential yet and I think this is an excellent piece of placing by Roger Varian. I am very confident he will win today.
Soooo ohhh it's magic, you knoowwwwww better believe it's Defoe.
I feel he will be a live L'Arc contender after today.
3.55 Baden Baden - Defoe - £100 Win @ 2/1 Sky Bet
This is a horse I've long admired but he must have cut in the ground and it is something that was missing when he disappointed somewhat in Ireland last time. That said he was also running over a shorter trip than ideal. Today I feel he is massively overpriced in a German Group 1, where to be honest the two British horses have the best form. Best Solution was a winner at Hopergarten recently and beat the quirky but talented Mirage Dancer at Newmarket the time before, but Defoe has something Best Solution doesn't and that is a high cruising speed and the ability to pick up off it. We saw this at Newbury first time out this season and Defoe is also a horse who appears to run well fresh. These boxes are all ticked today and his work at home has been pleasing of late. I don't think he has quite shown his true potential yet and I think this is an excellent piece of placing by Roger Varian. I am very confident he will win today.
Soooo ohhh it's magic, you knoowwwwww better believe it's Defoe.
I feel he will be a live L'Arc contender after today.
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Replies: 65
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Thought you were talking about your own reputation.
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hahaha so did i
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... ditto. .... good luck btw.
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Domino,
Not a race i would have a bet in, but good luck. |
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domino14 01 Sep 18 17:48
2018-09-01 17:42 135975694635 2018-09-01 17:15 GB Chest 1st Sep / 17:35 4 TBP / Project Bluebook Back 1.39 104.00 Won 44.87 Andrew in Sweden 01 Sep 18 18:12 £104 on a 1.39 wins £40.56p |
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Restoring Reputation Today
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I wouldn't shrug of the chances of German horses Dschingis Secret and Iquitos quite so easily if i were you domino. These 2 horses run against each other regularly beating each other.
Iquitos is preferred by myself today with form figures over this course off 11221, winning a G2 initially before winning this G1 race in 2016 and 2nd to Guignol last year btn 2 lengths with Best Solution 3 1/2 lengths further behind.. Also beat Best Solution at Munich in a G1 over 10fs giving him 9lbs wfa. Iquitos likes to be ridden from behind and looks better over 12fs. Dschingis Secret was just under 2 lengths behind Best Solution at Hoppegarten but beat Hawkbill in the same race last year, Cosgrave left it late to get up that day and Baden-Baden is a totally different course. Windstoss seems to have gone off the boil recently but did win the German Derby at Hamburg last year so is no mug, neither is his trainer. The Mare Night Secret has won her last 5 races at a lower level and seems to have a lot to do as do Khan and Rapido who has finished nearly last in his 3 races since returning from 4 years off. Using Red Verdon as a guide through Mirage Dancer and Best Solution, looks like Defoe would have a similar chance to Best Solution but wouldn't say that 2/1 was overpriced especially after his last performance. Good luck Domino but has to be Iquitos for me. |
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Thanks for that input Stewarts, but I'll personally be very surprised and disappointed if Defoe doesn't win. He wasn't 100% in Ireland and was bloodless in his first two races. Yard genuinely feel he is an L'Arc horse and he has everything going for him today, if he is going to have any chance at Longchamp he needs to be winning today.
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Good luck domino, as you say if they intend running him in the Arc would need to run really well today.
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how big is the gaf today dom
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Only an individual with the hide of an elephant could come on here with a thread title of ''Restoring Reputation Today'' after yesterday's 'winning' bet. Domino, assume you are not able to to provide an explanation re this?:-
domino14 01 Sep 18 17:48 2018-09-01 17:42 135975694635 2018-09-01 17:15 GB Chest 1st Sep / 17:35 4 TBP / Project Bluebook Back 1.39 104.00 Won 44.87 Andrew in Sweden 01 Sep 18 18:12 £104 on a 1.39 wins £40.56p or this?:- domino14 30 Aug 18 17:49 Yes we live in a ground floor apartment on Old Brompton Road in Chelsea 28 Aug 18 20:22 I've just agreed the purchase of a house in Poole's Lane in Chelsea and will be completed within 3 weeks |
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is dombo in charge of the daily sport?
is he the editor? |
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old brompton rd ... dirt box manor
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dom is finish.
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Don't answer to criminals or idiots. So can't read any of Willie's diatribe. He's on block, along with his other "clique".
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dom.. you must know ex jockey from peckham... cairnsy ... tricky **** aint the word
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When you are telling an ever increasing a pack of lies then that is the easy way out
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When you are telling an ever increasing pack of lies then that is the easy way out
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domino14 01 Sep 18 17:48
2018-09-01 17:42 135975694635 2018-09-01 17:15 GB Chest 1st Sep / 17:35 4 TBP / Project Bluebook Back 1.39 104.00 Won 44.87 £104 on a 1.39 wins £40.56p domino14 30 Aug 18 17:49 Yes we live in a ground floor apartment on Old Brompton Road in Chelsea 28 Aug 18 20:22 I've just agreed the purchase of a house in Poole's Lane in Chelsea and will be completed within 3 weeks Logical explanations to follow........ |
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GL DOM
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"i can't explain the lies, so i ignore the accusers"
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looks that way charles..
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Is this race on ATR please?
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domino14 08 May 18 20:50
Was in London yesterday signing papers on a 4 bedroom house for me and my family to move to, some clown I must be to need that without a mortgage. domino14 09 May 18 17:04 I've just agreed the purchase of a house in Poole's Lane in Chelsea and will be completed within 3 weeks, Cost £1,480,000. Had to pay holding fee of £80,000 on Monday. No mortgage needed. Will be moved in by June 1st, with my wife and 3 children. domino14 25 Aug 18 14:05 It is a Ground floor 3 Bed apartment, but it is still larger than the 3 bed house we moved from in Maidenhead. domino14 26 Aug 18 14:59 It's technically an 11 room apartment domino14 30 Aug 18 17:49 Yes we live in a ground floor apartment on Old Brompton Road in Chelsea 28 Aug 18 20:22 I've just agreed the purchase of a house in Poole's Lane in Chelsea and will be completed within 3 weeks domino14 09 Apr 18 17:29 My mate sends me them for free, I don't bet them but been recording them and if anyone seriously follows them to £100 a point, they must be insane. domino14 21 Jun 18 08:19 I foolishly signed up to Isiris around 6 months ago, via the Mainline and MYC services. domino14 01 Sep 18 17:48 2018-09-01 17:42 135975694635 2018-09-01 17:15 GB Chest 1st Sep / 17:35 4 TBP / Project Bluebook Back 1.39 104.00 Won 44.87 Andrew in Sweden 01 Sep 18 18:12 £104 on a 1.39 wins £40.56p some good wuns in their. |
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Not even on LV. What a disgrace. As for the race itself, too tight to call.
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here's a commemtary stewy, prominent / disputing travelling well
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on outer looking for better ground
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wide trip did for him and he just fails to peg back Best Solution
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domino this game is not for you.
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domino14 02 Sep 18 13:17
After a disappointing third in Ireland Defoe is massively overpriced at 2/1 in the 3.55 at Baden Baden today. 3.55 Baden Baden - Defoe - £1 Win @ 2/1 Sky Bet |
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reputation intact. still a clueless compulsive verbose deceptive loser.
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who's the irish pundit on ruk?
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The fact that he can get £100 on with this outfit tells you all you need to know about his betting history
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Man and Horse seen falling off cliff
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Poor ride Atzeni, came very wide, lost 2L doing so, and allowed the winner to get first run on him despite sitting behind him in a slowly run race. Would have won with another 50 yards, or a better ride.
Best horse came 2nd but money lost. Oh well. |
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ricardo says thanks
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Mug betting of the highest order
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the number of favs this mug gets beat. incredible.
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